Sociotechnical systems, risk management, and public health: comparing the North Battleford and Walkerton outbreaks

Accidents in different complex sociotechnical systems are rarely compared using the same theoretical framework for risk management. We conducted a comparative analysis of two Canadian public health disasters involving drinking water distribution systems, the North Battleford Cryptosporidium parvum outbreak in April 2001 and the Walkerton E. coli outbreak in May 2000. Both accidents resulted from a complex interaction between all levels of a complex sociotechnical system. However, the low-level physical and individual factors differed in the two cases, whereas, the high-level governmental and regulatory factors tended to be the same. These findings may have implications for the design of public policies to minimize risk in complex sociotechnical systems.     

ㄇ形梁剪力滞效应的解析解

精确分析ㄇ形梁在纵横向荷载共同作用下,其横断面上正应力分布规律对于计算其有效宽度有重要意义,应用力法原理,先将ㄇ形梁和翼板截开成矩形截面梁和平面应力板,在截面上代之以赘余的分布剪力,对于平面应力板,通过利用板变形的对称性来简化其边界条件,然后假设一个满足板的控制方程的Airy应力函数求得板的应力和位移,再利用Timoshenko梁理论求得梁的挠度和转角,根据截面上梁与板的纵向位移相等的变形协调条件便可最终确定截面上的分布剪力,给出的数值算例验证了方法的有效性,并与铜陵长江公路大桥主梁的模型有限元结果和试验结果作了对比,解析解法还可用来检验其他各种数值计算方法的精度,并可推广到其他多跨薄壁结构梁桥的膜应力分析中。     

Child Death From Pediatric Illness: Conceptualizing Intervention From a Family/Systems and Public Health Perspective.

Despite the universal and understandable distress associated with the death of a child from pediatric illness, do psychologists help surviving families in ways that match their need for assistance? Many families do not seek psychological help and cope adaptively with their loss. Indications for psychotherapy with bereaved families are based largely on experience with families who engage in treatment and who have greater distress. Other families may not receive sufficient services but are at risk for ongoing difficulties and unlikely to engage in treatment. Suggestions for intervention are made, with attention to the fit of therapeutic approaches with family needs. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

A Revised Methodology for Research on Metamemory: Pre-judgment Recall And Monitoring (PRAM).

A revised methodology is described for research on metacognitive monitoring, especially judgments of learning (JOLs), to investigate psychological processing that previously has been only hypothetical and unobservable. During data collection a new stage of recall occurs just prior to the JOL, so that during data analysis the items can be partitioned into subcategories to measure the degree of JOL accuracy in ways that are more analytic than was previously possible. A weighted-average combinatorial rule allows the component measures of JOL accuracy to be combined into the usual overall measure of metacognitive accuracy. An example using the revised methodology offers a new explanation for the delayed-JOL effect, in which delayed JOLs are more accurate than immediate JOLs for predicting recall. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

永升城基础大体积混凝土施工的裂缝预控

基础大体积混凝土施工的裂缝控制 ,从分析产生裂缝的原因来阐述 ,将冷缝作为结构性裂缝来预控     

东濮凹陷三春集下第三系隐蔽油气藏研究

东濮凹陷三春集地区下第三系隆起带各高点勘探效果较东翼斜坡带差，但具备形成隐蔽油气藏的地质条件，该地区沙四上亚段－沙三下亚段烃源岩晚第三纪早中期产烃规模有限，生成的油气沿着断层向固阳洼陷西侧运移，在春东断层下降盘中的反向屋脊岩性圈闭中富集。通过石油地质综合研究，预测固阳洼陷西侧为三春集构造带陷蔽油气藏滚动勘探的有利地区。图3参2（张建军摘）。     

Process monitoring using auto-associative,feed-forward artificial neural networks

The potential of using artificially simulated neural networks as intelligent, adaptive process-monitoring devices is discussed. The investigation is considered as a method for automatic, intelligent exception reporting for quality control applications. The technique is also compared with the conventional statistical approaches of principal component analysis and Kohonen's feature map. The applications of the technique in aerospace and manufacturing environments are presented and a possible extension of the method to incorporate a diagnostic function is discussed.Seconded from Cheltenham and Gloucester College of Higher Education as a Royal Society/SERC Research Fellow at Smith's Industries Aerospace and Defence Systems, Bishop's Cleeve, Cheltenham, UK.     

新一代厂站计算机监控系统软件的研制

本介绍一种新的基于开放系统环境的计算机监控系统软件的开发研究及其设计目标、实现方法及应用情况。     

Synthesis of heterocyclic metal complexes and their evaluation as marine antifoulants

4-Amino-3-thio-1,24-triazolidine (L₁) and 4-amino-5-thio-1,3,4-thiadiazole (L_II) as well as their metal complexes of the general formulae ML_I·2H₂O and ML_IICl (M; Pb(II), Cd(II) and Zn(II)) were prepared. With Sn(II), we obtained Sn(L_I)₂·2H₂O and SnL_IICl, respectively. The structures of the compounds were identified through elemental analysis, and IR and UV spectra measurements, in addition to thermal analysis in case of the metal complexes. The antifouling properties of the compounds were tested by their incorporation into paint formulations which were applied to PVC substrates and tested in water from Alexandria western harbour. When the compounds were added at 17·5% by volume, the coated panels were fouled after 3 months of immersion. The addition of 6·7% by volume of tributyltin oxide to 15·8% of the prepared compounds in one formulation elevated the paint efficiency and prevented fouling for 11 months. Paint containing solely tributyltin oxide at the same concentration was inactive against algae.     

A new monitoring system for piping systems in fossil fired power plants

A CEC-funded project has been performed to tackle the problem of producing an advanced Life Monitoring System (LMS) which would calculate the creep and fatigue damage experienced by high temperature pipework components. Four areas were identified where existing Life Monitoring System technology could be improved:

1. 1. the inclusion of creep relaxation

2. 2. the inclusion of external loads on components

3. 3. a more accurate method of calculating thermal stresses due to temperature transients

4. 4. the inclusion of high cycle fatigue terms.

The creep relaxation problem was solved using stress reduction factors in an analytical in-elastic stress calculation. The stress reduction factors were produced for a number of common geometries and materials by means of non-linear finite element analysis. External loads were catered for by producing influence coefficients from in-elastic analysis of the particular piping system and using them to calculate bending moments at critical positions on the pipework from load and displacement measurements made at the convenient points at the pipework. The thermal stress problem was solved by producing a completely new solution based on Green's Function and Fast Fourier transforms. This allowed the thermal stress in a complex component to be calculated from simple non-intrusive thermocouple measurements made on the outside of the component. The high-cycle fatigue problem was dealt with precalculating the fatigue damage associated with standard transients and adding this damage to cumulative total when a transient occurred.

The site testing provided good practical experience and showed up problems which would not otherwise have been detected.