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围岩失稳的灰色预报
引用本文:张建龙,谢谟文.围岩失稳的灰色预报[J].武汉大学学报(工学版),1998(4).
作者姓名:张建龙  谢谟文
作者单位:广东工业大学
摘    要:结合非线性回归分析,用灰色系统理论分析围岩稳定性,提出了围岩失稳的必要条件和几种提高模型精度的方法,并对围岩的失稳进行灰色预报.初步检验结果表明该方法具有一定的精度和实用价值.

关 键 词:围岩破坏  回归分析  灰色模型  灰色预报

Grey Forecasting of Surrounding Rock Failure
Zhang Jianlong.Grey Forecasting of Surrounding Rock Failure[J].Engineering Journal of Wuhan University,1998(4).
Authors:Zhang Jianlong
Affiliation:Zhang Jianlong (Guangdong University of Technology) Xie Mowen (Research Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Engineering)
Abstract:Combined with nonlinear regression analysis,the stability of surrounding rock is analyzed by using the method of grey system theory.The essential condition of stability of surrounding rock and the ways of improving model accuracy are presented.The grey forecasting for unstable surrounding rock is made.The verified result shows that this method has satisfactory accuracy and practical value.
Keywords:surrounding rock failure  regression analysis  grey model  grey forecasting
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