Fuzzy modeling of system behavior for risk and reliability analysis

The main objective of the article is to permit the reliability analyst's/engineers/managers/practitioners to analyze the failure behavior of a system in a more consistent and logical manner. To this effect, the authors propose a methodological and structured framework, which makes use of both qualitative and quantitative techniques for risk and reliability analysis of the system. The framework has been applied to model and analyze a complex industrial system from a paper mill. In the quantitative framework, after developing the Petrinet model of the system, the fuzzy synthesis of failure and repair data (using fuzzy arithmetic operations) has been done. Various system parameters of managerial importance such as repair time, failure rate, mean time between failures, availability, and expected number of failures are computed to quantify the behavior in terms of fuzzy, crisp and defuzzified values. Further, to improve upon the reliability and maintainability characteristics of the system, in depth qualitative analysis of systems is carried out using failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) by listing out all possible failure modes, their causes and effect on system performance. To address the limitations of traditional FMEA method based on risky priority number score, a risk ranking approach based on fuzzy and Grey relational analysis is proposed to prioritize failure causes.     

Influence of different post treatments on tungsten carbide-cobalt inserts

The present work is an attempt to improve some of the mechanical properties of cemented tungsten carbide (WC) cutting tool by subjecting it to different post treatments. The different post treatments that are tried out to the tungsten carbide-cobalt (WC-Co) inserts are a) controlled cryogenic treatment, b) heating and forced air cooling and c) heating and quenching in oil bath. The response of WC-Co inserts to such different post treatments has been evaluated in terms of microhardness, microstructural changes, scanning electron microscope (SEM) micrograph and Co metal phase changes through XRD. The experimental result indicate a remarkable response to all the above mentioned post treatments and the analysis of the same are presented in this paper.     

Effect of heating mode on sintering of tungsten

Microwave heating is recognized for its various advantages, such as time and energy saving, very rapid heating rates, considerably reduced processing cycle time and temperature, fine microstructures and improved properties. The present paper investigates the feasibility of consolidating tungsten powders through microwave sintering. A comparative analysis has also been attempted between the sintering response of pure tungsten powder compact in a microwave and conventional furnace.     

Rate-dependent serrated flow and plastic deformation in Ti45Zr16Be20Cu10Ni9 bulk amorphous alloy during nanoindentation

The plastic deformation of Ti₄₅Zr₁₆Be₂₀Cu₁₀Ni₉ bulk metallic glass has been investigated by nanoindentation performed with loads ranging from 10 to 200 mN in a wide range of loading rates. The plastic flow in the alloy exhibited conspicuous serrations at low loading rates. The serrations, however, became less prominent as the rate of indentation increased. Atomic force microscopy showed a significant pile-up of materials around the indents, indicating that a highly localized plastic deformation occurred under nanoindentation. The possible mechanism governing the plastic deformation in bulk metallic glass specimens is tentatively discussed in terms of strain-induced free volume.     

Stochastic analysis and maintenance planning of the ash handling system in the thermal power plant

This paper discusses stochastic analysis of the ash handling system in a thermal power plant. The system consists of four subsystems A_i, B_j, C and D_k in series, with three possible states: good, reduced and failed. Failure and repair rates for each subsystem are taken to be constants. Using a probabilistic approach, the differential equations are generated and the expression for steady state availability is computed. Taking data from the thermal power plant, situated in North India, the behaviour of each working unit is analysed. Problems and remedies with appropriate maintenance schedules have been discussed. The results are discussed with the plant personnel and are helpful to the management in predicting the behaviour of each operating unit, so that timely decisions can be taken for maintaining the system in upstate for a long duration.     

Characterization of influence zones of simulated droughts and floods of water bodies in a floodplain

During flooding processes, randomly situated water bodies of varying sizes and shapes in a floodplain tend to self-organize. At high degrees of flooding intensity, water bodies contact together to form influence zones, which indicate the self-organized criticality of the flooding of water bodies. The characterization of water bodies and their influence zones provides useful insight into the geomorphic properties of floodplain terrains. In this paper, characterization of the influence zones of simulated droughts and floods of water bodies in a floodplain is performed. First, drought and flood simulations are implemented by performing morphological erosion and dilation, respectively, on water bodies using square kernels of increasing sizes. The level of droughting/flooding is indicated by the kernel size. The average areas of the influence zones of the generated simulated droughts and floods of water bodies are computed. It is observed that as the droughting level increases from 1 to 5, the average area of the influence zones of water bodies reduces due to the shrinking of water bodies. As the droughting level increases from 5 to 15, the average area of the influence zones of water bodies increases due the vanishing of small water bodies. Flooding causes an increase in the average area of the influence zones of water bodies due to the merging of adjacent water bodies. A power law relationship is observed between the average area of the influence zones of the simulated droughts/floods and the level of droughting/flooding. The scaling exponent of this power law, which is named as a fractal dimension, indicates the rate of change of average area of the influence zones of simulated droughts/floods of water bodies in a floodplain over varying levels of droughting/flooding.     

Phases and Microstructures in Zirconia-Calcia-Titania Multiphase Ceramics

Two cubic phases of differing compositions and lattice parameters and a monoclinic phase are found in samples of zirconia with 8 mol% calcia and 4 to 10 mol% titania. Increasing amounts of titania reduce the amounts of the cubic phases. The monoclinic phase dissolves small amounts (∼1 mol%) of calcia and up to 4.7 mol% titania; these amounts for the cubic phases are much larger. The cubic lattices contract linearly with increasing amounts of titaia and a contraction in the monoclinic lattice is also evident.     

Synthesis of pyrazolo[4′,3′:5,6]pyrazino[2,3-c]pyrazoles and pyrazolo[4′,3′:5,6]pyrazino[2,3-d]pyrimidines and their application to polyester fibres

4-Nitroso-1-phenyl-3-methyl-5-aminopyrazole ( 1 ) was condensed with ethylcyanoacetate ( 2 ), malononitrile ( 4a ) and 2-cyanomethylbenzimidazole ( 4b ) to yield 6-hydroxy-5-cyano, 6-amino-5-cyano and 6-amino-5-(benzimidazol-2-yl)-3-methylpyrazolo [3,4-b]pyrazines 3, 5a and 5b , respectively. 5-Cyano-6-chloro derivative 6 obtained from 3 was converted to 3-aminopyrazolo[4′,3′:5,6]pyrazino[2,3-c]pyrazoles 8a and 8b by the treatment with hydrazin hydrate ( 7a ) and phenylhydrazine ( 7b ), respectively. Compound 5a was treated with formamide ( 9a ), urea ( 9b ) and thiourea ( 9c ) to give 4-aminopyrazolo[4′,3′:5,6]pyrazino[2′3′-d]pyrimidines 10a–10c. With refluxing acetic anhydride compounds 8a, 8b and 10a gave corresponding acetamido derivatives 8c, 8d and 10d. Compound 5a was treated with ethylorthoformate ( 11 ), acetic anhydride ( 12 ) or benzoylchloride ( 13 ) to give fused benzimidazopyrazolo[4′,3′:5,6]pyrazino[2′,3′-d]pyrimidines, viz., benzimidazol[1,2-c]pyrazolo[4,3-g]pteridines ( 14a–14c ). Some of the compounds 8, 10 and 14 were applied to polyester as disperse dyes and their fastness properties were studied.