1989年大同—阳高6.1级地震烈度宏观考察

文中叙述了大同—阳高地震区的烈度划分原则、烈度分布范围、烈度异常情况,给出了宏观地震参数(h=11.2km,震级5.8M_L),指出宏观调查的烈度值与强震仪记录的强余震加速度基本一致。     

NUMERICAL EXPERIMENT OF THE INFLUENCES OF HEAT AND WIND STRESS ON THE EQUATORIAL OCEAN CIRCULATION

A time-dependent linear model on the equatorial beta plane is developed in this paper.Its verticalstructure consists of two active layers with equal density and temperature above the thermocline and aquasi-stationary layer with constant density below the thermocline.The results of nurnericat experiments show that the direct influence of heat on the equatorial ocean ismuch smaller than that of wind stress.Nevertheless,through the tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction,the change of wind stress resulting from the thermal forcing may set a determinant effect on the equilibriumand anomalous development of the ocean-almosphere circulation.     

A Preliminary Study on the Probabilistic Estimation of Deaths from Future Earthquakes in North China

During the period from 1800 to 1989,the degree of fatalities(?from earthquakes in North China(Lat.34.0°-42.0°N,Long.107.5°-125.0°E)varied exponentially with the frequency of earthquake events(N),namely:N=37.71 exp(-0.72?(E-logD,D:deaths).For the periods from 1988 to 1998 and from 1999 to 2009,the probabilities for earthquakes to cause one thousand or more deaths in North China are estimated to be 0.37 and 0.50,respectively,by using the Gumbel's extreme value theory.     

Discovery of A-type Granite Zone and Its Geodynamic Significance in the Western Kunlun Mts., China

l. IntroductionGranite distributes widely in western KunlunMts. Many researches have been conducted byscientists (Wang Yuzhen et.al., l987; Zhang Yuquanet.al., l989, Fang Xilian et.al., I990, Jiang Chunfaet.al., 1992; Pan Yusheng, l992, Xu Ronghua et.al.,l 994; Jing Daogui et.al., l996, Zhang Yuquan et.al.,l998). But all of the researches have been donealong Sino-Pakistan road and Xinjiang-Tibet roadt"ith fOcus on isotopic dating of the intrusion andconducted a few on origin and tect…     

中国地震学会地震学专业委员会工作及学术活动

中国地震学会第五届地震学专业委员会自1999年1月成立以来,在常务理事会和学会理事长的指导下,充分发挥委员在基础研究和战略研究方面的整体优势,围绕我国地震科学发展和防震减灾事业的一些重要问题,开展了多方面的工作。其中,将专业委员会活动的视野进一步扩大,与国内的有关机构和团体开展多方面的合作,并积极关注和参与国际性的学术活动,是本届专业委员会活动的一个特色。英国《自然》杂志(Nature)于1999年2月25日～4月8日在因特网上组织了主题为“Isthereliablepredictionofindividualearth-quakesarealisticscientificgoal?”的争论,引…     

Research on the seismotectonics of the Jan－uary 17，1995 Hanshin M7．2 earthquake

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Confidence Evaluation of Medium-and Long-Term Earthquake Prediction by Use of the Analytical Hierarchy Process

This paper offers an approach to the relative confidence level of medium- and long-term earthquake prediction methods by use of the analytical hierarchy process (AHP). We construct the criterion judgment matrices according to the results of an expert questionnaire known as the Delphi scheme. From the matrices we can obtain a scale for the relative preference or priority weight of each factor. The quantitative weights might be applied to make synthetic prediction of earthquake risk areas in the northern part of the North China seismic region.     

1989年大同—阳高地震现场分析预报工作回顾

叙述了1989大同—阳高地震的基本情况,回顾了此次地震现场的分析预报工作。按照《地震现场工作大纲和震情分析指南》所确定的原则,采用国内常用的一些方法,对此次地震的类型、震前活动、地震趋势、余震活动等做了分析。并对几次强余震的预报过程进行了讨论。     

Monte Carlo Radiative Transfer Modeling of Lightning Observed in Galileo Images of Jupiter

We study lightning on Jupiter and the clouds illuminated by the lightning using images taken by the Galileo orbiter. The Galileo images have a resolution of ∼25 km/pixel and are able to resolve the shape of single lightning spots, which have half widths (radii) at half the maximum intensity in the range 45-80 km. We compare the shape and width of lightning flashes in the images with simulated flashes produced by our 3D Monte Carlo light-scattering model.The model calculates Monte Carlo scattering of photons in a 3D opacity distribution. During each scattering event, light is partially absorbed. The new direction of the photon after scattering is chosen according to a Henyey-Greenstein phase function. An image from each direction is produced by accumulating photons emerging from the cloud in a small range (bins) of emission angles. The light source is modeled either as a point or a vertical line.A plane-parallel cloud layer does not always fit the data. In some cases the cloud over the light source appears to resemble cumulus clouds on Earth. Lightning is estimated to occur at least as deep as the bottom of the expected water cloud. For the six flashes studied, we find that the clouds above the lightning are optically thick (τ>5). Jovian flashes are more regular and circular than the largest terrestrial flashes observed from space. On Jupiter there is nothing equivalent to the 30-40-km horizontal flashes that are seen on Earth.     

中国大陆科学钻探（CCSD）深部地层微生物研究——两株未培养地下微生物菌株原位含量的分析

从地下1033．77米深处岩芯中提取微生物DNA,经PCR扩增,获得16S rDNA序列。选取其中两个序列(CCSD1305与CCSD1307),根据其16S rDNA可变区设计PCR引物,通过实时定量PCR分析,确定这两株未培养微生物在岩芯中的生物量。结果表明,CCSD1305与CCSD1307在该岩芯中的数量分别约为6．6×104和2．18×106个／克岩石。