| 基于CBR的危险品航空运输事故应急决策研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张青松,张秋月,刘然. 基于CBR的危险品航空运输事故应急决策研究[J]. 消防科学与技术, 2021, 40(2): 271-275 |
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| 作者姓名： | 张青松 张秋月 刘然 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 民航热灾害防控与应急重点实验室，天津300300；2. 中国民航大学经济与管理学院，天津300300 |
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| 基金项目： | 民航安全能力建设项目“危险品航空运输安全管理体系运行风险管控关键技术研究”（TRSA-20600726）；中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金“基于危险品情景的机场应急决策模型研究”（3122018D043） |
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| 摘 要： | 针对危险品航空运输事故现场信息传递不及时、不全面造成应急决策不当的问题,建立危险品航空运输事故应急决策案例推理模型.以事故现场表面信息构建案例属性;应用G1法对案例属性主观赋权进行案例优选检索,使用熵权法客观赋权结合灰色关联分析进行案例相似度检索.通过实例分析,模型计算得到的最相似案例与目标案例相似度为0.67128且...
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| 关 键 词： | 危险品航空运输 应急决策 案例推理 G1法 熵权法 灰色关联 |
Research on emergency decision-making of dangerous goods air transportation accident based on CBR |
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| ZHANG Qing-song,ZHANG Qiu-yue,LIU Ran. Research on emergency decision-making of dangerous goods air transportation accident based on CBR[J]. Fire Science and Technology, 2021, 40(2): 271-275 |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Qing-song ZHANG Qiu-yue LIU Ran |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Key Laboratory of Civil Aviation Thermal Disaster Prevention and Control andEmergency Response, Tianjin 300300, China; 2. College of Economy andManagement, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China |
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| Abstract: | Aimingat the problem of improper emergency decision- making caused by the untimelyand incomplete transmission of on- site information of dangerous goods airtransportation accidents, a case-based reasoning model for emergency decision- makingof dangerous goods air transportation accidents was established. Build caseattributes with surface information on the accident site; The G1 methodperforms case optimization search for the subjective weighting of caseattributes, and the entropy weight method combines objective weighting withgray correlation analysis for case similarity search.Through example analysis,the similarity between the most similar case calculated by the model and thetarget case is 0.671 28 and the emergency decision-making schemes of the twoare similar, indicating that the model can provide emergency decision-makingguidance for dangerous goods air transportation accidents. |
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| Keywords: | air transportation of dangerous goods,emergency decision-making,CBR,G1 method,entropy method grey correlation, |
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