Data mining of resilience indicators

In recent years, the Asia-Pacific region has experienced several financial setbacks, including speculative attacks in 1998 and the SARS outbreak in 2003. Financial stresses of this nature are unanticipated, and not all of the dangers can be predicted by the examination of market information and macroeconomic indicators. The Early Warning System (EWS) that has been adopted by the International Monetary Fund may not be able to predict future financial crises for all possible scenarios, because shocks come in many different forms. To supplement the EWS, this paper proposes a data mining framework to measure the resilience of an economy. The resilience framework does not predict a crisis, but rather assesses the current state of health of an economy and its ability to withstand a financial shock should one occur. The framework is based on a feedback system consisting of two stages. The first stage assigns a resilience score to each economy based on a fuzzy logic scoring scheme that is built on the ambiguous reasoning of experts. The second stage uses the classification tree approach to estimate thresholds for each economic indicator, and examines the quality of the fuzzy score. The result from the second stage is then passed back to the first stage as feedback. The final result is obtained when the feedback system reaches its equilibrium state. The proposed resilience framework is applied to the external-sector and the public-sector economies of several countries to illustrate its applicability.     

漫谈钢铁企业用空分装置的流程选择

钢铁企业的氧气厂要深入了解本企业的用氧情况及周边市场的需要，据此确定拟新增空分装置的设计参数，选定最适宜的空分流程。探讨了空分流程选择时要考虑的几个方面。介绍了一种对空分装置的投资和长期运行费用之间进行经济性分析的定量计算公式，并得出了四点结论。     

新抗冲型ACR的合成与研究

采用种子乳液聚合法制备了含有PBA＼PMMA＼PS三种组分的丙烯酸酯类抗冲型改性剂ACR，在ACR的幔层结构中引入接枝剂甲基丙烯酸烯丙酯（ALMA）来完善幔层结构，从而实现核一壳之间良好的结合，用红外光谱（FTIR）和差示扫描量热法（DSC）对ACR的组成和结构进行表征。研究结果表明：由PBA＼PMMA＼PS三组分构成的ACR在抗冲击性能上要略优于由简单的PBA＼PMMA构成的ACR，苯乙烯单体（St）最多可以取代大约1／3壳层的甲基丙烯酸甲酯（MMA），甲基丙烯酸烯丙酯（ALMA）的引入对幔层结构的完善起了显著的作用。     

初春施工技术要点探讨

论述了初春施工这个特定的施工季节所具有的特征，从气候、施工人员、工程情况及受冻土体等方面对初春施工易出现的问题进行了分析，对施工过程及施工技术规律性问题做了细化性研究和探讨。     

炼油厂废水的最小化

石油炼厂作为用水大户，在水资源逐渐短缺、环境污染日益严重的情况下，实施废水最小化改造具有重要的现实意义。笔者以石油炼厂整个水分配系统年度费用最小为目标函数，提出采用回用、再生回用和再生循环3种措施减少新鲜水用量和废水排放量。利用超结构建模求解所得优化的水分配系统不但要满足各用水过程的需求，而且使排放的废水达标。给出的实例证明，所提出的方法更全面地考虑了废水最小化的机会，且所得结果可行、有效。     

应用摩擦改进剂提高燃料经济性

介绍了摩擦改进剂的类型及作用机理，比较了不同类型的摩擦改进剂。阐述了应用摩擦改进剂减少边界润滑和混合润滑状态下的摩擦损失，从而提高燃料经济性。     

催化技术在降低汽油机排放方面的应用

本文介绍了当前催化技术在改善和降低汽油机排放方面的应用情况，指出：催化技术是改善汽油机排放的一种有效措施和重要手段。     

中压电动机传统起动方式的危害性

本通过对中压电动机的几种传统起动方式的探讨分析，阐述了使用这些方法对电网和周围其他用电设备产生的不利影响，提出了改进措施。     

多部件设备维修问题研究及遗传算法求解

合理组织设备维修，缩短设备维修时间是生产运营管理的一个重要环节。本文探讨了多部件设备维修的有效组织问题。考虑到维修工人对拆分后设备的不同部分具有不同的维修效率，提出了一种基于维修时间优化的决策方法，将其与经典指派方法进行了比较；进一步地，对这一NP-hard问题设计了遗传算法，通过数值例子讨论了其求解有效性。     

Convergence of simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation for nondifferentiable optimization

We consider simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation for function minimization. The standard assumption for convergence is that the function be three times differentiable, although weaker assumptions have been used for special cases. However, all work that we are aware of at least requires differentiability. We relax the differentiability requirement and prove convergence using convex analysis.