Impact of class clustering in a multiclass FCFS queue with order-dependent service times

In multi-class queueing systems, customers of different classes can enter the system. When studying such systems, it is traditionally assumed that the different classes of customers occur randomly and independently in the arrival stream of customers in the system. This is often in contrast to the actual situation. Therefore, we study a multi-class system with so-called class clustering in the customer arrival stream, i.e., (Markovian) correlation occurs in the classes of consecutive customers. The system under investigation consists of one server that is able to serve two classes of customers. In addition, the service-time distribution of a customer depends on the equality or non-equality of its class with the class of the previous customer. This latter feature occurs frequently in practice. For instance, execution of the same task again can lead to both faster or slower processing times. The first case can occur when the execution of a different task entails resetting a machine, or loading new data, et cetera. The opposite situation appears, for instance, when execution of the same task requires postprocessing (such as cooling down or reinitialization of a machine). We deduce the probability generating function (pgf) of the system content, from which we can extract various performance measures, among which the mean values of the system content and the customer delay. We demonstrate that class clustering has a tremendous impact on the system performance, which highlights the necessity to include it in the performance assessment of any system in which it occurs.     

Paramedics on the job: Dynamic trunk motion assessment at the workplace

Many paramedics' work accidents are related to physical aspects of the job, and the most affected body part is the low back. This study documents the trunk motion exposure of paramedics on the job. Nine paramedics were observed over 12 shifts (120 h). Trunk postures were recorded with the computer-assisted CUELA measurement system worn on the back like a knapsack. Average duration of an emergency call was 23.5 min. Sagittal trunk flexion of >40° and twisting rotation of >24° were observed in 21% and 17% of time-sampled postures. Medical care on the scene (44% of total time) involved prolonged flexed and twisted postures (∼10 s). The highest extreme sagittal trunk flexion (63°) and twisting rotation (40°) were observed during lifting activities, which lasted 2% of the total time. Paramedics adopted trunk motions that may significantly increase the risk of low back disorders during medical care and patient-handling activities.     

Cloud based intelligent system for delivering health care as a service

The promising potential of cloud computing and its convergence with technologies such as mobile computing, wireless networks, sensor technologies allows for creation and delivery of newer type of cloud services. In this paper, we advocate the use of cloud computing for the creation and management of cloud based health care services. As a representative case study, we design a Cloud Based Intelligent Health Care Service (CBIHCS) that performs real time monitoring of user health data for diagnosis of chronic illness such as diabetes. Advance body sensor components are utilized to gather user specific health data and store in cloud based storage repositories for subsequent analysis and classification. In addition, infrastructure level mechanisms are proposed to provide dynamic resource elasticity for CBIHCS. Experimental results demonstrate that classification accuracy of 92.59% is achieved with our prototype system and the predicted patterns of CPU usage offer better opportunities for adaptive resource elasticity.     

基于轨迹频率抑制的轨迹隐私保护方法

移动终端和定位技术的快速发展带来了轨迹大数据.研究者通过挖掘和分析发布的轨迹数据集,可获得一些有价值的信息.攻击者也可利用所掌握的知识对发布的轨迹数据集进行推理分析,以较高的概率推断出用户的隐私信息.轨迹抑制是一类实现隐私保护的重要方法,然而轨迹抑制的点数越多会造成数据效用越低.因此,在满足用户隐私需求的情况下,如何选择合理的抑制点来提高匿名处理后的数据效用是数据发布中要解决的重要问题.针对以上问题,文中提出两种基于轨迹频率的方案对轨迹数据进行匿名处理.第一种方案是根据情况抑制整条有问题的轨迹数据或向有问题的轨迹数据集中添加假数据;第二种方案是采用特定的轨迹局部抑制法对数据进行抑制处理.实验表明相对于已有方案,在满足同等隐私需求的情况下,文中方案处理后的数据效用提升了近30%.     

二维多层次的云服务可靠性评估方法研究

针对云服务业务流程管理的特点, 给出了云服务的组合实现框架; 依据随机Petri网的建模理论, 探讨了组合云服务流程网模型的细粒度建模方法; 根据动态多变的用户需求, 设计了二维多层次的云服务组合可靠性动态评估框架, 并给出了马尔可夫过程和等值约简的两种可靠性计算方法。应用示例分析结果表明, 该方法具有较好的动态适应性和灵活性, 能有效满足云服务的可靠性评估需求。     

双渠道供应链中服务对定价和需求的影响研究

研究了集中式决策和基于Stackelberg博弈这两种情况下的双渠道供应链的定价、服务及需求的关系。制造商和零售商提供的服务对价格、需求会产生影响,渠道商改善服务有利于本渠道价格的提高,同时会影响到另一渠道的定价,影响程度与双渠道决策模式相关。与服务对定价的影响不同,渠道商提供的服务对本渠道需求产生的影响是双向的,当服务水平在一定的范围内,改善服务可以增加本渠道市场需求,降低另一渠道需求;当服务水平过高,继续改善服务不仅不能增加需求反而减少需求,同时对另一渠道的需求产生影响,这种影响与消费者市场类型存在密切关系。当消费者市场属于价格敏感型时,服务水平存在一个帕累托区间,任一渠道商改善服务都会促进双渠道需求的增加。     

基于通用即插即用的服务监控机器人在智能家居中的应用

针对智能家居系统中多种异构电子设备难以与其他设备集成的问题,采用一种通用即插即用(UPnP)方式将服务机器人集成到智能家居系统中,着重介绍了集成后衍生的新服务.首先系统地介绍了UPnP标准和服务机器人Rovio;然后开发一个PC应用程序作为服务机器人和家庭智能网络之间连接的虚拟桥,形成服务机器人为智能家居网络提供服务的控制回路.最后通过一些实际操作来验证UPnP Rovio虚拟桥的性能,旨在探索服务机器人集成到智能家居的可能性和一些衍生的先进服务.通过路径跟踪、垃圾检测等一些先进服务的实际演示验证了通过UPnP方式将服务机器人集成到智能家居网络中的可行性,并展示了智能家居互通后的巨大潜在利益.     

Implicit Bayesian Inference Using Option Prices

Abstract. A Bayesian approach to option pricing is presented in which posterior inference about the underlying returns process is conducted implicitly via observed option prices. A range of models allowing for conditional leptokurtosis, skewness and time‐varying volatility in returns are considered, with posterior parameter distributions and model probabilities backed out from the option prices. Models are ranked according to several criteria, including out‐of‐sample predictive and hedging performance. The methodology accommodates heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation in the option pricing errors, as well as regime shifts across contract groups. The method is applied to intraday option price data on the S&P500 stock index for 1995. While the results provide support for models that accommodate leptokurtosis and skewness, no one model dominates when all criteria are considered.     

基于网络统考课程的学习支持服务构建

为满足学生在网络统考课程学习中自主学习的需要,学习支持服务系统的研究、设计构建和有效运行至关重要。各试点高校关于网络统考学习支持服务的实践和做法很多,但系统性研究和理论总结不够,作者结合工作实际尝试构建了网络统考学习支持服务体系基本框架。     

基于灰色模糊层次分析法的企业云服务安全评价模型

从企业实施云服务项目角度,总结得出影响云服务安全的四大因素,即平台设施、运行安全、运营管理以及法律法规因素。在此基础上构建企业云服务安全评价模型,并利用灰色模糊层次分析法（ GFAHP）对模型进行综合评价。最后通过一个实例进行具体阐明与评价。