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One-step prediction forP n-weakly stationary processes
Authors:Volker Hösel  Rupert Lasser
Affiliation:(1) GSF Research Center for Environment and Health, Ingolstädter Landstraße 1, D-W8042 Neuherberg, Federal Republic of Germany
Abstract:The one-step prediction problem is studied in the context ofP n-weakly stationary stochastic processes 
$$\left( {X_n } \right)_{n \in \mathbb{N}_0 } $$
, where 
$$\left( {P_n \left( x \right)} \right)_{n \in \mathbb{N}_0 } $$
is an orthogonal polynomial sequence defining a polynomial hypergroup on 
$$\mathbb{N}_0 $$
. This kind of stochastic processes appears when estimating the mean of classical weakly stationary processes. In particular, it is investigated whether these processes are asymptoticP n-deterministic, i.e. the prediction mean-squared error tends to zero. Sufficient conditions on the covariance function or the spectral measure are given for 
$$\left( {X_n } \right)_{n \in \mathbb{N}_0 } $$
being asymptoticP n-deterministic. For Jacobi polynomialsP n(x) the problem of 
$$\left( {X_n } \right)_{n \in \mathbb{N}_0 } $$
being asymptoticP n-deterministic is completely solved.
Keywords:
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