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Extreme value distributions for nonlinear transformations of vector Gaussian processes
Authors:Sayan Gupta  PHAJM van Gelder  
Affiliation:aDepartment of Civil Engineering, Section of Hydraulic Engineering, Technical University of Delft, Stevinweg 1, PO BOX 5048, 2600 GA, Delft, The Netherlands
Abstract:Approximations are developed for the marginal and joint probability distributions for the extreme values, associated with a vector of non-Gaussian random processes. The component non-Gaussian processes are obtained as nonlinear transformations of a vector of stationary, mutually correlated, Gaussian random processes and are thus, mutually dependent. The multivariate counting process, associated with the number of level crossings by the component non-Gaussian processes, is modelled as a multivariate Poisson point process. An analytical formulation is developed for determining the parameters of the multivariate Poisson process. This, in turn, leads to the joint probability distribution of the extreme values of the non-Gaussian processes, over a given time duration. For problems not amenable for analytical solutions, an algorithm is developed to determine these parameters numerically. The proposed extreme value distributions have applications in time-variant reliability analysis of randomly vibrating structural systems. The method is illustrated through three numerical examples and their accuracy is examined with respect to estimates from full scale Monte Carlo simulations of vector non-Gaussian processes.
Keywords:Extreme value distributions  System reliability  Non-Gaussian random processes  Nonlinear transformations  Importance sampling  Multidimensional integration  Multiple design points
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