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新集二矿突出预测敏感性指标及其临界值确定
引用本文:张雷林,秦波涛,陶文枝,何怀玉,李虎. 新集二矿突出预测敏感性指标及其临界值确定[J]. 煤矿安全, 2012, 43(11): 163-167
作者姓名:张雷林  秦波涛  陶文枝  何怀玉  李虎
作者单位:1. 煤矿瓦斯与火灾防治教育部重点实验室,江苏徐州221116 中国矿业大学安全工程学院,江苏徐州221116
2. 国投新集能源股份公司新集二矿,安徽淮南,232172
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目,全国优秀博士论文专项基金资助项目,教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划资助项目,江苏省普通高校研究生科研创新计划资助项目
摘    要:针对新集二矿历次煤与瓦斯突出特征的考察研究,分析得出新集二矿煤与瓦斯突出对反映地应力和瓦斯压力的指标较为敏感。同时采用现场实测与实验室模拟相结合的分析方法对新集二矿防突预测指标的敏感性进行了系统的分析,并确定了各预测指标的临界值。结果表明,对于区域预测,瓦斯压力指标比瓦斯含量指标要敏感;对于局部预测,6#煤层和13-1#煤层的突出敏感性为S>K1>△h2,8#煤层的突出敏感性为K1>S>△h2。

关 键 词:煤与瓦斯突出  区域预测  敏感指标  临界值

Research on Sensitive Indexes and Critical Value of Coal and Gas Outburst Prediction in Xinji No.2 Coal Mine
ZHANG Lei-lin,QIN Bo-tao,TAO Wen-zhi,HE Huai-yu,LI Hu. Research on Sensitive Indexes and Critical Value of Coal and Gas Outburst Prediction in Xinji No.2 Coal Mine[J]. Safety in Coal Mines, 2012, 43(11): 163-167
Authors:ZHANG Lei-lin  QIN Bo-tao  TAO Wen-zhi  HE Huai-yu  LI Hu
Affiliation:1.Key Laboratory of Gas and Fire Control for Coal Mines of Ministry of Education,Xuzhou 221116,China;2.School of Safety Engineering,China University of Mining and Technology,Xuzhou 221116,China;3.Xinji No.2 Coal Mine,SDIC XinjiEnergy AG,Huainan 232172,China)
Abstract:According to the investigation and study on the characteristics of previous coal and gas outburst,it analyzed and obtained that the coal and gas outburst was more sensitive to the indexes of ground stress and gas pressure in Xinji No.2 Coal Mine.The field measurement and laboratory simulation combined analysis methods were applied to systematic analysis on the sensitiveness of outburst prevention prediction indexes,and the critical values were determined.The results showed that: the index of gas pressure was more sensitive than that of gas content for regional prediction;for local prediction,the outburst sensitivity indexes of No.6 and No.13-1 coal seams were that S value>K1 value>△h2 value,while K1 value>S value>△h2 value in No.8 coal seam.
Keywords:coal and gas outburst  regional prediction  sensitive indexes  critical value
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