年度地震危险区预测问题的几点初步思考

本文通过我国年度地震危险区预测对应情况的简要分析，认为年度地震危险区判定的时效定位和异常依据的选取等存在值得注意的问题。提出年尺度中期或中短期地震危险区预测应根据不同地区震情跟踪研究进行科学的动态判定。

Some Preliminary Think on Prediction of Annual Seismic Risk Region

By analyzing briefly the corresponding situation of prediction of annual seismic risk regions in China, the article shows that there exists some remarkable pro blems in time-efficiency orientation of judging the seismic risk region and sel ection of anomaly criteria, and puts forward that we should make scientific and dynamic judging on the prediction of seismic risk regions with medium-term of one-year scale or mid-short term based on the study of earthquake situation tr acking.