| 风力和光伏发电短期功率预测研究进展与展望 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈深,毛晓明,房敏. 风力和光伏发电短期功率预测研究进展与展望[J]. 广东电力, 2014, 0(1): 18-23 |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈深 毛晓明 房敏 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东工业大学 自动化学院,广东 广州510006 |
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| 基金项目： | 广东省“211工程”资助项目（粤发改431） |
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| 摘 要： | 风能和太阳能发电具有较强的波动性和间歇性,其输出功率随机变化会对供电质量和电力系统安全稳定运行带来诸多不利影响,进行风力、光伏短期功率预测具有重要意义。针对此,对风力和光伏发电短期功率预测方法和研究进展进行评述,并对提高光伏发电预测精度的不确定性理论进行了探讨,最后指出今后风力、光伏发电短期功率预测的研究方向及发展趋势。
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| 关 键 词： | 风力、光伏发电 功率预测 预测方法 不确定性 |
Research Progress and Prospect of Short-time Power Forecast for Wind and Solar Generating |
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| CHEN Shen,MAO Xiaoming,FANG Min. Research Progress and Prospect of Short-time Power Forecast for Wind and Solar Generating[J]. Guangdong Electric Power, 2014, 0(1): 18-23 |
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| Authors: | CHEN Shen MAO Xiaoming FANG Min |
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| Affiliation: | CHEN Shen, MAO Xiaoming, FANG Min |
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| Abstract: | Wind and solar generating is provided with strong volatility and intermittent and random change of the output power may cause unfavorable impact on power supply quality and safe and stable operation of the power system.It is of im-portant significance to forecast short-time power of wind and solar generating.Therefore,this paper makes a comment on forecast method and research for short-time power of wind and solar generating and discusses uncertainty theory of impro-ving forecast precision.At last,it points out research direction and development trend of short-time power forecast of wind and solar generating in future. |
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| Keywords: | wind and solar generating power forecast forecast method uncertainty |
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