线性系统的鲁棒容错控制设计方法

考虑了线性故障系统的鲁棒容错控制问题。利用状态反馈特征结构配置参数化结果,提出了一种鲁棒容错控制设计方法。该方法将故障系统的鲁棒容错控制问题转化为含有约束的最小化问题。数值算例及其仿真结果验证了所设计方法的简单性和有效性。     

多帧高斯混合概率假设密度的多目标跟踪算法

针对低检测概率下多目标跟踪时,概率假设密度滤波器难以正确估计当前目标个数以及目标状态问题,提出一种基于多帧融合的高斯混合概率假设密度滤波算法。根据不同时刻目标权值构造目标多帧权值记录集及目标状态抽取标志。当某些时刻目标被漏检时,依据目标状态抽取标志,并结合目标多帧权值记录集中权值信息估计丢失目标的状态。仿真实验表明,算法有效地提高了低检测概率下现有相关算法的目标状态和数目估计精度。     

Why did Sudan Lose a small war in Southern Sudan?

ABSTRACT

When on the wrong end of an asymmetry in the projection of hard power, weaker sides countenance the grim arithmetic of avoiding direct and massed confrontations. Invariably, insurgents have over the ages tended to employ indirect tactical methods to render their stronger opponents ineffective. Ultimately – interest asymmetry, regime type, asymmetries of strategy, and external intervention – combine in a complex interplay and pattern, to militate against a strong side. In Sudan, these factors interacted throughout the civil wars to produce regional autonomy and finally an independent South Sudan in 2011. Similar strategic logic had confronted many large African states battling insurgencies in Ethiopia, Angola, Nigeria, Zaire, and apartheid-era South Africa. Oftentimes, weakening public resolve has caused these governments to accommodate, capitulate or withdraw even if they try not to blink. Notwithstanding the regime type, it can be concluded that the majority of strong actors are prone to fail in a protracted, asymmetric conflict. Hence, the notion of linking victory in counterinsurgency to the degree of openness (democratic polyarchies); or closeness (totalitarianism) – is still valid but highly contestable in the case of Africa’s large dysfunctional states.     

推进国家治理体系和治理能力现代化

党的十八届三中全会首次提出“推进国家治理体系和治理能力现代化”,并将其作为全面深化改革的总目标。本文从国家治理理念的转变、国家治理现代化的核心内容和本质特征三个方面,阐释了在当代中国完善和发展中国特色社会主义制度,必须推进国家治理体系和治理能力现代化。     

航空发动机自适应模拟退火遗传算法建模

以阶跃输入响应进行模型的检验,提出了航空发动机状态模型的建立方法:在抽功法所建立的状态空间模型的基础上,利用自适应模拟退火遗传算法对A、C矩阵元素进行寻优,解决了状态空间模型的响应与非线性模型不能够很好吻合的难题。仿真表明,得到的状态空间模型无论是动态过程还是稳态过程都能取得较高的建模精度,为航空发动机分布式控制的研究奠定了强有力的基础。     

基于Stateflow的PERT网络仿真方法

介绍了基于Stateflow的PERT网络仿真方法,详细阐述了建模思路、建模步骤以及难点问题的解决方法,并对PERT网络实例进行了仿真。该方法容许工序的持续时间服从任意分布,而且可以考虑所有可能出现的关键路线。     

Ethnic crises and national security in Nigeria

The article focuses on the interface between ethnicity and national security in Nigeria. It critically explores the negative mobilization of ethnicity in Nigeria's fourth republic, and how this has been shaping (and reshaping) the democratization process, particularly in the management of cooperation and conflict over contestations for power and other resources. The re-democratization of Nigeria in 1999 has been preceded with high expectations of meaningful reductions in the high level of insecurity witnessed under the long years of military suzerainty. However, this has not been the case. Rather, what is obtained is an increase in national insecurity on a much larger scale. This article argues that one of the banes of national security in the Nigerian state is ethnic politics, which continues to witness changes in context and character with grave consequences for the future of democracy. The central argument is that ethnicity has always been a major driver of politics and conflicts in Nigeria and the trend is not likely to change anytime soon.     

多尺度方法在强非线性系统中应用的一个注释

多尺度法在求解非线性系统时,目前所得到的结果多集中在弱非线性系统上。论文对多尺度法进行了改进。对强非线性杜芬系统进行了变换,得到了强非线性杜芬系统存在3个解的结论,其中大的和小的是稳定的,中间的是不稳定的,物理上实现哪个稳定运动取决于初始条件。     

基于劣化度的装备健康状态评估模型

为了准确评估装备的健康状态,实施装备的状态维修,引入劣化度概念,结合装备的特点,确定了以装备特征参数劣化度为评估指标,运用变权模糊理论,建立了基于劣化度的装备健康状态变权模糊综合评估模型。结合地空导弹装备实际工作,进行了实例分析,验证了该方法的准确性和有效性。     

有线控制飞行器群脉冲耦合效应及加固方法研究

飞行器在飞行状态时,控制导线在电快速瞬变脉冲群（EFT）作用下,该设备控制指令将会出现控制状态错误翻转、持续无指令输出等故障,产生故障的机理是电磁脉冲（EMP）通过传导方式进入控制箱产生紊乱的回输信号所致,严重时会损坏控制器及起飞装置。在实验基础上,研究了飞行器控制导线对电磁脉冲的防护加固方法,研究结果表明,对控制导线采取屏蔽法能够使飞行器对电磁脉冲具有很好的防护效果。