| 基于系统动力学的某市水环境承载力动态变化研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 朱银银,柴磊. 基于系统动力学的某市水环境承载力动态变化研究[J]. 水利科技与经济, 2010, 16(9): 1039-1041 |
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| 作者姓名： | 朱银银 柴磊 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 新疆维吾尔自治区水利水电勘测设计研究院,乌鲁木齐,830000
2. 新疆乌鲁木齐市城市规划设计研究院,乌鲁木齐,830063 |
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| 摘 要： | 在对某市社会、经济、环境系统分析的基础上,建立了该市的水环境承载力系统动力学模型,针对目前该市水环境存在的问题提出了9种水环境保护模拟方案。通过对各个方案下水环境承载力的动态变化分析比较,确定出了符合该市社会经济可持续发展要求的最优方案,从而为该市走可持续发展道路提供了科学的决策依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 水环境承载力 系统动力学 动态变化 最优方案 |
Study on the Dynamic Change of the Water Environment Carrying Capacity Based on System Dynamics in a city |
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| ZHU Yin-yin,CHAI Lei. Study on the Dynamic Change of the Water Environment Carrying Capacity Based on System Dynamics in a city[J]. Water Conservancy Science and Technology and Economy, 2010, 16(9): 1039-1041 |
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| Authors: | ZHU Yin-yin CHAI Lei |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Xinjiang Water Conservancy Survey and Design Institute, Urmuqi 830000, China; 2. Urmuqi City Plan and Design Institute, Urmuqi 830063, China) |
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| Abstract: | A system dynamics model of water environment carrying capacity in a city is constructed based on the studying of society, economy and environment in the city, and study out nine simulating program. The optimization program cohering with the sustainable development of the city＇ s society and economy is confirmed by comparing the water environment carrying capacity of different program, which can be used as a strategic decision for the sustainable development of the city. |
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| Keywords: | water environment carrying capacity system dynamics dynamic change optimization program |
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