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Bayesian prediction inM/M/1 queues
Authors:C Armero  M J Bayarri
Affiliation:(1) Department of Statistics and Operations Research, University of Valencia, Doctor Moliner 50, 46100 Burjassot, Valencia, Spain
Abstract:Simple queues with Poisson input and exponential service times are considered to illustrate how well-suited Bayesian methods are used to handle the common inferential aims that appear when dealing with queue problems. The emphasis will mainly be placed on prediction; in particular, we study the predictive distribution of usual measures of effectiveness in anM/M/1 queue system, such as the number of customers in the queue and in the system, the waiting time in the queue and in the system, the length of an idle period and the length of a busy period.
Keywords:Bayesian inference  conjugate families  measures of performance  restricted parameter space  steady-state distributions
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