Risk factors for graft survival in sensitized recipients of kidney transplantation.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the independent prognostic factors for graft survival in sensitized recipients undergoing kidney transplantation, so as to identify the individuals at high risk of graft loss before transplantation. METHODS: A retrospective investigation was conducted in 102 sensitized kidney transplant recipients and 31 relative variables were analyzed with SPSS10.0 software. Using log-rank method, the influence of these variables on short- and long-term graft survivals was evaluated, and Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to estimate the 1-, 3- and 5-year graft survival rates and half-life. Proportional hazards regression analysis (Cox model) was used to assess the relative risks of the potential variables. RESULTS: In the recipients with a mean half-life of 8.9 years, the 1-, 3- and 5-year graft survival rates were 90%, 85%, and 75%, respectively. By log-rank analysis, the factors affecting short- and long-term graft survivals were identified, namely the recipient age, times of transplantation, levels of panel reactive antibody and the post-operative anti-HLA-IgG antibody, HLA mismatch, renal function, time needing for graft function recovery, presence of acute rejection, delay of graft function recovery and infection, which affected the graft survival demonstrated by Cox model multivariate analysis. CONCLUSION: High-quality donor kidney and minimization of the risk factors for graft survival may insure successful kidney transplantation in sensitized recipients.