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The value of updated information on future price behaviour
Authors:Shuangqing Liao  Romulo I Zequeira  Ralf W Seifert
Affiliation:1. College of Management of Technology (CDM), école Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), Lausanne, Switzerland.shuangqing.liao@epfl.ch;3. College of Management of Technology (CDM), école Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), Lausanne, Switzerland.;4. IMD, Lausanne, Switzerland.
Abstract:This paper studies the value of information on future price behaviour. We consider a one-period inventory modelling framework with random period length and two order opportunities. The selling price is determined dynamically and the demand is price-sensitive. The second ordering-pricing decision reflects the updated information on future price behaviour on supply chain flexibility. We consider three models with different levels of flexibility: the static model, the quantity flexible model and the combined quantity and timing (fully) flexible model. We compare between the values of three different features in the supply chain: updated information on price behaviour, dynamic pricing and supply flexibility. And we demonstrate the effect of holding cost and demand uncertainty on these three values. We also consider a specific condition with fixed selling prices. We give explicit analysis on the optimal order decisions, and analytically show the impact of information and quantity flexibility on the optimal order decisions.
Keywords:value of information  random selling period length  supply chain flexibility
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