考虑心理因素和饱和治疗的H7N9禽流感动力学模型分析

研究了一种带治疗的病媒传播疾病的流行模型.得到了模型的基本再生数R_0,模型的平衡点和阈值由R_0确定.利用Bendixson-Dulac定理,证明了当R_01时,该模型的唯一正平衡点是全局稳定的.该结果可以帮助探索控制媒介传染病传播的方法.最后对模型进行了数值模拟,验证了该结论.     

Nonmonotonic logics and algebras

Several nonmonotonic logic systems together with their algebraic semantics are discussed. NMalgebra is defined. An elegant construction of an NMalgebra starting from a Boolean algebra is described which gives rise to a few interesting algebraic issues.     

江西省基于信息技术的科普载体创新对策研究

随着现代电子技术与信息技术的发展,全新高效的传播载体在科普中的作用日益受到重视,其中数字图书、数字科技馆及依托互联网的网络科普已成为科普工作中不可忽视的新兴载体。现阶段各类高新技术不断改变着科普工作的环境,受众的需求也出现了互动、参与等方面的变化。这些环境变化促使科普工作要以受众的需求为本,勇于创新科普载体,充分发挥各类科普载体的优势,协同工作,有力地保障科学技术普及工作的顺利进行,提供全天候的科普服务。     

Effect of tropical monsoon on fishery abundance of Indian squid (Uroteuthis (Photololigo) duvaucelii)

Indian squid, Uroteuthis (Photololigo) duvaucelii (Loliginidae) constitute an important component of the inshore cephalopod fisheries along the eastern Arabian Sea. Local environmental variation plays an important role in species–environment interactions in neritic squids, which inhabit nearshore/coastal waters. Such ‘active’ and ‘passive’ responses of squids to environmental changes is crucial in understanding their relationships and influence on the biological processes, distribution and abundance of the fast-growing short-lived coastal loliginids. The empirical relationship between squid abundance and the variability in rainfall and sea surface temperature (SST) were explored in a tropical monsoon fishery. Monthly catch rates (catch per fishing hour) of squids in commercial trawl during 1987–2009 were used as the abundance index. Linear regression models with ARIMA errors were fitted with catch per unit hour time series as dependent variable and rainfall and SST as exogenous variables. While rainfall was observed to have a negative effect on squid abundance, the SST recorded a positive impact. ARIMA models provided satisfactory fit to observed data and forecast of 22 months. Given that the squid life-cycle is a function of their environment, this result is relevant in forecasting squid biomass for the management of tropical monsoon fisheries.     

Improvement of warm formability of Al-Mg sheet alloys containing coarse second-phase particles

Several alloying elements involving Zr,Cu,Zn and Sc were added to Al-Mg sheet alloys in order to obtain an excellent combination of high strength and good high-temperature formability.Microstructural examination showed that coarse intermetallic particles were formed in the microstructure and their amounts changed with variations of the alloying elements. During warm rolling of thermomechanical treatments prior to warm deformation,the coarse particles initiated cracks,decreasing the warm formability.For healing the crack damage and further improving the warm formability,a process of hot isothermal press was developed and optimized to the sheet alloys.With this process,the biaxial stretch formability at 350°C was improved by 22%for an aluminum alloy containing a large amount of coarse particles.