| 江西省中小河流洪水风险评价研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李明辉,李友辉,易卫华,邓沐平.江西省中小河流洪水风险评价研究[J].人民长江,2011,42(13):31-34. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李明辉 李友辉 易卫华 邓沐平 |
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| 作者单位： | 江西省水利规划设计院,江西南昌,330029 |
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| 基金项目： | 水利部公益性行业科研专项(201101041) |
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| 摘 要： | 为了评价中小河流的洪水风险，借鉴国内一些相关研究成果，基于层次分析法，提出了中小河流洪水风险评价指标的选择原则，提出了1个系统层、4个子系统层和10个要素层的中小河流洪水风险评价指标及其评价方法。将所建立的层次分析模型应用于江西省乌江流域洪水风险评价的研究，得出了乌江流域防洪高风险、较大风险、一般风险、低风险、无风险各种情况下的概率。经综合分析，评价结果符合乌江流域的实际情况。
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| 关 键 词： | 洪水风险 模糊综合评判 中小河流 江西省 |
Research on flood risk assessment for medium and small rivers in Jiangxi Province |
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| LI Minghui,LI Youhui,YI Weihua,DENG Muping.Research on flood risk assessment for medium and small rivers in Jiangxi Province[J].Yangtze River,2011,42(13):31-34. |
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| Authors: | LI Minghui LI Youhui YI Weihua DENG Muping |
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| Affiliation: | LI Minghui,LI Youhui,YI Weihua,DENG Muping(Water Resources Planning and Design Institute of Jiangxi,Nanchang 330029,China) |
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| Abstract: | In order to assess the flood risk of medium and small rivers,by reference of relative research achievements at home and abroad,and based on analytic hierarchy process,we put forward the selection principles of flood risk assessment indexes for medium and small rivers and the suggestions on evaluation method and flood risk assessment index system consisted of 1 system hierarchy,4 sub-system hierarchies and 10 factor hierarchies.The established model is applied to flood risk analysis of Wujiang River in Jiang... |
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| Keywords: | flood risk fuzzy comprehensive assessment medium and small rivers Jiangxi Province |
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