基于模糊综合评判方法评估鱼雷攻击的命中概率

发射鱼雷时必须考虑鱼雷攻击的命中概率，影响鱼雷攻击命中概率的因素有我情、敌情、海况和鱼雷参数。本文采用模糊综合评判的方法对鱼雷攻击的命中概率进行了评估，建立了相应的数学模型，并进行了算例仿真，结果表明，应用该方法可以更准确地对鱼雷攻击的命中概率进行估计，同时可提高鱼雷发射决策的科学性。

Evaluation of the Torpedo Hit Probability Based on the Fuzzy Comprehensive Judgment Method

The factors that have effects on the torpedo hit probability include the situation of opposing sides and sea state as well as the torpedo parameters.Launching torpedo has to take the torpedo hit probability into consideration.In this article,the torpedo hit probability is evaluated based on the fuzzy comprehensive judgment method and the mathematic model is established.The simulation result in the given example indicates that the torpedo hit probability can be evaluated more accurately and the torpedo launching decision will be more scientific if this method is used.