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水稻稻瘟病发生面积变化态势的灰色预测与分析
引用本文:滕明佳.水稻稻瘟病发生面积变化态势的灰色预测与分析[J].西南农业大学学报,1996,18(6):565-568.
作者姓名:滕明佳
作者单位:四川省营山县植保站
摘    要:应用灰色系统理论,建立了水稻稻瘟病发生面积变化的GM模型,得出了灰色预测区间,并由此对面积作了中长期预测,并对其发展趋势作了分析。

关 键 词:稻瘟病  灰色预测  水稻  发生面积

GREY FORECASTING FOR THE OCCURRENCE AREA OF RICE BLAST AND AN ANALYSIS OF ITS DEVELOPMENT TREND
Teng Mingjia.GREY FORECASTING FOR THE OCCURRENCE AREA OF RICE BLAST AND AN ANALYSIS OF ITS DEVELOPMENT TREND[J].Journal of Southwest Agricultural University,1996,18(6):565-568.
Authors:Teng Mingjia
Abstract:The grey system theory was applied to establish the GM models of the occurrence area of rice blast and obtain grey forecasting spaces in Yingshan county. Based on the results, mid and long term predictions were made on the occurrence area of the disease and an analysis was made of its development trend.
Keywords:Pyricularia oryzae Cav    paddy  occurrence  gray predictions  
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