Burst Detection by Water Demand Nowcasting Based on Exogenous Sensors

Bursts of drinking water pipes not only cause loss of drinking water, but also damage below and above ground infrastructure. Short-term water demand forecasting is a valuable tool in burst detection, as deviations between the forecast and actual water demand may indicate a new burst. Many of burst detection methods struggle with false positives due to non-seasonal water consumption as a result of e.g. environmental, economic or demographic exogenous influences, such as weather, holidays, festivities or pandemics. Finding a robust alternative that reduces the false positive rate of burst detection and does not rely on data from exogenous processes is essential. We present such a burst detection method, based on Bayesian ridge regression and Random Sample Consensus. Our exogenous nowcasting method relies on signals of all nearby flow and pressure sensors in the distribution net with the aim to reduce the false positive rate. The method requires neither data of exogenous processes, nor extensive historical data, but only requires one week of historical data per flow/pressure sensor. The exogenous nowcasting method is compared with a common water demand forecasting method for burst detection and shows sufficiently higher Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiencies of 82.7% - 90.6% compared to 57.9% - 77.7%, respectively. These efficiency ranges indicate a more accurate water demand prediction, resulting in more precise burst detection.

     

Food security problems in sub-Saharan Africa: Operations Research as a tool of analysis

For many years, the author has been involved in teaching and research in the use of Operations Research as a tool of analysis to study food security problems in sub‐Saharan Africa, in particular, grass root problems of poor farmers. The paper presents an introduction to the way Operations Research methods have been applied in case studies and research projects, and discusses in retrospect the author's views on the strengths and limitations of the application of Operations Research. The paper has in particular been written for people who are not familiar with applications of Operations Research in agriculture, and are interested to learn about its potential usefulness in practice. The retrospective part is largely based on food security studies in e.g. Tanzania, Burkina Faso, Bénin, Togo and Eritrea and on participation in several interdisciplinary research programmes in Africa.     

Similarities and differences in four views of David.

In this article, each author gives a brief comment on similarities he or she sees throughout the case formulations captured in the articles by Watson (2010a), Silberschatz (2010), Goldfried (2010), and Caspar (2010). A systematic comparison is added. Overall, the impression is confirmed and maintained that if authors are ready to renounce the use of the jargon of their specific approach, many similarities can be found. There are nevertheless differences that would lead us to expect a different course of therapy and different effects beyond the main effect of recovery in the case of David, pursuing the conceptualization and interventions proposed by Watson (2010b). (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Acoustic emission (AE) measurements to determine the dynamic flying characteristics of optical sliders

Flying heads carrying a magnetic coil and a high numerical aperture lens for magneto-optic recording or a solid immersion lens for optical phase change recording, respectively, are promising approaches for increasing the data density. A classic approach to dynamically evaluate the flight attitude of flying heads in data storage is acoustic emission (AE) testing of the head/disk interaction using special glide heads. In our paper we introduce the application of AE test heads for measuring the flying characteristics of optical far field and near field sliders. In comparison to conventional external AE sensors, i.e. sensors mounted somewhere in the drive, these AE elements are directly mounted on the sliders thus yielding a higher pulse shape and a better signal to noise ratio. This set-up allows a clear identification of the head disk contact. To calibrate the sensor a bump disk was fabricated and used for AE measurements.     

Controlled Single-Cooper-Pair Charging Effects in a Small Josephson Junction Array

We report on measurements of single-Cooper-pair charging effects in small Josephson junction arrays, and the experimental techniques that were used. We succeeded in having complete control over the array's electrostatic parameters; offset charges were accurately compensated, and the poisoning of 2e-periodic effects by quasiparticles was circumvented. This allowed for a controlled study of the array's coherent ground state. A few measurements gave results which were not fully 2e-periodic due to interesting parity effects. The arrays are in the regime where the energy scales for the Josephson effect and single-charge effects are comparable.     

Ten-channel coherent optical fibre transmission

A laboratory ten-channel coherent fibre-optic broadband transmission system is reported. The frequency-division-multiplexed optical carriers are separated by 6 GHz and are demultiplexed by a tunable heterodyne receiver having a sensitivity of -46 dBm at a bit error rate of 10-9. In this system a maximum number of 64 channels can be installed.     

The current status of psychotherapy integration in Germany and Switzerland.

The questions raised by Paul Wachtel are addressed in what follows. Some details have needed to be simplified, as what follows tries to describe the situation in two countries. Moreover, in one of them, Switzerland, the situation varies considerably from canton to canton (corresponding to U.S. states), reminding one of the joke in which a child asks his father where babies come from, and the father answers: "This all depends on the canton." (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

Microstructural and High-Temperature Electrical Characterization of La<Subscript>1 − <Emphasis Type="Italic">x</Emphasis></Subscript>Sr<Subscript><Emphasis Type="Italic">x</Emphasis></Subscript>FeO<Subscript>3 − δ</Subscript>

Strontium-doped lanthanum ferrites (LSF) were studied using scanning electron microscopy (SEM), X-ray diffraction (XRD), 4-point D.C. electrical conductivity and bulk property measurements. The results were compared to those of previous studies as well as selected processing conditions. The investigation focused on effects of sintering temperature, time, atmosphere (air, O₂ and N₂) and composition of La_1–xSr_xFeO_3– (x = 0.2–0.9), on the sintering behavior, microstructural development and electrical conductivity. An oxalate precipitation method was used to prepare lanthanum ferrite powders. Simultaneous thermogravimetric and differential thermal analysis (TGA/DTA) studies found calcination temperatures of 800 and 850^C were necessary to form single-phase crystalline powders, as determined by XRD. Specimens were sintered from 1300 to 1400^C with dwell times from to 2 hrs. Results from SEM/EDS analysis showed the presence of a second phase in the samples fired in air or oxygen. The second phase was not detected by x-ray diffraction due to the small amount of material present. Samples fired in nitrogen had the lowest conductivity while those fired in oxygen had the highest. A composition of x = 0.5 resulted in the highest conductivity, 352 S/cm, at an operating temperature of 550C in air. High strontium additions (x = 0.9) lowered the linear shrinkage of LSF.