甘肃省地质灾害变化趋势分析

依全省地质灾害现状及发展变化规律，用时间序列预测法对“九五”期间地质灾害趋势进行了预测，并在此基础上提出了防灾对策，为生态环境、经济、社会效益的协调发展和国土整治、国民经济持续、永续、综合发展提供决策依据。

TREND ANALYSIS TO THE CHANGING GEOLOGIC HAZARDS IN GANSU PROVINCE

Based on the current condition and the developing and changing regularities of geologic hazards in Gansu Province,and using time-series prediction method the geologic hazard trend for the period from 1995 to 2000 is predicted,and furtherly based on the prediction,a countermeasure for hazard precaution is put forward.This countermeasure is useful for goverment to make strategic decision for the coordinating development of ecologic enviroment,economy and social benefits as well as the national land management and the contineous,forever and comprehensived evelopment of national economy.