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The Newest Developments of Load-Unload Response Ratio (LURR) |
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| Authors: | Xiang-Chu Yin Lang-Ping Zhang Yongxian Zhang Keyin Peng Haitao Wang Zhiping Song Huaizhong Yu Hui-Hui Zhang Can Yin Yucang Wang |
| Affiliation: | 1. Institute of Earthquake Science, China Earthquake Administration (CEA), Beijing, 100036, China 2. LNM (State Key Laboratory of Nonlinear Mechanics), Institute of Mechanics, Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), Beijing, 100190, China 3. China Earthquake Network Center, CEA, Beijing, 100036, China 5. Xinjiang Earthquake Bureau, CEA, Urumchi, 830011, China 6. Shanghai Earthquake Bureau, CEA, Shanghai, 200062, China 4. School of Civil Engineering and Mechanics, Yanshan University, Qinhuangdao, 066004, China 7. ESSCC, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia 8. the University of Queensland, St. Lucia, Brisbane, QLD, 4072, Australia |
| Abstract: | The Load Unload Response Ratio (LURR) method is an intermediate-term earthquake prediction approach that has shown considerable promise. It is inspiring that its predictions using LURR have been improving. Since 2004 we have made a major breakthrough in intermediate-term earthquake forecasting of the strong earthquakes on the Chinese mainland using LURR and successfully predicted the Pakistan earthquake with magnitude M 7.6 on October 8, 2005. The causes for improving the prediction in terms of LURR have been discussed in the present paper. |
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