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灰色模型的优化方法及其在水文预报中的应用
摘    要:论述了灰色GM(1.1)模型的建立、计算及精确度检验等方法。给出了模型优化的一种途径,即优化参数的方法,并以济南市岩溶泉随时间变化的水位作为实例进行了具体的预报。

关 键 词:灰色模型,优化方法,水位预报

THE OPTIMIZATION METHOD GREY MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION IN GROUNDWATER PREDICTION
Han Sheng,Liu Guangqing. THE OPTIMIZATION METHOD GREY MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION IN GROUNDWATER PREDICTION[J]. Journal of Jilin Unviersity:Earth Science Edition, 1994, 0(4)
Authors:Han Sheng  Liu Guangqing
Affiliation:Mathematic Department
Abstract:GM(1,1)establishing,model calculation,results testing and methods ofprecision analysis have been described in this paper.A method of model optimization isgiven. Regarding to the change of karst spring water level with time in Jinan city,wehave made concrete prediction.
Keywords:grey model  optimization method  water level prediction
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