| 一种简单易行的短期负荷预测系统 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 张昊,吴捷. 一种简单易行的短期负荷预测系统[J]. 电网技术, 1998, 22(7): 14-17 |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 张昊 吴捷 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1. 广东省科学院自动化工程研制中心,510070,广州
2. 华南理工大学电力学院,510641,广州 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 广东省重点攻关项目,广东省科学院院长青年基金 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 文章研究一种简单易行的自适应模糊预测系统，系统的规则集经过历史数据样本的自适应学习获得，学习算法每天启动运行一次，文中首先阐述从数据信息中获得模糊规则的一般性方法，然后给具体，易懂的预测模型设计。
|
| 关 键 词： | 模糊系统 自适应学习 短期负荷预测 |
| 修稿时间： | 1997-12-08 |
A KIND OF SIMPLE AND EASY SHORT-TERM LOAD FORECASTING SYSTEM |
| |
| Zhang Hao,Wu Jie. A KIND OF SIMPLE AND EASY SHORT-TERM LOAD FORECASTING SYSTEM[J]. Power System Technology, 1998, 22(7): 14-17 |
| |
| Authors: | Zhang Hao Wu Jie |
| |
| Abstract: | This paper studies a kind of adaptive fuzzy forecasting system which is simple in structure and easy in accomplishment. Fuzzy forecasting rule set of the system is achieved through adaptive learning from historical data samples.The learning algorithm is started once a day. Generalized algorithm of obtaining fuzzy rules from data information is described first, then a naive and understandable forecast model is designed. Taking short term power load forecasting as application background, a series of experimental research is put forward and some evaluations and conclusions are acquired based on this research. |
| |
| Keywords: | Fuzzy systems Adaptive learning Short term load forecasting |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
