我国农村居民消费与收入动态关系的非参数回归分析

本文认为我国农村居民消费行为在不同时期存在显著的差异,而传统的计量经济模型是无法解释的。于是尝试将非参数估计理论引入到回归模型中来,通过建立非参数回归模型及普通的线性回归模型对我国农村居民可支配收入及消费支出之间的关系进行比较研究。并且分析了反映可支配收入与消费支出关系的时间变边际消费倾向及弹性系数。

Nonparametric Regression Analysis of Dynamic Relationship Between Consumption and Income of Countryside Residents

This paper holds that the traditional tradition econometrics cannot explain the obvious difference in the consumption behavior of countryside residents in China at different periods.Therefore,this paper attempts to introduce nonparametric estimation theory and makes a comparative study on the relationship between the income that can be dominated and consumption of countryside residents by establishing nonparametric regression model and ordinal regression model,then it analyzes the marginal consumption cline that varies with the change of time and elastic coefficient.