中加贸易互补性及贸易潜力探析

近些年来,中国和加拿大双边贸易得到较快发展。笔者利用1998年～2007年的时间序列数据,使用贸易结合度、贸易竞争优势指数、贸易互补性指数和经常市场份额模型等一系列指标,对中国与加拿大之间的贸易互补性和贸易潜力进行全面的实证分析。研究表明:中国和加拿大的贸易结合度不断提高,两国之间的贸易具有很强的互补性,而且是一种稳定而持久的互补关系。同时,中国对加拿大出口增长贡献最大的是竞争提升效应,加拿大对中国出口增长贡献最大的是市场扩大效应,两国之间存在着巨大的贸易潜力。

A Probe into the Trade Complementarity and Trade Potentiality between China and Canada

In recent years,the bilateral trade between China and Canada has developed quickly.Based on the time series data from 1998 to 2007,the author makes an empirical analysis of the mutual complementarity and potentiality of the trade between China and Canada with such indexes as the degree of trade combination,competitive advantage of trade,trade complementarity and regular market share model.The findings show that trade combination between China and Canada increases continuously and the trade between China and...