Impacts of uncertain river flow data on rainfall‐runoff model calibration and discharge predictions

In order to quantify total error affecting hydrological models and predictions, we must explicitly recognize errors in input data, model structure, model parameters and validation data. This paper tackles the last of these: errors in discharge measurements used to calibrate a rainfall‐runoff model, caused by stage–discharge rating‐curve uncertainty. This uncertainty may be due to several combined sources, including errors in stage and velocity measurements during individual gaugings, assumptions regarding a particular form of stage–discharge relationship, extrapolation of the stage–discharge relationship beyond the maximum gauging, and cross‐section change due to vegetation growth and/or bed movement. A methodology is presented to systematically assess and quantify the uncertainty in discharge measurements due to all of these sources. For a given stage measurement, a complete PDF of true discharge is estimated. Consequently, new model calibration techniques can be introduced to explicitly account for the discharge error distribution. The method is demonstrated for a gravel‐bed river in New Zealand, where all the above uncertainty sources can be identified, including significant uncertainty in cross‐section form due to scour and re‐deposition of sediment. Results show that rigorous consideration of uncertainty in flow data results in significant improvement of the model's ability to predict the observed flow. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A two‐dimensional model of hydraulic performance of stormwater infiltration systems

Stormwater infiltration systems are a popular method for urban stormwater control. They are often designed using an assumption of one‐dimensional saturated outflow, although this is not very accurate for many typical designs where two‐dimensional (2D) flows into unsaturated soils occur. Available 2D variably saturated flow models are not commonly used for design because of their complexity and difficulties with the required boundary conditions. A purpose‐built stormwater infiltration system model was thus developed for the simulation of 2D flow from a porous storage. The model combines a soil moisture–based model for unsaturated soils with a ponded storage model and uses a wetting front‐tracking approach for saturated flows. The model represents the main physical processes while minimizing input data requirements. The model was calibrated and validated using data from laboratory 2D stormwater infiltration trench experiments. Calibrations were undertaken using five different combinations of calibration data to examine calibration data requirements. It was found that storage water levels could be satisfactorily predicted using parameters calibrated with either data from laboratory soils tests or observed water level data, whereas the prediction of soil moistures was improved through the addition of observed soil moisture data to the calibration data set. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

提高激光跟踪仪测量精度的措施

激光跟踪仪是近年来得到广泛应用的精密测量仪器,其精度受环境、仪器自身及操作三种因素的影响非常大。但在实际工作中,经常出现对某个因素考虑不周的情况,使得测量成果受到较大影响。本文在对各种因素分析的基础上,给出了提高测量精度应该采取的措施,以期对广大仪器操作者有所裨益,取得更好的测量成果。     

JX4系统处理数码相机影像方法研究

非量测性的数码相机影像已成为摄影测量中应用研究的热点。本文提出了利用数字影像重采样实现数字摄影测量工作站(JX4)处理非量测性数码影像的理论与方法,并通过具体试验加以验证。试验结果表明,该方法可实现非量测数码影像的摄影测量一体化作业。     

南黄海辐射沙洲主要潮沟的变迁

利用1966年和1977年海图、1995年和2000年合成孔径雷达影像，结合1980年以来的陆地卫星影像和2000年的岸滩实测剖面资料对南黄海辐射沙洲区主要潮沟的位置进行了解译与分析，得出上述4个时期研究区内主要潮沟深泓线位置图。对不同时期潮沟深泓线位置图进行几何校准与叠加，对比潮沟深泓线的迁移。结果表明：潮沟具有往返周期性摆动的特点，短期摆动速度明显快于长期摆动，主沟槽最大变动速度达127m／a，而支沟槽变动速度更大。潮沟摆动与沙洲变化有明显的相关性，但两者间的关系较为复杂。辐射沙洲目前处于破碎、萎缩阶段，除沙洲中心及陆岸岸滩仍有淤积外，大部分沙洲处于侵蚀状况，同时沙洲有整体向陆迁移的趋势。     

卫星高度计海上定标场及定标方法研究进展

介绍了卫星高度计定标中海面高度和后向散射系数的定标方法。在后向散射系数的定标中介绍了利用有源定标器和微波辐射计定标两种方法。结合卫星高度计的特点,提出了海上定标场选取所需注意的问题,并介绍了目前比较成功的几个定标场及其定标结果,旨在为我国今后发射的卫星高度计绝对定标和定标场的选取提供依据。     

具有国际先进水平的CTD定标检测设备

在国家863计划的支持下，海洋技术研究成功研制了一套CTD仪器的校准设备，本文介绍了设备的组成，性能，设计经过与SBE设备进行了比较，表明该设备达到了EOCECTD设备的校准要求，同时，该设备是海洋技术研究所开发自有的高度CTD剖面仪的有力工具。     

应用ADP探测长江口区泥沙浓度的实验研究

声学多普勒流速剖面仪ADP不仅可以测量流速，其记录的声强信号还包含有泥沙浓度的信息，为探讨ADP测悬沙浓度的可行性，本文根据长江口区现场六点法测得的悬沙浓度，对输出信号进行标定，反演获得悬沙浓度。结果表明在500kHz的工作频率下，计算出的悬沙浓度在中上层水体平均误差较小(25％～38％)，但要用ADP测整个垂直剖面的悬沙浓度还有待做进一步试验研究。     

Cross-Calibration and Long-Term Monitoring of the Microwave Radiometers of ERS, TOPEX, GFO, Jason, and Envisat

The radiometers on board the satellites ERS-1, TOPEX/Poseidon, ERS-2, GFO, Jason-1, and Envisat measure brightness temperatures at two or three different frequencies to determine the total columnal water vapor content and wet tropospheric path delay, a major correction to the altimeter range measurements. In order to asses the long-term stability of the path delay, the radiometers are calibrated against vicarious cold and hot references, against each other, and against several atmospheric models. Four of these radiometers exhibit significant drifts in at least one of the channels, resulting in yet unmodeled errors in path delay of up to 1 mm/year, thus limiting the accuracy at which global sea level rise can be inferred from the altimeter range measurements.