编队区域防空导弹防线拦截效能分析

根据大型水面舰艇编队区域防空群的作战需求和区域舰空导弹的作战使用特点，给出了舰空导弹飞行直线距离的求解方法，并在此基础上建立了导弹对任意航路捷径目标的最大拦截次数模型、导弹对任意航路捷径目标的射击时间模型及目标在导弹发射区内的逗留时间模型，从而得到区域舰空导弹随机服务系统的系统参数．通过求解区域舰空导弹服务系统的状态平衡方程，得到了编队区域防空群舰空导弹防线对目标的拦截效能评估模型，并结合一定的战术想定，对编队区域防空群舰空导弹防线的拦截效能进行了计算．

Combat Effectiveness Analysis of the Line of Area Defense Missile Assembled in Surface Warship Formation

By the analysis of the combat requirement of area defense missiles （ADM） protecting large scale surface warship formation and the combat characteristic of area defense missile, the calculation way of straight flight distance is got. The mathematic model of the most volley degree is established when ADM fires at the target flying with random flight course crosscut, and the mathematic models about the fire time of missile and the flight time of target when ADM fires at the target flying in random course are established too. The parameters of stochastic service system in ADM are got, and the evaluation modal about the combat effectiveness of the line of ADM is got by calculating the equation of state counterpoise, in which the effectiveness is calculated by a given instance.