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21.
An important task in modern geostatistics is the assessment and quantification of resource and reserve uncertainty. This uncertainty
is valuable support information for many management decisions. Uncertainty at specific locations and uncertainty in the global
resource is of interest. There are many different methods to build models of uncertainty, including Kriging, Cokriging, and
Inverse Distance. Each method leads to different results. A method is proposed to combine local uncertainties predicted by
different models to obtain a combined measure of uncertainty that combines good features of each alternative. The new estimator
is the overlap of alternate conditional distributions. 相似文献
22.
A continuous/discontinuous Galerkin framework for modeling coupled subsurface and surface water flow
Clint Dawson 《Computational Geosciences》2008,12(4):451-472
We consider conjunctive surface-subsurface flow modeling, where surface water flow is described by the shallow water equations
and ground water flow by Richards’ equation for the vadose zone. Coupling between the models is based on the continuity of
flux and water pressure. Numerical approximation of the coupled model using the framework of discontinuous Galerkin (DG) methods
is formulated. In the subsurface, the local discontinuous Galerkin (LDG) method is used to approximate ground water velocity
and hydraulic head; a DG method is also used to approximate surface water velocity and elevation. This approach allows for
a weak coupling of the models and the use of different approximating spaces and/or meshes within each regime. A simplified
LDG method based on continuous approximations to water head is also described. Numerical results that investigate physical
and numerical aspects of surface–subsurface flow modeling are presented.
This work was supported by National Science Foundation grant DMS-0411413. 相似文献
23.
Groundwater resources in the Jabal Al Hass region,northwest Syria: an assessment of past use and future potential 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
In many cases, the development of groundwater resources to boost agricultural production in dry areas has led to a continuous decline in groundwater levels; this has called into question the sustainability of such exploitation. In developing countries, limited budgets and scarce hydrological data often do not allow groundwater resources to be assessed through groundwater modeling. A case study is presented of a low-cost water-balance approach to groundwater resource assessments in a 1,550 km2 semi-arid region in northwestern Syria. The past development of irrigated agriculture and its effect on the groundwater system were studied by analysis of Landsat images and long-term groundwater level changes, respectively. All components of the groundwater balance were determined. Groundwater recharge was estimated using the chloride mass balance method. Over the past three decades, groundwater levels have declined, on average, 23 m, coinciding with a two-fold increase in the groundwater-irrigated area. Groundwater resources are currently depleted by a value that lies between 9.5×106 and 118×106 m3 year?1, which is larger than can be compensated for by a future decrease in natural discharge or changes in boundary conditions. However, groundwater resources are likely to be sufficient to supply domestic and livestock needs in the area. 相似文献
24.
25.
Makoto Yamano Masataka Kinoshita Shusaku Goto 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》2008,97(2):345-352
Thirty-three new measurements on the seaward slope and outer rise of the Japan Trench along a parallel of 38°45′N revealed
the existence of high heat flow anomalies on the subducting Pacific plate, where the seafloor age is about 135 m.y.. The most
prominent anomaly with the highest value of 114 mW/m2 is associated with a small mound on the outer rise, which was reported to be a kind of mud volcano. On the seaward slope
of the trench, heat flow is variable: high (70–90 mW/m2) at some locations and normal for the seafloor age (about 50 mW/m2) at others. The spatial variation of heat flow may be related to development of normal faults and horst/graben structures
due to bending of the Pacific plate before subduction, with fluid flow along the fault zones enhancing the vertical heat transfer.
Possible heat sources of the high heat flow anomalies are intra-plate volcanism in the last several million years like that
discovered recently on the Pacific plate east of the Japan Trench. 相似文献
26.
Large-scale ancient landslides of the area of more than 5 km2 and volume exceeding 200 × 106 m3 are characteristic features of the valleys incised in the northern periphery of the Crimean Mountains (Ukraine). The largely
affected area is located in the outermost cuesta range of the Crimean Mountains which consists of rigid Sarmatian limestones
overlying weak Middle Miocene and Upper Palaeogene deposits. A giant landslide arose in the Alma water gap as a reflection
of several coincident preparatory factors such as suitable bedrock stratification, smectite-rich bedrock exposed to swelling
activity, presence of faults parallel to the valley trend, and river capture event which preceded the landslide event. The
occurrence of such ancient megaslides is particularly interesting in the area which is characterized by low precipitation
(<500 mm/year) and weak contemporary seismicity. It probably reflects a more dynamic environment in humid phases of the Holocene;
however, seismic triggering along the Mesozoic suture zone cannot be rejected. Compressional features such as gravitational
folds in the central and distal parts of the landslide, which probably correlate with the whole landslide genesis or its significant
reactivation, arose, according to the radiocarbon dating, during the Holocene climatic optimum in the Atlantic period. The
slope deformation has been relatively quiescent since that time, except minor historic reactivization which took place in
the frontal part of the landslide. We suppose that the studied landslide could be classified as a transitional type of slope
deformation with some signs of spreading and translational block slides. 相似文献
27.
屯兰矿南五采区地形复杂,最大高差达271m,地表大面积为第四系黄土覆盖,激发困难。为探索研究小面元三维地震勘探技术的应用效果。在常规三维地震勘区域内划出1km^2,采用5m×5m小面元进行采集。在地震数据采集过程中,采取了加大激发井深、提高覆盖次数、减小CMP面元网格和加大接收排列等技术措施,做到“四小三高、二中一深、两个等高面”。通过插值、抽线及扩大面元处理。获得2.5m×2.5m×1ms、5m×5m×1ms、5m×10m×1ms、10m×10m×1ms以及不同叠加次数的三维数据体。资料解释工作主要是在5m×5m×1ms、2.5m×2.5m×1ms两个数据体上进行,解释落差大于或等于5m的断层6条,落差3~5m的断层8条;查明长轴直径20~30m的陷落柱4个。30~100m的陷落柱1个,大于100m的陷落柱3个。与相邻区常规三维地震比较,小面元三维地震勘探有利于对小陷落柱、小断层的控制和解释。 相似文献
28.
Inversely-Mapped Analytical Solutions for Flow Patterns around and within Inclined Elliptic Inclusions in Fluid-Saturated Rocks 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Chongbin Zhao Bruce E. Hobbs Alison Ord Shenglin Peng Liangming Liu 《Mathematical Geosciences》2008,40(2):179-197
In this paper, an inverse mapping is used to transform the previously-derived analytical solutions from a local elliptical
coordinate system into a conventional Cartesian coordinate system. This enables a complete set of exact analytical solutions
to be derived rigorously for the pore-fluid velocity, stream function, and excess pore-fluid pressure around and within buried
inclined elliptic inclusions in pore-fluid-saturated porous rocks. To maximize the application range of the derived analytical
solutions, the focal distance of an ellipse is used to represent the size of the ellipse, while the length ratio of the long
axis to the short one is used to represent the geometrical shape of the ellipse. Since the present analytical solutions are
expressed in a conventional Cartesian coordinate system, it is convenient to investigate, both qualitatively and quantitatively,
the distribution patterns of the pore-fluid flow and excess pressure around and within many different families of buried inclined
elliptic inclusions. The major advantage in using the present analytical solution is that they can be conveniently computed
in a global Cartesian coordinate system, which is widely used in many scientific and engineering computations. As an application
example, the present analytical solutions have been used to investigate how the dip angle of an inclined elliptic inclusion
affects the distribution patterns of the pore-fluid flow and excess pore-fluid pressure when the permeability ratio of the
elliptic inclusion is of finite but nonzero values. 相似文献
29.
30.