Flood flow forecasting using ANN,ANFIS and regression models

Flood prediction is an important for the design, planning and management of water resources systems. This study presents the use of artificial neural networks (ANN), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems (ANFIS), multiple linear regression (MLR) and multiple nonlinear regression (MNLR) for forecasting maximum daily flow at the outlet of the Khosrow Shirin watershed, located in the Fars Province of Iran. Precipitation data from four meteorological stations were used to develop a multilayer perceptron topology model. Input vectors for simulations included the original precipitation data, an area-weighted average precipitation and antecedent flows with one- and two-day time lags. Performances of the models were evaluated with the RMSE and the R ². The results showed that the area-weighted precipitation as an input to ANNs and MNLR and the spatially distributed precipitation input to ANFIS and MLR lead to more accurate predictions (e.g., in ANNs up to 2.0 m³ s^?1 reduction in RMSE). Overall, the MNLR was shown to be superior (R ² = 0.81 and RMSE = 0.145 m³ s^?1) to ANNs, ANFIS and MLR for prediction of maximum daily flow. Furthermore, models including antecedent flow with one- and two-day time lags significantly improve flow prediction. We conclude that nonlinear regression can be applied as a simple method for predicting the maximum daily flow.     

Comparison of Landsat 8 OLI and Landsat 7 ETM+ for estimating grassland LAI using model inversion and spectral indices: case study of Mpumalanga,South Africa

The leaf area index (LAI) is the key biophysical indicator used to assess the condition of rangeland. In this study, we investigated the implications of narrow spectral response, high radiometric resolution (12 bits), and higher signal-to-noise ratio of the Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) sensor for the estimation of LAI. The Landsat 8 LAI estimates were compared to that of its predecessors, namely Landsat 7 Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus (ETM+) (8 bits). Furthermore, we compared the radiative transfer model (RTM) and spectral indices approaches for estimating LAI on rangeland systems in South Africa. The RTM was inverted using artificial neural network (ANN) and lookup table (LUT) algorithms. The accuracy of the models was higher for Landsat 8 OLI, where ANN (root mean squared error, RMSE = 0. 13; R² = 0. 89), LUT (RMSE = 0. 25; R² = 0. 50), compared to Landsat 7 ETM+, where ANN (RMSE = 0. 35; R² = 0. 60), LUT (RMSE = 0. 38; R² = 0. 50). Compared to an empirical approach, the RTM provided higher accuracy. In conclusion, Landsat 8 OLI provides an improvement for the estimation of LAI over Landsat 7 ETM+. This is useful for rangeland monitoring.     

Chlorophyll content estimation in arid grasslands from Landsat-8 OLI data

In this study, an arid grassland was selected, and the chlorophyll content of the leaf and canopy level was estimated based on Landsat-8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) data using the PROSAIL radiative transfer (RT) model. Two vegetation indices (green chlorophyll index, CI_green, and greenness index, G) were selected to estimate the leaf and canopy chlorophyll content (LCC and CCC). By analysing the effect of soil background on the two indices, the LCC was divided into low and moderate-to-high levels. A different combination of the two indices was adopted at each level to improve the chlorophyll content estimation accuracy. The results suggested that the chlorophyll content estimated using the proposed method yielded a higher accuracy with coefficient of determination, R² = 0.84, root-mean-square error, RMSE = 9.67 μg cm^?2 for LCC and R² = 0.85, RMSE = 0.43 g m^?2 for CCC than that using CI_green alone with R² = 0.62, RMSE = 20.04 μg cm^?2 for LCC and R² = 0.85, RMSE = 0.71 g m^?2 for CCC. The results also confirmed the validity of this approach to estimate the chlorophyll content in arid areas.     

Gene-expression programming to predict friction factor for Southern Italian rivers

This briefing article presents gene-expression programming (GEP), which is an extension to genetic programming, as an alternative approach to predict friction factor for Southern Italian rivers. Published data were compiled for the friction for 43 gravel-bed rivers of Calabria. The proposed GEP approach produces satisfactory results (R ² = 0.958 and RMSE = 0.079) compared with existing predictors.     

Estimating the leaf area index in Indian tropical forests using Landsat-8 OLI data

Leaf area index (LAI) is a key vegetation biophysical parameter and is extensively used in modelling of phenology, primary production, light interception, evapotranspiration, carbon, and nitrogen dynamics. In the present study, we attempt to spatially characterize LAI for natural forests of Western Ghats India, using ground based and Landsat-8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) sensor satellite data. For this, 41 ground-based LAI measurements were carried out across a gradient of tropical forest types, viz. dry, moist, and evergreen forests using LAI-2200 plant canopy analyser, during the month of March 2015. Initially, measured LAI values were regressed with 15 spectral variables, including nine spectral vegetation indices (SVIs) and six Landsat-8 surface reflectance (ρ) variables using univariate correlation analysis. Results showed that the red (ρ_red), near-infrared (ρ_NIR), shortwave infrared (ρ_SWIR1, ρ_SWIR2) reflectance bands (R² > 0.6), and all SVIs (R² > 0.7) except simple ratio (SR) have the highest and second highest coefficient of determination with ground-measured LAI. In the second step, to select significant (high R², low root mean square error (RMSE), and p-level < 0.05) SVIs to determine the best representative model, stepwise multiple linear regression (SMLR) was implemented. The results indicate that the SMLR model predicted LAI with better coefficient of determination (R² = 0.83, RMSE = 0.78) using normalized difference vegetation index, enhanced vegetation index, and soil-adjusted vegetation index variables compared to the univariate approach. The predicted SMLR model was used to estimate a spatial map of LAI. It is desirable to evaluate the stability and potentiality of regional LAI models in natural forest ecosystems against the operationally accepted Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) global LAI product. To do this, the Landsat-8 pixel-based LAI map was resampled to 1 km resolution and compared with the MODIS derived LAI map. Results suggested that Landsat-8 OLI-based VIs provide significant LAI maps at moderate resolution (30 m) as well as coarse resolution (1 km) for regional climate models.     

Estimating plot volume using lidar height and intensity distributional parameters

This study explored the feasibility of height distributional metrics and intensity values extracted from low-density airborne light detection and ranging (lidar) data to estimate plot volumes in dense Korean pine (Pinus koraiensis) plots. Multiple linear regression analyses were performed using lidar height and intensity distributional metrics. The candidate variables for predicting plot volume were evaluated using three data sets: total, canopy, and integrated lidar height and intensity metrics. All intensities of lidar returns used were corrected by the reference distance. Regression models were developed using each data set, and the first criterion used to select the best models was the corrected Akaike Information Criterion (AIC_c). The use of three data sets was statistically significant at R² = 0.75 (RMSE = 52.17 m³ ha^?1), R² = 0.84 (RMSE = 45.24 m³ ha^?1), and R² = 0.91 (RMSE = 31.48 m³ ha^?1) for total, canopy, and integrated lidar distributional metrics, respectively. Among the three data sets, the integrated lidar metrics-derived model showed the best performance for estimating plot volumes, improving errors up to 42% when compared to the other two data sets. This is attributed to supplementing variables weighted and biased to upper limits in dense plots with more statistical variables that explain the lower limits. In all data sets, intensity metrics such as skewness, kurtosis, standard deviation, minimum, and standard error were employed as explanatory variables. The use of intensity variables improved the accuracy of volume estimation in dense forests compared to prior research. Correction of the intensity values contributed up to a maximum of 58% improvement in volume estimation when compared to the use of uncorrected intensity values (R² = 0.78, R² = 0.53, and R² = 0.63 for total, canopy, and integrated lidar distributional metrics, respectively). It is clear that the correction of intensity values is an essential step for the estimation of forest volume.     

Predicting Eucalyptus spp. stand volume in Zululand,South Africa: an analysis using a stochastic gradient boosting regression ensemble with multi-source data sets

Accurate, reliable, and up-to-date forest stand volume information is a prerequisite for a detailed evaluation of commercial forest resources and their sustainable management. Commercial forest responses to global climate change remain uncertain, and hence the mapping of stand volume as carbon sinks is fundamentally important in understanding the role of forests in stabilizing climate change effects. The aim of this study was to examine the utility of stochastic gradient boosting (SGB) and multi-source data to predict stand volume of a Eucalyptus plantation in South Africa. The SGB ensemble, random forest (RF), and stepwise multiple-linear regression (SMLR) were used to predict Eucalyptus stand volume and other related tree-structural attributes such as mean tree height and mean diameter at breast height (DBH). Multi-source data consisted of SPOT-5 raw spectral features (four bands), 14 spectral vegetation indices, rainfall data, and stand age. When all variables were used, the SGB algorithm showed that stand volume can be accurately estimated (R² = 0.78 and RMSE = 33.16 m³ ha^?1 (23.01% of the mean)). The competing RF ensemble produced an R² value of 0.76 and a RMSE value of 37.28 m³ ha^?1 (38.28% of the mean). SMLR on the other hand, produced an R² value of 0.65 and an RMSE value of 42.50 m³ ha^?1 (42.50% of the mean). Our study further showed that Eucalyptus mean tree height (R² = 0.83 and RMSE = 1.63 m (9.08% of the mean)) and mean diameter at breast height (R² = 0.74 and RMSE = 1.06 (7.89% of the mean)) can also be reasonably predicted using SGB and multi-source data. Furthermore, when the most important SGB model-selected variables were used for prediction, the predictive accuracies improved significantly for mean DBH (R² = 0.81 and RMSE = 1.21 cm (6.12% of the mean)), mean tree height (R² = 0.86 and RMSE = 1.39 m (7.02% of the mean)), and stand volume (R² = 0.83 and RMSE = 29.58 m³ ha^?1 (17.63% of the mean)). These results underscore the importance of integrating multi-source data with remotely sensed data for predicting Eucalyptus stand volume and related tree-structural attributes.     

An expert system for predicting Manning’s roughness coefficient in open channels by using gene expression programming

Manning’s roughness coefficient (n) has been widely used in the estimation of flood discharges or depths of flow in natural channels. Accurate estimation of Manning’s roughness coefficient is essential for the computation of flow rate, velocity. Conventional formulae that are greatly based on empirical methods lack in providing high accuracy for the prediction of Manning’s roughness coefficient. Consequently, new and accurate techniques are still highly demanded. In this study, gene expression programming (GEP) is used to estimate the Manning’s roughness coefficient. The estimated value of the roughness coefficient is used in Manning’s equation to compute the flow parameters in open-channel flows in order to carry out a comparison between the proposed GEP-based approach and the conventional ones. Results show that computed discharge using estimated value of roughness coefficient by GEP is in good agreement (±10%) with the experimental results compared to the conventional formulae (R ² = 0.97 and RMSE = 0.0034 for the training data and R ² = 0.94 and RMSE = 0.086 for the testing data).     

Canopy level estimations of chlorophyll and LAI for two tropical species (teak and bamboo) from Hyperion (EO1) data

Current economic development in tropical regions (especially in India, China, and Brazil) is putting tremendous pressure on tropical forest cover. Some of the dominant and economically important species are planted at large scale in these countries. Teak and bamboo are two important species of tropical regions because of their commercial and conservation values. Accurate estimates of foliar chemistry can help in evaluating the health status of vegetation in these regions. An attempt has been made to derive canopy level estimation of chlorophyll and leaf area index (LAI) for these species utilizing Hyperion data. Partial least square (PLS) regression analysis was carried out to identify the correlation between measured parameters (chlorophyll and LAI) and Hyperion reflectance spectra. PLS regression identified 600–750 nm as a sensitive spectral region for chlorophyll and 1000–1507 nm for LAI. The PLS regression model tested in this study worked well for the estimation of chlorophyll (R ² = 0.90, root mean square error (RMSE) = 0.182 for teak and R ² = 0.84, RMSE = 0.113 for bamboo) and for the estimation of LAI (R ² = 0.87, RMSE = 0.425). The lower predictive error obtained indicates the robustness of the data set and also of the applicability of the PLS regression analysis. Wavelengths recognized by the PLS regression model were utilized for the development of vegetation indices for estimating chlorophyll and LAI. Predictive performances of the developed simple ratios (SRs) were evaluated using the cross-validation method. SR 743/692 gave the best results for the prediction of chlorophyll with the leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV) method (R ² = 0.73, RMSE = 0.28 for teak and R ² = 0.71, RMSE = 0.15 for bamboo). The normalized difference ratio (ND 1457/1084) gave the best results for the prediction of LAI with LOO-CV (R ² = 0.66, RMSE = 0.57). Ratios developed here can be tested for teak and bamboo cover spread in tropical regions with similar environmental conditions.     

A new three-band spectral index for mitigating the saturation in the estimation of leaf area index in wheat

The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) is a commonly used index for monitoring crop growth status. Previous studies have shown that the leaf area index (LAI) estimation based on NDVI is limited by saturation that occurs under conditions of relatively dense canopies (LAI > 2 m² m^–2). To reduce the saturation effect, we suggested new spectral indices through the spectral indices approach. The results suggested that the two-band normalized difference spectral index (NDSI = ((ρ_{940 –} ρ₇₃₀) /(ρ₉₄₀ + ρ₇₃₀))) resulted from the two-band spectral indices approach and the three-band modified normalized difference spectral index (mNDSI = ((ρ_{940 –} 0.8 × ρ₉₅₀) – ρ₇₃₀) /((ρ_{940 –} 0.8 × ρ₉₅₀) + ρ₇₃₀)) resulted from the three-band spectral indices approach, and they were able to mitigate saturation and improve the LAI prediction with a determination coefficient (R²) of 0.77 and 0.78, respectively. In the validation based on data from independent experiments, these new indices exhibited an accuracy with relative root mean square error (RRMSE) lower than 23.38% and bias higher than –0.40. These accuracies were significantly higher than those obtained with some existing indices with good performance in LAI estimation, such as the enhanced vegetation index (EVI) (RRMSE = 30.19%, bias = –0.34) and the modified triangular vegetation index 2 (MTVI2) (RRMSE = 29.30%, bias = –0.28), and the indices with the ability to mitigate the saturation, such as the wide dynamic range vegetation index (WDRVI) (RRMSE = 31.37%, bias = –0.54), the red-edge wide dynamic range vegetation index (red-edge WDRVI) (RRMSE = 26.34%, bias = –0.54), and the normalized difference red-edge index (NDRE) (RRMSE = 28.41%, bias = –0.56). Additionally, these new indices were more sensitive under moderate to high LAI conditions (between 2 and 8 m² m^–2). Between these two new developed spectral indices, there was no significant difference in the accuracy and sensitivity assessments. Considering the index structure and convenience in application, we demonstrated that the two-band spectral index NDSI((ρ_{940 –} ρ₇₃₀) /(ρ₉₄₀ + ρ₇₃₀)) is efficient in mitigating saturation and has considerable potential for estimating the LAI of canopies throughout the entire growing season of wheat (Triticum aestivum L.), whereas the three-band spectral index contributes lesser in the saturation mitigation provided the red-edge band has been contained.     

Application of gene expression programming in hot metal forming for intelligent manufacturing

Design of the die in hot metal forming operations depends on the required forming load. There are several approaches in the literature for load prediction. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been successfully used by a few researches to estimate the forming loads. This paper aims at using the effectiveness of a new evolutionary approach called gene expression programming (GEP) for the estimation of forging load in hot upsetting and hot extrusion processes. Several parameters such as angle (α), L/D ratio (R), friction coefficient (µ), velocity (v) and temperature (T) were used as input parameters. The accuracy of the developed GEP models was also compared with ANN models. This comparison was evidenced by some statistical measurements (R ², RMSE, MAE). The outcomes of the study showed that GEP can be used as an effective tool for representing the complex relationship between the input and output parameters of hot metal forming processes.

     

Mapping tree distribution and LAI in peatlands using field methods and imaging spectroscopy: a case study for the Haaksbergerveen,the Netherlands

Leaf area index (LAI) is among the vegetation parameters that play an important role in climate, hydrological and ecological studies, and is used for assessing growth and expansion of vegetation. The main objective of this study was to develop a methodology to map the LAI distribution of birch trees (Betula pendula) in peatland ecosystems using field-based instruments and airborne-based remote-sensing techniques. The developed mapping method was validated using field-based LAI measurements using the LAI-2000 instrument. First vegetation indices, including simple ratio (SR), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and reduced simple ratio (RSR), were derived from HyMap data and related to ground-based measurements of LAI. LAI related better with RSR (R² = 0.68), followed by NDVI (R² = 0.63) and SR (R² = 0.58), respectively. Areas with birch were identified using Spectral Angle Mapper (SAM) to classify the image into 11 end members of dominant species including bare soil and open water. Next, the relationship between LAI and RSR was applied to areas with birch, yielding a birch LAI map. Comparison of the map of the birch trees and field-based LAI data was done using linear regression, yielding an R² = 0.38 and an RMSE = 0.25, which is fairly accurate for a structurally highly diverse field situation. The method may prove an invaluable tool to monitor tree encroachment and assess tree LAI in these remote and poorly accessible areas.     

Mapping pasture biomass in Mongolia using Partial Least Squares,Random Forest regression and Landsat 8 imagery

The aim of this study was to develop a robust methodology to estimate pasture biomass across the huge land surface of Mongolia (1.56 × 10⁶ km²) using high-resolution Landsat 8 satellite data calibrated against field-measured biomass samples. Two widely used regression models were compared and adopted for this study: Partial Least Squares (PLS) and Random Forest (RF). Both methods were trained to predict pasture biomass using a total of 17 spectral indices derived from Landsat 8 multi-temporal satellite imagery as predictor variables. For training, reference biomass data from a field survey of 553 sites were available. PLS results showed a satisfactory correlation between field measured and estimated biomass with coefficient of determination (R²) = 0.750 and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) = 101.10 kg ha^?1. The RF regression gave similar results with R² = 0.764, RMSE = 98.00 kg ha^?1. An examination of feature importance found the following vegetation indices to be the most relevant: Green Chlorophyll Index (CL_green), Simple Ratio (SR), Wide Dynamic Range Vegetation Index (WDRVI), Enhanced Vegetation Index EVI₁ and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) indices. With respect to the spectral reflectances, Red and Short Wavelength Infra-Red2 (SWIR₂) bands showed the strongest correlation with biomass. Using the developed PLS models, a spatial map of pasture biomass covering Mongolia at a spatial resolution of 30 m was generated. Our study confirms the high potential of RF and PLS regression (PLSR) models to predict pasture biomass. The computationally simpler PLSR model is preferred for applications involving large regions. This method can be implemented easily, provided that sufficient reference data and cloud-free observations are available.     

Estimation of chlorophyll-a concentration in coastal waters with HJ-1A HSI data using a three-band bio-optical model and validation

Accurate assessment of phytoplankton chlorophyll-a (chl-a) concentration in turbid waters by means of remote sensing is challenging because of the optical complexity of case 2 waters. We applied a bio-optical model of the form [R^–1(λ₁) – R^–1(λ₂)](λ₃), where R(λ_i) is the remote-sensing reflectance at wavelength λ_i, to estimate chl-a concentration in coastal waters. The objectives of this article are (1) to validate the three-band bio-optical model using a data set collected in coastal waters, (2) to evaluate the extent to which the three-band bio-optical model could be applied to the spectral radiometer (SR) ISI921VF-512T data and the hyperspectral imager (HSI) data on board the Chinese HJ-1A satellite, (3) to evaluate the application prospects of HJ-1A HSI data in case 2 waters chl-a concentration mapping. The three-band model was calibrated using three SR spectral bands (λ₁ = 664.9 nm, λ₂ = 706.54 nm, and λ₃ = 737.33 nm) and three HJ-1A HSI spectral bands (λ₁ = 637.725 nm, λ₂ = 711.495 nm, and λ₃ = 753.750 nm). We assessed the accuracy of chl-a prediction with 21 in situ sample plots. Chl-a predicted by SR data was strongly correlated with observed chl-a (R² = 0.93, root mean square error (RMSE) = 0.48 mg m^–3, coefficient of variation (CV) (RMSE/mean(chl-a_mea)) = 3.72%). Chl-a predicted by HJ-1A HSI data was also closely correlated with observed chl-a (R² = 0.78, RMSE = 0.45 mg m^–3, CV (RMSE/mean(chl-a_mea)) = 7.51%). These findings demonstrate that the HJ-1A HSI data are promising for quantitative monitoring of chl-a in coastal case-2 waters.     

Synthetic retrieval of hourly net ecosystem exchange using the neural network model with combined MI and GOCI geostationary sensor datasets and ground-based measurements

Net ecosystem carbon dioxide (CO₂) exchange (NEE) is a key parameter for understanding the terrestrial plant ecosystems, but it is difficult to monitor or predict over large areas at fine temporal resolutions. In this research, we estimated the hourly NEE using a combination of the integrated neural network (NN) model with geostationary satellite imagery to overcome the limitations of existing daily polar orbiting satellite-derived carbon flux products. Two sets of satellite imageries (i.e. the meteorological imager (MI) and geostationary ocean colour imager (GOCI) aboard communication, ocean, and meteorological satellite (COMS)) and CO₂ flux data derived from eddy covariance measurements were used to verify the feasibility of applying hourly geostationary satellite imagery with an NN-based approach for estimating NEE at high temporal resolutions. For the NN model, the optimum neuronal architecture was established using an NN with one hidden layer that was trained using the Levenberg–Marquardt back propagation algorithm. The hourly NEE values estimated in test period from the NN model using the combined COMS MI and GOCI imagery and ground measurements as model inputs were compared with the eddy covariance NEE values from the measurement tower, which yielded reliable statistical agreement. The hourly NEE results from the NN model based on COMS MI and GOCI imagery and ground measurement data had the highest accuracy (RMSE = 2.026 μmol m^?2 s^?2, R = 0.975), while the root mean square error (RMSE) and the regression coefficient (R) generated by the NN model based on satellite imagery as the sole input variable were relatively lower (RMSE = 3.230 μmol m^?2 s^?2, R = 0.952). Although the simulations for the satellite-only NEE were showed as lower accuracy than the NN model that included all input variables, the hourly variations in NEE also appeared to describe its daily growth and development pattern well, indicating the possibility of deriving hourly-based products from the proposed NN model using geostationary satellite data as inputs.     

A comparative study of artificial neural network and adaptive neurofuzzy inference system for prediction of compressional wave velocity

In this study, two solutions for prediction of compressional wave velocity (p wave) are presented and compared: artificial neural network (ANN) and adaptive neurofuzzy inference system (ANFIS). Series of analyses were performed to determine the optimum architecture of utilized methods using the trial and error process. Several ANNs and ANFISs are constructed, trained and validated to predict p wave in the investigated carbonate reservoir. A comparative study on prediction of p wave by ANN and ANFIS is addressed, and the quality of the target prediction was quantified in terms of the mean-squared errors (MSEs), correlation coefficient (R ²) and prediction efficiency error. ANFIS with MSE of 0.0552 and R ² of 0.9647, and ANN with MSE of 0.042 and R ² of 0.976, showed better performance in comparison with MLR methods. ANN and ANFIS systems have performed comparably well and accurate for prediction of p wave.     

Seasonal and inter-annual variation in surface energy fluxes and forcing parameters in agro-climatic regions of India

Understanding changes in monsoon variability over a decade requires thorough knowledge of the seasonal and inter-annual variability in surface energy flux and its forcing parameters (land surface and meteorology) in response to climate change. In the present study, the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Aqua climate model gridded global products (0.05° × 0.05° spatial resolution) of land surface temperature (LST; T_s), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and surface albedo (α) were used to generate seasonal (June–September) and inter-annual (2003–2012) variation in surface energy flux and its forcing parameters over different agro-climatic regions (ACRs) of India. Energy fluxes were retrieved using a single-source surface energy balance model (here vegetation and soil is considered as a single unit). Energy flux observations over different ACRs allowed comparison of the seasonal transition of latent heat flux (LE), net radiation (R_n), soil heat flux (G), available energy (Q = R_n – G), and evaporative fraction (EF) as terrestrial links to the atmosphere. The seasonal and inter-annual variation in EF was investigated by plotting against the soil moisture information retrieved from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-EOS (AMSR-E) global monthly data product (1° × 1° spatial resolution). Decadal and seasonal analysis showed that energy fluxes vary widely in time and space due to variability in surface radiation parameters (T_s, α), vegetation cover, soil moisture, and air temperature (T_a), which influence the seasonal transition of monsoon through LE and EF. Among the ACRs, LE and EF were found lowest in the Western Dry Region (WDR) and highest in the Western Himalayan Region (WHR). The spatiotemporal depiction of MODIS LE and MODIS EF over a span of 10 years can identify the hotspots and monsoon intensity over different ACRs. Climatic parameters that are susceptible to changes resulting from climate change are thoroughly studied in the present analysis.     

Northern Gulf of Mexico estuarine coloured dissolved organic matter derived from MODIS data

Coloured dissolved organic matter (CDOM) is relevant for water quality management and may become an important measure to complement future water quality assessment programmes. An approach to derive CDOM using the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) was developed that may be more accessible to water quality managers by selecting an off-the-shelf software and algorithm with standard atmospheric correction. This study focused on demonstrating the transferability of a remote-sensing reflectance (R_rs) band ratio algorithm, R_rs(667)/R_rs(488), previously developed to derive CDOM absorption (a_g(λ)) at multiple MODIS wavebands in open ocean and coastal waters to the United States northern Gulf of Mexico estuaries. In situ calibration regressions at 412, 443, 469, and 488 nm had coefficients of determination (R²) of 0.76, 0.71, 0.69, and 0.57, respectively. Waveband calibrations at 531, 547, and 555 nm were below R² = 0.50, and therefore were not considered further. MODIS R_rs, from the standard atmospheric correction, followed nearly identical spectral shapes to the in situ HyperSAS R_rs, but were on average 0.002 ± 0.0004 sr^?1 less. A satellite to in situ validation match-up window of ≤1 hour was selected with an R² = 0.82 and root mean square error (RMSE = 1.79) at 412 nm. An in situ water quality mooring demonstrated that the overall response and range of MODIS a_g(412) were similar, with relative mean error from –32% to 42%. The advantage to managers was synoptic coverage across multiple estuaries and the ability to provide estimates of derived water quality parameters between the water quality assessment programme sample collection periods, which could offer more holistic assessment.     

Evaluation of different orientation angle distributions within the X-Bragg scattering model for bare soil moisture estimation

In this paper, the applicability of three different orientation angle distributions of surface facets within the extended Bragg (X-Bragg) scattering model is investigated for estimation of soil moisture over bare surfaces using both Eigen-based and model-based polarimetric synthetic aperture radar (PolSAR) decomposition techniques. The three distributions considered for investigation in the X-Bragg model are uniform, half cosine, and the Lee distributions. In order to understand the sensitivity of the model using the three orientation angle distributions, key polarimetric parameters, such as scattering entropy (H), scattering anisotropy (A), scattering mechanism (α), cross-pol power (T₃₃), linear T₁₂ coherence (|γ_{(HH+VV)(HH–VV)}|), are simulated and analysed for various widths of distributions. The analysis of the simulated polarimetric parameters show that the Lee distribution has a reduced roughness validity range compared with the uniform and half cosine distributions. DLR E-SAR L-band data from the AgriSAR’2006 campaign over the Demmin test site in Northern Germany are inverted for soil moisture over bare surfaces. The inverted soil moisture from the physics-based X-Bragg model is compared with in situ measured TDR (time domain reflectometry) soil moisture values. The inversion results using the Eigen-based decomposition reveal similar root mean square error (RMSE = 14 vol.%) and inversion rates for three distributions. The model-based decomposition inversion results obtained at various fixed widths of distributions reveal that the Lee distribution shows less RMSE of 8 vol.% and high inversion rates for moderate surface roughness (ks = 0.5) as compared with half cosine and uniform distributions.     

Improvements in the estimation of daily minimum air temperature in peninsular Spain using MODIS land surface temperature

Air temperature (T_a) is a key variable in many environmental risk models and plays a very important role in climate change research. In previous studies we developed models for estimating the daily maximum (T_max), mean (T_mean), and minimum air temperature (T_min) in peninsular Spain over cloud-free land areas using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data. Those models were obtained empirically through linear regressions between daily T_a and daytime Terra-MODIS land surface temperature (LST), and then optimized by including spatio-temporal variables. The best T_mean and T_max models were satisfactory (coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.91–0.93; and residual standard error (RSE) of 1.88–2.25 K), but not the T_min models (R² = 0.80–0.81 and RSE = 2.83–3.00 K). In this article T_min models are improved using night-time Aqua LST instead of daytime Terra LST, and then refined including total precipitable water (W) retrieved from daytime Terra-MODIS data and the spatio-temporal variables curvature (c), longitude (λ), Julian day of the year (JD) and elevation (h). The best T_min models are based on the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) standard product MYD11 LST; and on the direct broadcast version of this product, the International MODIS/AIRS Processing Package (IMAPP) LST product. Models based on Sobrino’s LST1 algorithm were also tested, with worse results. The improved T_min models yield R² = 0.91–0.92 and RSE = 1.75 K and model validations obtain similar R² and RSE values, root mean square error of the differences (RMSD) of 1.87–1.88 K and bias = 0.11 K. The main advantage of the T_min models based on the IMAPP LST product is that they can be generated in nearly real-time using the MODIS direct broadcast system at the University of Oviedo.