福建省电能替代政策模拟分析及推进建议

电能替代已逐渐成为国家发展新战略,是我国治理大气污染、改善环境质量、调节能源结构的重要措施.推进电能替代需结合各领域特点,深入分析政策现状,立足实际、因地制宜.基于动态规划法、移动平均法、指数平滑法等数据预测方法,对福建省电能替代政策模拟关键技术进行研究.梳理分析福建省电价类、优惠补助类、环保类、发展规划类4大类电能替代政策,并建立对应分析模型.重点分析清洁采暖领域、工业领域、农业领域等7大领域的电能替代政策现状,提出推进措施和建议,为未来开展电能替代工程提供支持.

Simulation analysis and promotion of electric energy substitution policy in Fujian province

Electric energy substitution has gradually become a new national development strategy and is an important measure to control air pollution, improve environmental quality and adjust the energy structure. Promoting electric energy substitution needs to combine the characteristics of various fields, analyze the policy status in depth, base on reality and adapt measures to local conditions. Based on data prediction methods such as dynamic programming method, moving average method, and exponential smoothing method, the key technologies of Fujian province electric energy substitution policy simulation are studied. 4 types of electricity replacement policies in Fujian province are sorted out and analyzed, including electricity price category, preferential subsidy category, environmental protection category, development planning category, and establishes the corresponding analysis models. The current status of power replacement policies in the 7 major areas including clean heating, industry, and agriculture are analyzed, and the promotion measures and recommendations are given, providing support for future power replacement projects.