Brain natriuretic peptide at discharge as a predictor of 6-month mortality in acute decompensated heart failure

Background

Brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) is well established in detecting acute decompensation of heart failure (ADHF). The role of BNP at discharge in predicting mortality is less established. Accumulating evidence suggests that inflammatory cytokines play an important role in the development of heart failure. We aimed to examine the contribution of BNP, interleukin 6, and procalcitonin to mortality in ADHF.

Methods

A cohort of 33 patients with ADHF was identified between March 2009 and June 2010 at Rambam Health Care Campus, Haifa, Israel. The cohort was followed up for all-cause mortality during 6 months after hospital discharge. Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess the association between BNP, interleukin-6 and procalcitonin and all-cause mortality.

Results

As compared to BNP at admission, BNP at discharge was more predictive for all-cause mortality. The area under the curve for BNP at admission and discharge was 0.810 (P = .004) and 0.864 (P = .001) respectively. Eleven patients (33.3%) patients who died during the follow-up period had higher BNP levels, median 2031.4 (IQR, 1173.4-2707.2), than those who survived; median 692.5 (IQR, 309.9-1159.9), (P = .001). On multivariate analysis, BNP remained an independent predictor for 6 month all-cause mortality HR 9.58 (95% CI, 2.0-45.89) for levels above the median compared to lower levels, (P = .005). Albumin, procalcitonin and interleukin 6 were not associated with all-cause mortality.

Conclusions

BNP at discharge is an independent predictor for all-cause mortality in patients with ADHF. Compared with BNP at admission, BNP at discharge has slightly higher predictive accuracy with regard to 6-month all-cause mortality.     

Procalcitonin and interleukin 6 for predicting blood culture positivity in sepsis

Background

Procalcitonin and interleukin 6 (IL-6) are well-known predictors of blood culture positivity in patients with sepsis. However, the association of procalcitonin and IL-6 with blood culture positivity was assessed separately in previous studies. This study aims to examine and compare the performance of procalcitonin and IL-6, measured concomitantly, in predicting blood culture positivity in patients with sepsis.

Methods

Forty adult patients with sepsis were enrolled in the study. Blood cultures were drawn before the institution of antibiotic therapy. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve was estimated to assess the performance of procalcitonin and IL-6 in predicting blood culture positivity.

Results

Positive blood cultures were detected in 10 patients (25%). The AUC of procalcitonin and IL-6 was 0.85 and 0.61, respectively. The combined performance of procalcitonin and IL-6 was similar to that of procalcitonin alone, AUC of 0.85. On univariate analysis, only procalcitonin and IL-6 were associated with blood culture positivity. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that only procalcitonin was associated with blood culture positivity (odds ratio, 12.15 [1.29-114.0] for levels above the median compared with levels below the median). Using procalcitonin cut points of 1.35 and 2.14 (nanogram per milliliter) enabled 100% and 90% identification of positive blood cultures and reduced the need of blood cultures by 47.5% and 57.5%, respectively.

Conclusions

Compared with IL-6, procalcitonin better predicts blood culture positivity in patients with sepsis. Using a predefined procalcitonin cut points will predict most positive blood cultures and reduce the need of blood cultures in almost half of patients with sepsis.     

Collaborative genetic mapping of 12 forensic short tandem repeat (STR) loci on the human X chromosome

A large number of short tandem repeat (STR) markers spanning the entire human X chromosome have been described and established for use in forensic genetic testing. Due to their particular mode of inheritance, X-STRs often allow easy and informative haplotyping in kinship analyses. Moreover, some X-STRs are known to be tightly linked so that, in combination, they constitute even more complex genetic markers than each STR taken individually. As a consequence, X-STRs have proven particularly powerful in solving complex cases of disputed blood relatedness. However, valid quantification of the evidence provided by X-STR genotypes in the form of likelihood ratios requires that the recombination rates between markers are exactly known. In a collaborative family study, we used X-STR genotype data from 401 two- and three-generation families to derive valid estimates of the recombination rates between 12 forensic markers widely used in forensic testing, namely DXS10148, DXS10135, DXS8378 (together constituting linkage group I), DXS7132, DXS10079, DXS10074 (linkage group II), DXS10103, HPRTB, DXS10101 (linkage group III), DXS10146, DXS10134 and DXS7423 (linkage group IV). Our study is the first to simultaneously allow for mutation and recombination in the underlying likelihood calculations, thereby obviating the bias-prone practice of excluding ambiguous transmission events from further consideration. The statistical analysis confirms that linkage groups I and II are transmitted independently from one another whereas linkage groups II, III and IV are characterised by inter-group recombination fractions that are notably smaller than 50%. Evidence was also found for recombination within all four linkage groups, with recombination fraction estimates ranging as high as 2% in the case of DXS10146 and DXS10134.     

Reduced levels of specific autobiographical memories in schizophrenia

Autobiographical memory is intrinsically related to the self and personal identity. This study investigated whether both personal episodic memory and semantic memory are impaired in schizophrenia, a disease characterized by an abnormal personal identity. Personal episodic memory and personal semantic memory were investigated in 24 patients with schizophrenia and 24 normal subjects using an autobiographical fluency task and an autobiographical memory inquiry. Autobiographical memory scores and the proportion of specific memories were lower in patients with schizophrenia than in normal subjects. The deficit of personal episodic and semantic memory, as assessed by the autobiographical memory inquiry and the autobiographical fluency task, respectively, was most apparent after the onset of clinical symptoms. Schizophrenia is associated with an impairment of both personal episodic and semantic memory and with a reduction of specific autobiographical memories. Those impairments are consistent with the existence of an abnormal personal identity in patients with schizophrenia.     

Human papillomavirus 16 load in normal and abnormal cervical scrapes: an indicator of CIN II/III and viral clearance

The relation between human papillomavirus type 16 (HPV 16) viral load in cervical scrapes and development of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN II or III) was studied in a nested case-control study of women with normal cytology (group A) and in a cohort of women with abnormal cytology (group B). HPV 16 DNA load was determined using a quantitative real-time PCR assay. In group A, case women (women with CIN II/III, n = 12) had a significantly higher viral load than control women (women with CIN < or = I, n = 47). This resulted in an increased relative risk of women with the 50% highest viral load for development of CIN II/III (OR 7.7; CI 1.6-33). In group B, women with CIN II/III (n = 38) had a significantly higher viral load than women with CIN < or = I (n = 25). Women with the 50% highest viral load had an increased relative risk of CIN II/III (OR 3.2; CI 1.1-9.3) and a decreased chance of both viral clearance and cytologic regression. Our data suggest that in women with normal cytology an increased HPV 16 load confers an increased risk of developing a CIN lesion. A sustained high viral load is subsequently informative for progression to a high-grade CIN lesion.