基于粗糙集理论与遗传规划的地表下沉系数预测研究

利用粗糙集理论处理大数据量.消除冗余信息等方面的优势,计算出下沉系数各影响因素的属性重要性,约简了遗传规划训练样本集,建立了基于粗糙集和遗传规划的地表下沉系数预测模型。并与BP神经网络法预测结果进行了对比,结果表明,本模型具有精度高,收敛速度快等特点,将其应用到地表下沉系数预测中是可行的。     

Research on Formation Mechanisms of Hot Dry Rock Resources in China

As an important geothermal resource, hot dry rock(HDR) reserves have been studied in many countries. HDR resources in China have huge capacity and have become one of the most important resources for the potential replacement of fossil fuels. However, HDR resources are difficult to develop and utilise. Technologies for use with HDR, such as high–temperature drilling, reservoir characterisation, reservoir fracturing, microseismic monitoring and high–temperature power stations, originate from the field of oil and drilling. Addressing how to take advantage of these developed technologies is a key factor in the development of HDR reserves. Based on the thermal crustal structure in China, HDR resources can be divided into four types: high radioactive heat production, sedimentary basin, modern volcano and the inner–plate active tectonic belt. The prospective regions of HDR resources are located in South Tibet, West Yunnan, the southeast coast of China, Bohai Rim, Songliao Basin and Guanzhong Basin. The related essential technologies are relatively mature, and the prospect of HDR power generation is promising. Therefore, analysing the formation mechanisms of HDR resources and promoting the transformation of technological achievements, large–scale development and the utilisation of HDR resources can be achieved in China.     

全国地热资源调查评价与勘查示范工程进展

地热作为一种清洁能源,在我国经济发展与能源转型过程中正发挥着越来越重要的作用。“全国地热资源调查评价与勘查示范工程”自实施以来,主要开展了京津冀地区地热资源评价以及东南沿海和青藏高原东部干热岩的勘查等工作。这些工作的开展在获得一系列科研突破成果的同时,也解决了大量地热开发的工程问题,积累了大量成果和经验。该文对工程取得的进展及成果进行了总结,对工作开展中出现的问题进行了探讨,可用于指导我国地热资源勘查开发工作。     

�������Ƶ��𲨼�¼����

????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????У?1??????????????????????e ^-1.5????????????(<20 km)?????(>20 km)?????????????;2????????????????????????????????????????1?????????????????Ч????????У???????Щ???????????ε???Ч???3???????S???????????????????????P???????С,?????????????????в???????й??     

地下水源热泵应用适宜性评价指标体系研究

本文通过分析影响我国区域地下水源热泵建设的几个重要因素,运用层次分析的方法,建立了我国区域地下水源热泵适宜性评价的指标体系。分析过程中通过运用Arcgis、Mapgis等绘图及空间分析软件,结合我国区域部分资料,对数据进行矢量化、分类与标准化,利用Arcgis的空间分析功能对地下水源热泵建设的适宜性进行了分区。将我国已经建立地下水源热泵的区域与评价结果进行分析比较,表明所建立的指标体系正确,评价结果可信,从而为地下水源热泵系统设计人员提供了一定的依据,为地下水源热泵因地制宜、合理有序的应用,提供了参考。     

Genesis of Geothermal Fluid in Typical Geothermal Fields in Western Sichuan,China

The hydrogeochemical characteristics of geothermal fluids can reveal the genesis of geothermal systems and act as important references for developing and using geothermal resources.This study presents hydrogeochemical processes and thermal cycle mechanisms of typical geothermal fields in Western Sichuan.Based on the geological conditions in Western Sichuan,29 hot springs in three geothermal fields in the Batang and Litang areas were selected for hydrochemical and isotopic (δD andδ~(18)O) analyses.Furthermore,the temperature of the thermal reservoir was calculated and the upflow cooling process of the hot springs was analyzed.Most of the subterranean hot waters in Batang and Litang are of the HCO_3-Na hydrochemical type.The ion variation in Batang is primarily affected by water-rock interactions.There is a strong positive correlation between Na~+,B~-,and Cl~-in Litang,suggesting that they have the same material source.The Na~+and metaboric acid content is relatively high,which indicates that the groundwater runoff in both areas is relatively long-lasting,with reduced flow velocity;moreover,the metasilicic acid content is relatively high,which supports this conclusion.Both hydrogen and oxygen isotopes plot near the atmospheric precipitation line,indicating that groundwater recharge is functionally obtained from precipitation.The calculated thermal storage temperatures in Batang and Litang were 88–199°C and 96–154°C,respectively.The proportion of cold water mixing in Batang was 64%–67%,while that in Litang was 60%–68%.According to the calculated results,the initial thermal cycle depth of the Batang area (4540–4780 m) was greater than that of the Litang area (3150–3960 m).The enthalpy of the deep parental geothermal fluid in Batang was 1550 J/g with a Cl~-concentration of 37 mg/L,while that in Litang was 2100 J/g with a Cl~-concentration of 48 mg/L.     

基于模糊-集对分析理论的泥石流危险性评价

集对分析理论是一种处理确定性和不确定性的定量系统分析方法。本文通过模糊联系度对集对分析理论中的差异度系数做进一步挖掘和分析,建立了模糊-集对分析算法,即通过模糊联系度挖掘样本数据讨论类别与相邻类别间的接近程度,得出该类别与相邻类别之间的同异反信息。为了验证模型的适用性,通过实测北京房山区和门头沟区6条泥石流小流域基础数据,进行了危险性评价,并将评价结果与传统评价理论进行对比分析。得出结论：模糊-集对分析理论可以深度挖掘样本类别与相邻类别之间的同异反关系,通过对比现场调查数据发现模糊-集对分析法对泥石流小流域的评价结果更切合实际,且评价结果与可拓学等评价结果基本一致,该方法具有较高的准确性和严密性。     

山西省部分台站下方S波速度结构研究及与地震关系探讨

本文利用山西省数字台网的深源远震S波记录,利用直接拟合S波波形的方法反演得到了山西境内山自皂(113.71,40.08)、右玉(112.37,40.02)、苛岚(111.72,38.78)、昔阳(113.72,37.57)、离石(111.24,37.53)、夏县(111.24,35.12)共6个台站下的剪切波速度结构.     

大气中磷化氢的源与汇及其形成机理

研究天然环境中的磷化氢将会加深对磷的生物地球化学循环的认识,同时对于认识和解决当前环境中富营养化、生物除磷等问题提供一定的参考和帮助。通过对近30a相关研究工作的分析,介绍了大气中磷化氢的各种源与汇及磷化氢测定方法,阐述了磷化氢形成的热力学和微生物学机理,并探讨了磷化氢研究中存在源汇不全面、生物化学形成机理不清楚、水体样品检测方法、生态及其毒理效应等问题,这些问题也将是未来的研究重点。