新的十年,关于节能环保发展方向的思考

伴随着近年来中国经济的高速增长,中国制冷空调行业也取得了强劲增长,并且在可见的未来仍具有良好的发展前景。但是中国经济过去的粗放型增长模式给中国的能源供应和环境保护带来了巨大的压力与挑战。纵观全球,节能减排、应对气候变化、保护臭氧层、保护生存环境、实现可持续发展已经成为人类社会的共识。制冷空调行业作为中国能源消费的一个重要的关联产业和最大的HCFCs消费行业之一,必须以国家政策为导向,以节能环保作为行动的指南,与国内各行各业共同完成国家确定的宏观经济发展战略及节能、环保、减排的具体任务和目标,这既是中国制冷空调行业不可推卸的责任和义务,又是我们由制造大国向制造强国迈进的必由之路。     

The Construction of a Green Transportation System of China

Since the 21st century, the transportation industry in China has achieved rapid growth with a significant increase in the transport capacity; however the development has also greatly impacted the energy saving & environmental conservation. This paper takes into account non-commercial vehicles such as private cars in the statistics of energy consumption and pollution of Chinese transportation system. This method extends on previous methods which solely include commercial vehicles in these statistics. Based on more comprehensive quantitative data, it reviews the progress in the energy saving and environmental conservation efforts by the Chinese transportation industry and points out that the rapid increase of energy consumption and pollution emission and the deterioration of traffic congestion are prominent problems in the development of the Chinese transport industry. The main reasons for theses problems include the unbalanced development of different transport modes, the irrational layout of integrated transport hubs, the inadequate law, regulations and standards, and the use of suboptimal technology. Based on these findings, this paper proposes several goals for the construction of a green transportation system in China including the establishment of a transportation management system, the improvement of transportation energy efficiency, the control of environmental pollution and the alleviating of urban traffic congestion. Additionally, it points out that in order to build a green transportation system in China, multiple aspects should be enhanced, i.e., the formulation of traffic planning, the optimization of transport structure, the development of urban public transport, improvement of integrated hubs, administration of energy saving and environmental conservation, development of intelligent transportation systems, technical innovations, etc..     

关于低碳发展的认识和思考

气候变化给全人类带来了灾害,彰显低碳发展的必要性和紧迫性。笔者分析了发达国家和发展中国家采取的发展低碳经济措施,阐述了我国在节能减排和发展低碳经济方面做出的巨大努力。文章认为合理解决气候变化问题,就要坚持"共同但有区别的责任",以人均累计排放量分配各国的责任。我国实现低碳发展有很多制约因素,但我国需要走低碳发展的道路。文章提出了中国发展低碳经济的若干建议,并强调要以正确的"发展理念"为指导,迎接低碳发展的挑战。     

关于气候变化的哲学思考

从哲学的基本原理出发,引用地史及水文气象资料探讨了全球气候变化问题,指出全球气候一直在变化;气候变化的动力主要在天在地而不在人;当今的气候变化可能只是气候变化总过程中的一个波动阶段而非永远的趋势,且其变幅并未超出历史上气候变化的范畴。因此,不能断言全球气候变暖是由于人为排放CO2所致。所以对于不同时空条件下的气候变化应当具体矛盾具体分析具体解决,进而提出了中国应对气候变化的对策建议。     

国内外碳排放管理标准化进展(英文)

Standardization, as a very effective tool, plays a more and more important supporting role in promoting China＇s policy implementation in addressing climate change and other issues. This paper summarizes the international situation and progress, and analyzes the international development tendency of carbon emission management standardization. Correspondingly, the national situation and progress of carbon emission management standardization is reviewed including involvement of international standardization, establishment of national standardization committee, development of national standards and so on. And the policy suggestions are raised to strengthen the standardization work in the fields of addressing climate change during the 12^th Five-Year Plan period.     

Case-based reasoning for selection of the best practices in low-carbon city development

Cities emit extensive carbon emissions, which are considered a major contributor to the severe issue of climate change. Various low-carbon development programs have been initiated at the city level worldwide to address this problem. These practices are invaluable in promoting the development of low-carbon cities. Therefore, an effective approach should be developed to help decision makers select the best practices from previous experience on the basis of the impact features of carbon emission and city context features. This study introduces a case-based reasoning methodology for a specific city to select the best practices as references for low-carbon city development. The proposed methodology consists of three main components, namely, case representation, case retrieval, and case adaption and retention. For city representation, this study selects city context features and the impact features of carbon emission to characterize and represent a city. The proposed methodology is demonstrated by applying it to the selection of the best practices for low-carbon development of Chengdu City in Sichuan Province, China.     

Books

Abstract

Climate change mitigation and adaptation can be perceived as neglected in environmental impact assessment (EIA). In the light of amendments to the European Union EIA Directive (2014), we developed a novel criteria-based review package to assess climate change mitigation and adaptation as documented in environmental statements, and applied this to a sample of 10 transport developments from England. Justifications relating to climate policy, climate science, the effect of climate change on the development and its vulnerability to climate risks were well explained in most projects. Many projects lacked detail of climate change mitigation and adaptation measures and their benefits, whilst evidence of commitment to mitigation and adaptation or to post-decision monitoring was poor or non-existent; reportedly due to costs, time constraints and absence of mandatory requirements. It is recommended that to improve the effectiveness of the consideration of climate change mitigation and adaptation in EIA, the production of guidelines, change of behaviour of EIA practitioners, more holistic consideration of climate change issues, rigorous post-decision monitoring and use of climate change terminology are more widely adopted.     

Beyond 'dangerous' climate change: emission scenarios for a new world

The Copenhagen Accord reiterates the international community's commitment to 'hold the increase in global temperature below 2 degrees Celsius'. Yet its preferred focus on global emission peak dates and longer-term reduction targets, without recourse to cumulative emission budgets, belies seriously the scale and scope of mitigation necessary to meet such a commitment. Moreover, the pivotal importance of emissions from non-Annex 1 nations in shaping available space for Annex 1 emission pathways received, and continues to receive, little attention. Building on previous studies, this paper uses a cumulative emissions framing, broken down to Annex 1 and non-Annex 1 nations, to understand the implications of rapid emission growth in nations such as China and India, for mitigation rates elsewhere. The analysis suggests that despite high-level statements to the contrary, there is now little to no chance of maintaining the global mean surface temperature at or below 2°C. Moreover, the impacts associated with 2°C have been revised upwards, sufficiently so that 2°C now more appropriately represents the threshold between 'dangerous' and 'extremely dangerous' climate change. Ultimately, the science of climate change allied with the emission scenarios for Annex 1 and non-Annex 1 nations suggests a radically different framing of the mitigation and adaptation challenge from that accompanying many other analyses, particularly those directly informing policy.     

我国主要农作物生产碳汇结构现状与优化途径

大气中温室气体浓度的增加引起的全球气候变化成为威胁人类生存和发展的一大难题。农作物的碳汇功能对气候变化也起着重要的调节作用。农作物的生产过程既是碳源也是碳汇。本文收集整理分析了我国主要农作物农作系统的相关碳排放参数,估算了农田碳汇碳源效应及其动态变化特征,对作物生产系统的碳投入产出进行定量评价。为我国发展低碳农业规划、政策制定提供了依据,并提出了我国农田碳汇结构的优化途径。     

Practice on Ultra-low Emission and Energy Efficient Technologies in Coal-fired Power Plants

Restructuring of China’s energy mix is accelerating due to factors such as energy security, economic cost, climate change and environmental pressure. Efficient and clean utilization of coal-generated power therefore plays an increasingly important role in solving energy and environmental problems in China. Coal-fired power plants, with Shenhua Guohua Sanhe as one of the pioneers, followed trend of this era and adopted multiple ultra-low emission and energy efficient technologies, striving to be an industry leader in environmental protection, profitability and innovation. As a result, coal-fired power plants have seen ultra-low emissions of air pollutants and record-high energy efficiency, opening up a new era of more efficient and cleaner coal generation. By the end of 2015, Shenhua Group had had 45 ultra-low emission coal units, providing strong support for implementing of the national policy on ultra-low emission and energy efficient retrofit of coal-fired power plants across China.     

Study of Sustainable Urban Rail Transit Development Model in China

As the grand urbanization rapidly progresses in China, Chinese government launches a magnificent urban rail transit development plan as the key part of the preferential public transportation strategy. It is very necessary to establish a viable public private partnership model for urban rail construction. The philosophy of transit-oriented-development （TOD） is discussed in this study by reviewing Hong Kong Railway+ Property development model which is proved very successful in mass transit rail development in Hong Kong. This paper examines current practice of urban transit as of conventional public transport infrastructure in China and looks into ways of getting over the bureaucratic and technologic hurdles in order to generating synergy value and opportunity of rail oriented urban development. Taking the TOD and public-private-partnership (PPP) study of Shenzhen metro line 6 as an example, the sustainable urban rail development model is introduced and elaborated. It concludes that the sustainable urban rail transit shall be able to energize the great potential of rail and urban development at macro, meso and micro levels, through effective integration of administration and technology resources, and generation of win-win scenarios among government, metro company, people and stakeholders.     

Lifetimes and time scales in atmospheric chemistry

Atmospheric composition is controlled by the emission, photochemistry and transport of many trace gases. Understanding the time scale as well as the chemical and spatial patterns of perturbations to trace gases is needed to evaluate possible environmental damage (e.g. stratospheric ozone depletion or climate change) caused by anthropogenic emissions. This paper reviews lessons learned from treating global atmospheric chemistry as a linearized system and analysing it in terms of eigenvalues.The results give insight into how emissions of one trace species cause perturbations to another and how transport and chemistry can alter the time scale of the overall perturbation. Further, the eigenvectors describe the fundamental chemical modes, or patterns, of the atmosphere's chemical response to perturbations.     

Potential advantages in combining smart and green infrastructure over silo approaches for future cities

Cities are incorporating smart and green infrastructure components in their urban design policies, adapting existing and new infrastructure systems to integrate technological advances to mitigate extreme weather due to climate change. Research has illustrated that smart green infrastructure (SGI) provides not only climate change resilience but also many health and wellbeing benefits that improve the quality of life of citizens. With the growing demand for smart technology, a series of problems and challenges, including governance, privacy, and security, must be addressed. This paper explores the potential to transition from grey, green, or smart silos to work with nature-based solutions and smart technology to help change cities to achieve considerable environmental and socio-economic benefits. The concepts of grey, green, and smart infrastructure are presented, and the needs, benefits, and applications are investigated. Moreover, the advantages of using integrated smart, green nature-based solutions are discussed. A comprehensive literature review is undertaken with keyword searches, including journal papers, stakeholder and case study reports, and local authority action plans. The methodology adopts multimethod qualitative information review, including literature, case studies, expert interviews, and documentary analysis. Published data and information are analysed to capture the key concepts in implementing SGI systems, such as storm-water control, flood and coastal defense, urban waste management, transportation, recreation, and asset management. The paper investigates the elimination of silo approaches and the alleviation of the destructions caused by extreme weather events using these interdependent SGI systems supported by novel data-driven platforms to provide nature-based solutions to boost the health and wellbeing of the residents.     

Atmospheric processes and observations

The central role of the atmosphere in abrupt climate change is proposed and discussed. This discussion is given in the context of the poleward transport of energy in the climate system and of climate variability and change. A number of examples based on observational and model data are used to illustrate the ideas.     

Isoprene emission from terrestrial ecosystems in response to global change: minding the gap between models and observations

Coupled surface-atmosphere models are being used with increased frequency to make predictions of tropospheric chemistry on a 'future' earth characterized by a warmer climate and elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration. One of the key inputs to these models is the emission of isoprene from forest ecosystems. Most models in current use rely on a scheme by which global change is coupled to changes in terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP) which, in turn, is coupled to changes in the magnitude of isoprene emissions. In this study, we conducted measurements of isoprene emissions at three prominent global change experiments in the United States. Our results showed that growth in an atmosphere of elevated CO2 inhibited the emission of isoprene at levels that completely compensate for possible increases in emission due to increases in aboveground NPP. Exposure to a prolonged drought caused leaves to increase their isoprene emissions despite reductions in photosynthesis, and presumably NPP. Thus, the current generation of models intended to predict the response of isoprene emission to future global change probably contain large errors. A framework is offered as a foundation for constructing new isoprene emission models based on the responses of leaf biochemistry to future climate change and elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations.     

The semicentralized approach to integrated water supply and treatment of solid waste and wastewater��a flexible infrastructure strategy for rapidly growing urban regions: the case of Hanoi/Vietnam

The development of the world population is characterized by an absolute population growth and a rapid urbanization. This process, taking place in Asia, Latin America, and Africa, poses major pressure on the affected urban regions. In Asian countries, this development is combined with high economic growth rates. At the same time, the climate change is proceeding, and the energy supply is going to become an existential problem. The rapidly growing cities therefore face the issue that the supply of infrastructures and public services lag behind the rapid urbanization. The increasing energy costs and the imperative to reduce the CO₂ emissions aggravate the situation. The centralized systems which started to be implemented in the industrialized countries more than 100?years ago are no longer the appropriate way to solve these problems. The semicentralized integrated approach, recently developed for rapidly growing urban regions in China, in contrast, offers with its flexibility a sustainable solution to cope with these developments. This article presents objectives and first results of an interdisciplinary R&D project aiming at the adaptation of the semicentralized integrated approach to the case of Hanoi, the rapidly growing capital of Vietnam, to contribute to the solution of the sanitation problems of both the old City Center and the urban expansions in conjunction. This article focuses on the planning and institutional aspects. The technical questions will be presented later in separate articles. The ongoing project is conducted by the Technische Universit?t Darmstadt in cooperation with the National University of Civil Engineering Hanoi and an industrial partner.     

青藏高原“敏感区”对我国灾害天气气候的影响及其监测

根据中国区域大范围洪涝、暴雨、暴雪天气预报上游关键区,以及气候变化敏感区多圈层信息平台等重大需求.从"世界屋脊"青藏高原为灾害性天气上游关键区与气候信号敏感区的观点出发,提出高原及周边观测工程建网新思路与应用新技术方案,设计、构建了新一代气象综合观测预警长期监测系统,实现科学试验-工程建设-工程应用开发途径,发展高原及周边敏感区灾害天气上游早期预警系统监测平台,为灾害性天气预报与区域气候变化提供多功能业务服务应用平台;采用高原东缘南-北轴向观测数据信息(GPS监测站与AWS站)应用于改进WRF(weather research and forecasts)模式三维变分方案,实现了模式优化站网信息的同化技术,可提升中国区域暴雨、南方雪灾模式预报能力.针对夏季暴雨、南方暴雪,检验、证明了高原观测工程布网"早期预警"的显著效果.     

智慧城市理念下的城市公共设施设计研究

目的 智慧城市是近年来学者提出的一种新型城市发展模式,即研究如何利用高科技、新技术完善城市结构,推动城市发展,创造更加宜人宜居的城市生活环境。方法 以智慧城市理念下的城市公共设施设计方法为基础,首先通过阅读大量文献,简述我国智慧城市建设过程中公共设施设计的概况;然后从艺术设计与技术分析结合的角度着手,探究实际实践过程中怎样充分利用当代高新技术,将智慧城市理念与城市公共设施设计结合在一起的途径。结论 研究成果将使智慧城市理念下的城市公共设施设计方案更具有可行性,改变目前城市公共设施设计相互独立、无法互联互通的情况,并可以借此提高未来城市的智能性、艺术性、文化性,为城市建设和未来发展指明方向。     

我国节能环保产业发展的思考

加快发展节能环保产业是推进我国产业结构调整、转变经济发展方式的重要途径,是应对气候变化,抢占未来竞争制高点的战略选择。本文介绍了我国节能环保产业发展的现状,分析了当前节能环保产业在发展过程中面临的问题,未来发展的重点领域和技术发展方向,提出了"十三五"期间我国节能环保产业发展的主要目标、相应的重点支撑工程和对策建议。     

Literature review on renewable energy development and China’s roadmap

The low carbon energy transition has attracted worldwide attention to mitigate climate change. Renewable energy (RE) is the key to this transition, with significant developments to date, especially in China. This study systematically reviews the literature on RE development to identify a general context from many studies. The goal is to clarify key questions related to RE development from the current academic community. We first identify the forces driving RE development. Thereafter, we analyze methods for modeling RE developments considering the systematic and multiple complexity characteristics of RE. The study concludes with insights into the target selection and RE development roadmap in China.