| 灰色系统电力负荷预测模型在北疆电网的应用研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张大顺,马苏文.灰色系统电力负荷预测模型在北疆电网的应用研究[J].水资源与水工程学报,2013,24(3):165-168. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张大顺 马苏文 |
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| 作者单位： | 新疆水利水电勘测设计研究院,新疆乌鲁木齐,830000 |
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| 摘 要： | 电力系统负荷预测的准确度和精度会对电力系统安全、稳定、经济、可靠性产生巨大影响.本文在对灰色系统理论的基础上,建立灰色系统电力负荷预测模型,并对模型应用到新疆北疆电网,对2020年电力负荷进行预测,其预测结果精度较为满意.灰色系统电力负荷预测是较为可靠的预测方法.
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色系统 电力负荷预测 北疆电网 |
| 收稿时间： | 2012/12/17 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2013/5/16 0:00:00 |
Application of electric load forecast model of grey system in the north of Xinjiang power grid |
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| ZHANG Dashun and MA Suwen.Application of electric load forecast model of grey system in the north of Xinjiang power grid[J].Journal of water resources and water engineering,2013,24(3):165-168. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Dashun and MA Suwen |
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| Affiliation: | Xinjiang Survey and Design Institute for Water Resources and Hydropower, Urumqi 830000, China [KH*3D];Xinjiang Survey and Design Institute for Water Resources and Hydropower, Urumqi 830000, China [KH*3D] |
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| Abstract: | The accuracy and precision of electric system load have great influence on the safety,stability, economy, reliability of electricity system. Based on the theory of grey system, this paper built electric power load forecast model of gray system, which is applied to the north of Xinjiang power grid and used to forecast power load in 2020.The accuracy prediction results is satisfactory. Grey system electric load forecast model is a reliable method. |
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| Keywords: | grey system electric system load forecast power grid of north Xinjiang |
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