浅谈工程项目的招标与投标(下)——工程项目的投标

介绍投标者如何制定投标计划,分析投标的合意性及投标的成功概率,应采取什么方法来 最大限度的增大投标的成功机会和减少投标的风险。     

紧急停车系统安全性及可用性若干问题探讨

从紧急停车系统的构成及安全性与可用性的概念出发，讨论了紧急停车系统逻辑控制器、输入输出等各环节的安全性与可用性。同时，简单地讨论了故障诊断及报警对系统安全性与可用性的影响。     

Fault tolerance design for large-scale optical switches

In this paper, we present an enhanced fault tolerance in large-scale optical switches through innovations in architecture and control logic design. A large-scale switch is constructed from a network of 2×2 optical switch elements (SEs). Classic switch network architectures, such as the Benes, are not designed with fault tolerance in mind. There are three major contributions in this paper: (1) we developed an analytical method, referred to as the probability accumulation method, to calculate the average connection blocking probability in a faulty switch network; (2) we provided a failure-aware routing algorithm to effectively circumvent connections from defected SEs in a dilated Benes switch; and (3) we improved the connectivity pattern of the Benes network to further reduce the blocking probability, especially when the SE failure rate is low.     

组合恒等式的几种证法及应用

组合恒等式在组合数学中占有重要的地位,它有多种证法,运用集合论的观点,求导法则和概率方法对几个重要的组合等式给出了直观简洁的证明.     

组合恒等式的几种证法及应用

组合恒等式在组合数学中占有重要的地位，它有多种证法，运用集合论的观点，求导法则和概率方法对几个重要的组合等式给出了直观简洁的证明．     

随机有限元-最大熵法

本文提出一种用于结构可靠性分析的随机有限元-最大熵法。它是利用随机有限元法计算结构响应量的前几阶矩,然后利用最大熵法拟会响应量的概率分布,据此算出结构的失效概率。此法具有精度较高、计算量较小的优点。     

南水北调中线工程某引水渠坡稳定的可靠性分析

讨论了复杂边坡可靠性分析方法，建立了边坡可靠性分析的模型；以南水北调中线工程某引水渠为例，着重研究了渠坡稳定的失效概率计算方法，将土的容重、内摩擦角、粘聚力作为随机变量，建立渠坡稳定可靠度分析模式，并将可靠度计算的Monte-Carlo法和全局寻优的遗传算法相结合，用FOR-TRAN90编制了计算程序，确定了渠坡的最危险滑动面及其对应的失效概率和可靠指标．     

Stochastic finite element method for slope stability analysis

This paper describes a stochastic finite element method using the first-order approximation at a failure point of a set of random variables. The method is extended to equivalent normal represtation of non-normal distributions and offers two advantages: (1) It gives a consistent measure of failure probability for the limit-states defined in terms of different but equivalent performance function formulations, (2). It can be applied to reliability analysis for non-normal variants. Results using this method are compared favorably with that of Monte Carlo simulation in a simple example. Furthermore, this method will be applied to earth slope stability analysis to give probability levels for local and global failures on a potential failure surface.     

A learning scheme for a fuzzy k-NN rule

The performance of a fuzzy k-NN rule depends on the number k and a fuzzy membership-array W[l,m_R], where l and m_R denote the number of classes and the number of elements in the reference set X_R respectively. The proposed learning procedure consists in iterative finding such k and W which minimize the error rate estimate by the leaving ‘leaving one out‘ method.     

First-order third-moment reliability method

The Hasofer-Lind reliability index method can be directly applied also to cases where asymmetrically distributed random variables enter calculation models. The FOTM method proposed is based on the Hasofer-Lind index and on the third moment of the transformed reliability margin.