Do U.S. county data disprove linear no‐threshold predictions of lung cancer risk for residential radon?‐A preliminary assessment of biological plausibility

Lung‐cancer mortality (LCM) is elevated in underground miners who chronically inhaled the mutagenic, cytotoxic α‐decay products of radon gas. Epidemiologie studies of LCM rates vs. residential‐radon concentration levels are generally considered inconclusive. However, Cohen (Health Physics 68, 157–174, 1995) has hypothesized that data on LCM vs. residential radon concentrations at the U.S. county level are clearly inconsistent with a linear no‐threshold (LN) dose‐response model, and rather are consistent with threshold or hormesis model. Cohen's hypothesis has been criticized as “ecological fallacy,”; particularly because LN (but not threshold or hormesis) models are generally considered biologically plausible for agents like α radiation that damage DNA in linear proportion to dose. To assess the biological plausibility of Cohen's hypothesis, a preliminary study was made of whether a biologically realistic, cytodynamic 2‐stage (CD2) cancer model can provide a good, joint fit to Cohen's set of U.S. county data as well as to underground‐miner data. The CD2 model used adapts a widely applied, mechanistic, 2‐stage stochastic model of carcinogenesis to realistically account for interrelated cell killing and mutation (both assumed to have a LN dose‐response), cell turnover, and incomplete exposure of stem cells. A CD2 fit was obtained to combined summary data on LCM vs. radon‐exposure in white males in 1, 601 U.S. counties (from Cohen) and in white male Colorado Plateau (CP) uranium miners (from the National Research Council's “BEIRIV”; report). The CD2 fit is shown to: (i) be consistent with the combined data; (ii) have parameter values all consistent with biological data; and (iii) predict inverse dose‐rate‐effects data for CP and other radon‐exposed miners, despite the fact that optimization had not involved any of these dose‐rate data. The latter data were not predicted by a simplified CD2 model in which all stem cells were presumed to be exposed. It is concluded that this study provides preliminary evidence that Cohen's hypothesis is biologically plausible.     

Social perspectives on the use of reference conditions in restoration of fire‐adapted forest landscapes

As approaches to ecological restoration become increasingly large scale and collaborative, there is a need to better understand social aspects of restoration and how they influence land management. In this article, we examine social perspectives that influence the determination of ecological reference conditions in restoration. Our analysis is based on in‐depth interviews with diverse stakeholders involved in collaborative restoration of fire‐adapted forest landscapes. We conducted interviews with 86 respondents from six forest collaboratives that are part of the U.S. Forest Service's Collaborative Forest Landscape Restoration Program. Collaboratives use a variety of approaches to develop reference conditions, including historic, contemporary, and future scenarios. Historical conditions prior to European settlement (nineteenth century or “pre‐settlement” conditions), or prior to more recent grazing, logging, and exclusion of fire, were the predominant type of reference used in all sites. Stakeholders described benefits and limitations of reference conditions. Primary benefits include (1) providing a science‐based framework for bringing stakeholders together around a common vision; (2) gaining social understanding and acceptance of the underlying need for restoration; and (3) serving to neutralize otherwise value‐laden discussions about multiple, sometimes competing, resource objectives. Limitations stem from (1) concerns over social conflict when reference conditions are perceived to contradict other stakeholder values and interests, (2) differing interpretations of reference condition science, (3) inappropriate application or over‐generalization of reference information, and (4) limited relevance of historical references for current and future conditions in some ecosystems. At the same time, collaboratives are adopting innovative strategies to address conceptual and methodological limitations of reference conditions.     

Shapes and functions of species–area curves (II): a review of new models and parameterizations

This paper has extended and updated my earlier list and analysis of candidate models used in theoretical modelling and empirical examination of species–area relationships (SARs). I have also reviewed trivariate models that can be applied to include a second independent variable (in addition to area) and discussed extensively the justifications for fitting curves to SARs and the choice of model. There is also a summary of the characteristics of several new candidate models, especially extended power models, logarithmic models and parameterizations of the negative-exponential family and the logistic family. I have, moreover, examined the characteristics and shapes of trivariate linear, logarithmic and power models, including combination variables and interaction terms. The choice of models according to best fit may conflict with problems of non-normality or heteroscedasticity. The need to compare parameter estimates between data sets should also affect model choice. With few data points and large scatter, models with few parameters are often preferable. With narrow-scale windows, even inflexible models such as the power model and the logarithmic model may produce good fits, whereas with wider-scale windows where inflexible models do not fit well, more flexible models such as the second persistence (P2) model and the cumulative Weibull distribution may be preferable. When extrapolations and expected shapes are important, one should consider models with expected shapes, e.g. the power model for sample area curves and the P2 model for isolate curves. The choice of trivariate models poses special challenges, which one can more effectively evaluate by inspecting graphical plots.     

Model for external influences on cellular signal transduction pathways including cytosolic calcium oscillations

Experiments on the effects of extremely-low-frequency (ELF) electric and magnetic fields on cells of the immune system, T-lymphocytes in particular, suggest that the external field interacts with the cell at the level of intracellular signal transduction pathways. These are directly connected with changes in the calcium-signaling processes of the cell. Based on these findings, a theoretical model for receptor-controlled cytosolic calcium oscillations and for external influences on the signal transduction pathway is presented. We discuss the possibility that the external field acts on the kinetics of the signal transduction between the activated receptors at the cell membrane and the G-proteins. It is shown that, depending on the specific combination of cell internal biochemical and external physical parameters, entirely different responses of the cell can occur. We compare the effects of a coherent (periodic) modulation and of incoherent perturbations (noise). The model and the calculations are based on the theory of self-sustained, nonlinear oscillators. It is argued that these systems form an ideal basis for information-encoding processes in biological systems. © 1995 Wiley-Liss, Inc.     

Patterns of intra- and interspecific association in leaf-mining insects on three oak host species

Abstract. 1. We determined mortality and distributional patterns of leaf miners on three oak host species (Quercus falcata, Q.nigra and Q.hemisphaerica) in northern Florida, U.S.A.
2. Patterns of intra- and interspecific occurrence within leaves, and mortality of five most abundant leaf miner species were analysed as a test of competition.
3. Miners co-occurred on leaves more often that expected by chance (P<0.05) in six of ten possible species combinations and log-linear model analysis showed no negative higher-order interactions.
4. All five miner species had highly clumped distributions between leaves (P<0.01).
5. Leaf miner survival was less than expected for four of five species when co-occurring on leaves with conspecifics than when mining with heterospecifics or alone (P<0.05).
6. We conclude that interspecific competition is unapparent within this leaf miner guild and that intraspecific competition occurs in four of the five major leaf miner species. We discuss leaf miner selection of common leaves, perhaps based on chemical/physical leaf characters, as a cause of intra- and interspecific aggregation.     

Effects of carbon dioxide concentration on the interactive effects of temperature and water vapour on stomatal conductance in soybean

Soybeans were grown at three CO₂ concentrations in outdoor growth chambers and at two concentrations in controlled-environment growth chambers to investigate the interactive effects of CO₂, temperature and leaf-to-air vapour pressure difference (LAVPD) on stomatal conductance. The decline in stomatal conductance with CO₂ was a function of both leaf temperature and LAVPD. In the field measurements, stomatal conductance was more sensitive to LAVPD at low CO₂ at 30 °C but not at 35 °C. There was also a direct increase in conductance with temperature, which was greater at the two elevated carbon dioxide concentrations. Environmental growth chamber results showed that the relative stomatal sensitivity to LAVPD decreased with both leaf temperature and CO₂. Measurements in the environmental growth chamber were also performed at the opposing CO₂, and these experiments indicate that the stomatal sensitivity to LAVPD was determined more by growth CO₂ than by measurement CO₂. Two models that describe stomatal responses to LAVPD were compared with the outdoor data to evaluate whether these models described adequately the interactive effects of CO₂, LAVPD and temperature.     

On the Information Matrix of Exponential Mixture Models with Long-term Survivors

The aim of this paper is to study the properties of the asymptotic variances of the maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters of the exponential mixture model with long-term survivors for randomly censored data. In addition, we study the asymptotic relative efficiency of these estimators versus those which would be obtained with complete follow-up. It is shown that fixed censoring at time T produces higher precision as well as higher asymptotic relative efficiency than those obtainable under uniform and uniform-exponential censoring distributions over (0, T). The results are useful in planning the size and duration of survival experiments with long-term survivors under random censoring schemes.     

Understanding telomerase in cancer stem cell biology

Comment on: Vicente-Dueñas C, et al. Oncotarget 2012; Epub ahead of print; PMID:22408137.