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撒哈拉以南非洲地区林木资源投资风险分析
引用本文:董东林,李增,付晶莹,林刚.撒哈拉以南非洲地区林木资源投资风险分析[J].科技导报(北京),2018,36(3):100-107.
作者姓名:董东林  李增  付晶莹  林刚
作者单位:1. 中国矿业大学(北京)地球科学与测绘工程学院, 北京 100083;
2. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 北京 100101;
3. 中国科学院大学资源与环境学院, 北京 100049
基金项目:西藏自治区科技计划项目(Z2016C01G01/04/08);中国博士后科学基金第61批面上项目(2017M610974)
摘    要: “一带一路”发展倡议为沿线国家优势互补、开拓发展提供了新的机遇,是国际合作的新平台。撒哈拉以南非洲地区林木资源丰富,是中国“一带一路”发展倡议大背景下的重要合作方向,增强与该地区林木资源投资合作建设,是推动“一带一路”建设的重要内容。本文综合考虑了该地区林木资源禀赋、社会经济因素、自然地理因素及政治外交因素等,基于多级模糊综合评价方法构建了撒哈拉以南非洲地区林木资源投资风险分析模型,通过评价指标选取、指标体系建立和指标权重分析,对主控投资因素进行研究和评价分析,对该地区林木资源投资风险分析进行了综合评估。

关 键 词:撒哈拉以南非洲  自然地理  林木资源  投资分析  
收稿时间:2017-11-22

Analysis of forest resources investment risk in sub-Saharan Africa
DONG Donglin,LI Zeng,FU Jingying,LIN Gang.Analysis of forest resources investment risk in sub-Saharan Africa[J].Science & Technology Review,2018,36(3):100-107.
Authors:DONG Donglin  LI Zeng  FU Jingying  LIN Gang
Affiliation:1. College of Geoscience and Surveying Engineering, China University of Mining & Technology(Beijing), Beijing 100083, China;
2. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;
3. College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
Abstract:The development of "the Belt and Road Initiative" provides new opportunities for countries along the belt and road to complement each other and expand development using the new platform of international cooperations. sub-Saharan Africa is one of the important cooperation objects of China under the framework of "the Belt and Road Initiative". The region has abundant forest resources. It is the important content of building "the Belt and Road Initiative" to strengthen the investment cooperation with the regional forest resources. This paper takes into account the resource endowment, socio-economic factors, natural geographical factors and political and diplomatic factors of the region. Based on multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, a risk analysis model for sub-Saharan African forest resources investment is established. Through selection of evaluation indexes, index system and index weight analysis, the main control investment factors are analyzed and evaluated. A comprehensive evaluation is carried out for investment risk analysis of forest resources in that area. The evaluation results can provide a scientific basis for China enterprises to invest forest industry in the region.
Keywords:sub-Saharan Africa  physical geography  forest resources  investment analysis  
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