Integrating cellular automata,artificial neural network,and fuzzy set theory to simulate threatened orchards: application to Maragheh,Iran

Urbanization processes challenge the growth of orchards in many cities in Iran. In Maragheh, orchards are crucial ecological, economical, and tourist sources. To explore orchards threatened by urban expansion, this study first aims to develop a new model by coupling cellular automata (CA) and artificial neural network with fuzzy set theory (CA–ANN–Fuzzy). While fuzzy set theory captures the uncertainty associated with transition rules, the ANN considers spatial and temporal nonlinearities of the driving forces underlying the urban growth processes. Second, the CA–ANN–Fuzzy model is compared with two existing approaches, namely a basic CA and a CA coupled with an ANN (CA–ANN). Third, we quantify the amount of orchard loss during the last three decades as well as for the upcoming years up to 2025. Results show that CA–ANN–Fuzzy with 83% kappa coefficient performs significantly better than conventional CA (with 51% kappa coefficient) and CA–ANN (with 79% kappa coefficient) models in simulating orchard loss. The historical data shows a considerable loss of 26% during the last three decades, while the CA–ANN–Fuzzy simulation reveals a considerable future loss of 7% of Maragheh’s orchards in 2025 due to urbanization. These areas require special attention and must be protected by the local government and decision-makers.     

地理国情地表覆盖的城市建设用地扩张分析——以兰州新区为例

针对传统的土地利用变化研究方法无法实现大规模在建中的建设用地动态监测的问题,该文提出了一种新的动态监测方法。结合多时相遥感影像、规划数据和外业调查数据,能够快速、低成本地提取城市建设用地。选取合适的扩展指数构建综合扩展程度指数模型,便于对建设用地变化时序特征做出评价。定量分析建设用地变化时序特征与规划用地的对比情况,明确了城市建设用地的建设进度和符合度。结果表明,城市建设用地处于高速扩展阶段,建设现状和规划情况基本相符;该方法是对地理国情监测工作的一种新的探索。     

城市局部气候分区对地表温度的影响 ——以大连市区为例

以大连市区建筑数据、SPOT 5和Landsat 8遥感数据为基础,运用局部气候带分类、地表温度反演方法,研究大连市局部气候带分区类型和特征,进而分析不同局部气候带对城市地表温度的影响。研究结果表明：①大连市建筑类型高度主要为低层建筑、多层建筑和中高层建筑,建筑密度为中密度和较高密度,甘井子区分布大量森林绿地,中山区具有丰富的公园绿地;②地表温度整体偏高,空间上呈现东高西低的趋势,其中半数以上地区地表温度达到28℃~31℃,并且有超过1%的地区地表温度大于38℃,该区域出现极端高温;③同一建筑高度上,密度越大的建筑区域,地表温度越高;同一建筑密度,多层建筑高度覆盖区地表温度较高。森林绿地地表温度最低,公园绿地和社区绿地地表温度几乎一致,附属绿地地表温度最高。     

Modeling the spread of spatio-temporal phenomena through the incorporation of ANFIS and genetically controlled cellular automata: a case study on forest fire

Abstract

Virtual representation and simulation of spatio-temporal phenomena is a promising goal for the production of an advanced digital earth. Spread modeling, which is one of the most helpful analyses in the geographic information system (GIS), plays a prominent role in meeting this objective. This study proposes a new model that considers both aspects of static and dynamic behaviors of spreadable spatio-temporal in cellular automata (CA) modeling. Therefore, artificial intelligence tools such as adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and genetic algorithm (GA) were used in accordance with the objectives of knowledge discovery and optimization. Significant conditions in updating states are considered so traditional CA transition rules can be accompanied with the impact of fuzzy discovered knowledge and the solution of spread optimization. We focused on the estimation of forest fire growth as an important case study for decision makers. A two-dimensional cellular representation of the combustion of heterogeneous fuel types and density on non-flat terrain were successfully linked with dynamic wind and slope impact. The validation of the simulation on experimental data indicated a relatively realistic head-fire shape. Further investigations showed that the results obtained using the dynamic controlling with GA in the absence of static modeling with ANFIS were unacceptable.     

Exploring land use policy scenarios with the use of a cellular automata-based model: urban sprawl containment and sustainable development in Thessaloniki

This study addresses the issue of urban sprawl through the application of a cellular automata (CA)-based model in the area of Thessaloniki, Greece. The model integrates a multiple regression model at the regional level with a CA model at the local level. New urban land is allocated in a disaggregated field of land units (cells) taking into account a wide range of data. Particular emphasis is placed on the way zoning regulations and land availability data are inserted into the model, so that alternative land use policy scenarios could be examined. Thessaloniki, a typical Mediterranean city, is used as a case study. The model is used to compare two scenarios of urban growth up to year 2030; the first one assuming a continuation of existing trends, whereas the second one assuming the enactment of various land use zoning regulations in order to contain urban sprawl.     

城市“拓空间”拟收储土地资源的评价研究——以东莞市石马河流域为例

在区域一体化背景下,对拟收储土地资源进行科学评价,有利于集约高效开发流域内土地资源,最大化土地增值收益,缓解流域整治带来的资金压力。本文通过对东莞市石马河流域潜在的可供开发土地进行摸查和评价研究,首先建立地块筛选指标体系,确定潜在收储地块;然后评估拟收储地块的规划条件、收储潜力和经济效益;最后提出相关收储整备建议。本文探索建立完整的"筛选-评价-收储计划"的土地资源评价体系,为政府部门进行流域综合开发和土地储备计划制定提供参考依据。     

基于多源数据的城市建设用地扩张时空特征分析——以佛山市顺德区为例

随着我国城市化进程的加快,城市建设用地规模进一步增加,同时带来交通拥堵、环境污染、绿地减少、城市热岛等城市问题。本文综合利用2015年地理国情普查数据、2011和2013年遥感数据,通过建立城市扩张强度指数,运用统计分析、空间聚类等方法,确定了顺德区建设用地在过去4年间年均增长率为1.8%,其中新城区的年均增长率超过14%;此外还发现主城区的扩展模式主要为填充式扩展,其中大良街道和勒流街道主要为工业园区的扩展,伦教街道主要为中央公园的扩展,容桂街道主要为物流园的扩展。     

基于时空数据挖掘的城市体检评估方法与实践——以无锡市为例

时空数据挖掘作为当前研究的热点之一,为城市研究提供了新的思路和技术手段。本文以无锡市为例,利用手机信令数据、车辆轨迹实时数据、基础地理信息等多源异构时空数据,构建相应的数据挖掘模型,进行了职住平衡、区域联系度、交通拥堵等城市特征的挖掘与分析,构建多源数据挖掘的城市评估体系,探索了时空数据挖掘在城市体检评估中的应用,为城市规划和运行管理提供了科学评估与决策。     

Effects of green space spatial pattern on land surface temperature: Implications for sustainable urban planning and climate change adaptation

The urban heat island (UHI) refers to the phenomenon of higher atmospheric and surface temperatures occurring in urban areas than in the surrounding rural areas. Mitigation of the UHI effects via the configuration of green spaces and sustainable design of urban environments has become an issue of increasing concern under changing climate. In this paper, the effects of the composition and configuration of green space on land surface temperatures (LST) were explored using landscape metrics including percentage of landscape (PLAND), edge density (ED) and patch density (PD). An oasis city of Aksu in Northwestern China was used as a case study. The metrics were calculated by moving window method based on a green space map derived from Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM) imagery, and LST data were retrieved from Landsat TM thermal band. A normalized mutual information measure was employed to investigate the relationship between LST and the spatial pattern of green space. The results showed that while the PLAND is the most important variable that elicits LST dynamics, spatial configuration of green space also has significant effect on LST. Though, the highest normalized mutual information measure was with the PLAND (0.71), it was found that the ED and PD combination is the most deterministic factors of LST than the unique effects of a single variable or the joint effects of PLAND and PD or PLAND and ED. Normalized mutual information measure estimations between LST and PLAND and ED, PLAND and PD and ED and PD were 0.7679, 0.7650 and 0.7832, respectively. A combination of the three factors PLAND, PD and ED explained much of the variance of LST with a normalized mutual information measure of 0.8694. Results from this study can expand our understanding of the relationship between LST and street trees and vegetation, and provide insights for sustainable urban planning and management under changing climate.     

Advanced differential interferometry synthetic aperture radar techniques for deformation monitoring: a review on sensors and recent research development

This paper reviews the advanced differential interferometry synthetic aperture radar (A-DInSAR) techniques, with two major components in focus. First is the basic concepts, synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data sources and the different algorithms documented in the literature, primarily focusing on persistent scatterers. In the second part, the techniques are compared in order to establish more linkage in terms of the variability of their applications, strength and validation of the interpreted results. Also, current issues in sensor and algorithm development are discussed. The study identified six existing A-DInSAR algorithms used for monitoring various deformation types. Generally, reports of their performance indicate that all the techniques are capable of measuring deformation phenomena at varying spatial resolution with high level of accuracy. However, their usability in suburban and vegetated areas yields poor results, compared to urbanized areas, due to inadequate permanent features that could provide sufficient coherent point targets. Meanwhile, there is continuous development in sensors and algorithms to expand the applicability domain of the technology for a wide range of deformable surfaces and displacement patterns with higher precision. On the sensor side, most of the latest SAR sensors employ longer wavelength (X and P bands) to increase the penetrating power of the signal and two other sensors (ALOS-2 PALSA-2 and SENTINEL-1) are scheduled to be launched in 2013. Researchers are investigating the possibility of using single-pass sensors with different look angles for SAR data collection. With these, it is expected that more data will be available for various applications. Algorithms such as corner reflector interferometry SAR, along track interferometry, liqui-InSAR, and squeeSAR are emerging to increase reliable estimation of deformation from different surfaces.