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灰色系统模型在矿井涌水量预测中的应用
引用本文:张宏刚.灰色系统模型在矿井涌水量预测中的应用[J].水利科技与经济,2012,18(12):36-38.
作者姓名:张宏刚
作者单位:福建省煤田地质局196地质大队矿产地质勘查院,福建三明,365500
摘    要:矿井涌水量的正确预测关系到矿井安全生产和井下排水设备的配置。因此,研究矿井涌水量预测的方法,可以更好地为矿井安全生产和排水设备采购提供技术依据。根据灰色系统预测的理论,把所测的矿井实际涌水量作为原始数据,经过适当的处理来建立灰色动态GM(1,1)模型。根据建立的模型来预测矿井涌水量,并与实测结果进行比较,决定是否需建立修正模型。最终确定用来预测矿井涌水量的合适模型。

关 键 词:矿井安全  灰色系统  涌水量预测

The Gray System Model in the Application of Mine Section Prediction
ZHANG Hong-gang.The Gray System Model in the Application of Mine Section Prediction[J].Water Conservancy Science and Technology and Economy,2012,18(12):36-38.
Authors:ZHANG Hong-gang
Affiliation:ZHANG Hong-gang(The 196 Geologic Team,Bureau of coal Geology in Fujian province,Sanming 365500,Fujian,China)
Abstract:The correct prediction mine section relationship to mine production safety and underground drainage equipment configuration, So the mine section prediction methods, can better for mine safety production and drainage equipment procurement provides technical basis o According to the theory, a grey forecasting the measured the condition of practical section as raw data, after proper treatment to set up grey dynamic GM ( 1, 1 ) model. According to the model to predict the mine with the test result, and yield comparison, decide whether to need to build correction model. Ultimately deter- mine the appropriate is used to predict the mine section model.
Keywords:heat- hazard in mine  the grey system  Section prediction
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