坑口电厂低碳经济发展系统动力学仿真研究

通过分析坑口电厂低碳经济系统的复杂结构特征和动态反馈机制,建立了坑口电厂低碳经济系统动力学模型,描述系统内部各要素之间的相互关系,并以平煤集团坑口电厂为例,对不同发展方案下的坑口电厂低碳经济系统进行仿真模拟.结果表明:科技投资、环保投资、能源利用率、能源消费结构等因素是影响坑口电厂低碳经济发展的关键因素;可以通过优化能源消费结构,提高煤矸石消耗比例;增加科技投资和环保投资,提高能源利用和转换效率,降低污染物和二氧化碳排放量,从而达到高效率、低能耗、低排放的低碳经济发展模式.

Simulation on the Low-carbon Economic Development of the Pithead Power Plant Based on System Dynamics

This paper establishes a low-carbon economy system dynamics model of the pithead power plant which describes the interrelationships between the various elements within the system through the analysis of complex structural features and dynamic feedback mechanism of the pithead power plant.Then,it takes Pingmei Group's pithead power plant as an example to simulate the low-carbon economic system of pithead power plant under different development programs.The results show that the technology investment,environmental investment,energy efficiency,energy consumption structure are key factors to affect the development of pithead power plant low-carbon economy.By optimizing energy consumption structure,adding the proportion of gangue consumption,as well as increasing technology investment and environmental investment,improving energy utilization and conversion efficiency,and reducing pollutants and carbon dioxide emissions,the low-carbon economic development pattern which is of high efficiency,low energy consumption and low emissions is achieved.