2013年元月我国中东部地区强霾污染成因分析

2013年元月,罕见强霾污染席卷我国中东部地区,引起社会各界高度关注．中国科学院“大气灰霾追因与控制”专项组,利用其建立的“中国气溶胶观测研究网”（CARE．China）对整个强霾污染过程进行了全程追踪观测,并对其成因进行了分析研究．本次强霾污染涉及我国整个中东部地区,污染最严重的京津冀地区共计发生5次强霾污染过程,其中两次超强过程发生在9—15日和25—31日,北京PM2．5小时浓度最高值分别达到680和530嵋m-。,石家庄和天津等重要城市强霾污染状况与北京相似．天气系统弱、强冷空气活动少和极其不利于污染物扩散的局地气象条件及地理位置,是造成本次强霾污染形成的外部条件;一次排放的气态污染物向颗粒态的快速转化,是本次强霾污染“爆发性”和“持续性”的内部促发因子,特别是大气中燃油排放为主的大量NOx促发了燃煤排放气态SO2向颗粒态硫酸盐的快速转化．通过NOx/SO2协同转化途径分析,发现气态污染物在细颗粒表面的非均相反应可改变大气颗粒物的粒径及化学组分,促使颗粒物中的二次无机盐（如硫酸盐和硝酸盐等）的比例逐渐增大,导致颗粒物吸湿性显著增强,从而对强霾污染形成起到了促进作用．     

四川地区地震前跨断层数据异常分析

概述四川7.0级以上大震前观测场地的异常情况。在核实2个大震震前异常的基础上,将传统异常判别方法进行汇总。总结近年来针对跨断层监测数据进行分析进而识别异常的方法:原始数据反映的断层活动速率异常以及转折异常。在此基础上,引入小波分析的方法对大震前的异常进行判别。对小波分解得到的两个趋势项进行分析,发现了大震与小波分解项异常的对应性。最后,基于对原始数据和小波分解项的分析,提出利用跨断层数据分析大震前兆的参考意见,为以后的震前异常研究工作提供了基础。     

甘肃地区数字化观测资料典型干扰分析

地震地下流体观测,指以捕捉地震异常为主要目的的地下流体观测量的动态观测.而地下流体观测不仅仅观测到我们想得到的地震异常信息,同时还观测到一些与地震无关的信息,通常称为干扰因素.所谓的干扰是相对于地震异常而言的,指与地震活动无关,与正常动态特征有明显差异的动态特征,既不属于正常观测动态,也不属于前兆异常,也不是同震异常或是震后异常,而是对地震异常信息的干扰,特别是对地震前兆异常信息的干扰,是违背地震异常动态规律的异常.     

基于层次分析的辽宁地区中强震预测指标体系及效能评估

本文从辽宁地区映震效果较好的预测指标出发,采用层次分析法建立了辽宁地区中强震预测指标体系,在此基础上,应用1～9比率标度法构建判断矩阵,进而计算各指标的权重.结果显示,10项映震效果较好的指标中,权重值居前3位的分别是短期预测指标中的前震序列、流体异常和b值.同时层次分析模型也给出了辽宁地区有无中强震的综合判定指标Y,Y值可较好地反映辽宁地区中强震的震兆强弱程度和异常可靠性,当Y≥1.41时(若有前震序列,则Y≥2.59),辽宁地区短期内存在发生中强震的危险.     

苏皖地区2次中强地震前地下流体异常及其形成机理分析

归纳总结了安庆M_S4.8地震、高邮-宝应M_S4.9地震前出现的地下流体异常,并对其形成机理作了初步讨论。结果显示,这2次地震前地下流体异常特征比较相似。在时间进程上,都表现出中期趋势背景异常与短临异常的配套性特征。在空间分布上,中期趋势背景阶段,水位异常均表现为震中附近流体井水位呈趋势性转折上升,而震中外围流体井水位呈趋势性转折下降的特点。且转折上升的流体井在空间上的分布方位与地震的发震断层走向一致。在短临阶段,异常均表现为先向外迁移继而向震中靠拢的特点。水位在空间上的规律性分布可能受区域应力场作用以及区域构造格局所控制。     

赤峰中心地震台地面与井下地震观测系统监测能力对比分析

为分析总结地面与井下地震观测系统的特点,以赤峰中心地震台地面与井下观测系统为研究对象,在噪声分析、噪声功率谱分析、地震监测能力和观测动态范围等方面进行分析。结果表明,2套观测系统的RMS均可达到Ⅱ级环境地噪声水平,井下观测系统噪声小于地面观测系统。对2套观测系统的功率谱密度、有效动态范围的对比均表明,井下观测系统的动态范围比地面观测系统超出约10%,因此,井下观测系统地震监测能力优于地面观测系统,井下观测系统能更有效地记录观测数据。     

中国西部地区门源—平凉—渭南地震测深剖面资料的分析解释

本文所处理的地震测深剖面资料,是一条途经陕、甘、宁、青四省,由7个炮点和12个记录分支组成的、全长约970km的地壳折射资料。 本文通过走时反演、射线追踪和合成地震图等分析解释手段,给出各分支的结构参数和全测线的横向变化。整个地壳大体分四层,其参数为 H1=3.32±1.01 km,V1=4.35±0.79 km; H2=11.79±2.77 km,V2=6.06±0.24 km; H3=11.58±4.32 km,V3=6.35±0.26 km; H4=17.64±7.25 km,V4=6.52±0.57 km. 地壳总厚度为45.60±11.01km.莫氏面自西向东逐渐变浅,在西段较为平缓,在中段和东段起伏较大,似乎显示出一个上端略宽、下端略窄的“U”形构造.这种构造有助于说明该区的大地构造特点和地震孕育的深部条件.     

中国西部地区门源-平凉-渭南地震测深剖面资料的分析解释

本文所处理的地震测深剖面资料,是一条途经陕、甘、宁、青四省,由7个炮点和12个记录分支组成的、全长约970km的地壳折射资料。 本文通过走时反演、射线追踪和合成地震图等分析解释手段,给出各分支的结构参数和全测线的横向变化。整个地壳大体分四层,其参数为 H₁=3.32±1.01 km,V₁=4.35±0.79 km; H₂=11.79±2.77 km,V₂=6.06±0.24 km; H₃=11.58±4.32 km,V₃=6.35±0.26 km; H₄=17.64±7.25 km,V₄=6.52±0.57 km. 地壳总厚度为45.60±11.01km.莫氏面自西向东逐渐变浅,在西段较为平缓,在中段和东段起伏较大,似乎显示出一个上端略宽、下端略窄的“U”形构造.这种构造有助于说明该区的大地构造特点和地震孕育的深部条件.     

Field-observation for an anticyclonic mesoscale eddy consisted of twelve gliders and sixty-two expendable probes in the northern South China Sea during summer 2017

An intensive field observation experiment using 12 Chinese gliders equipped with conductivity-temperature-depth (CTD) sensors and 62 expendable CTD probes (XCTDs) was performed to investigate the 3-D structure and time evolution of an anticyclonic eddy in the northern South China Sea (NSCS). The observed results showed that the anticyclonic eddy had a horizontal radius of about 80 km at surface and a vertical depth of impact of more than 1000 m. The largest temperature and salinity anomalies compared with the averaged values of the temperature and salinity profiles were 3.5°C and 0.4 psu at 120 m depth, respectively. Combined analysis of altimeter sea level and water mass properties indicated that the anticyclonic eddy was shed from the Kuroshio loop current. The vertical axis of the anticyclonic eddy tilted from surface to the observed maximum depth (1000 m) along its translation direction against the 2000 m isobath. The center of the anticyclonic eddy remained in the region east of Dongsha Island for more than half a month. During this time, the long axis direction of the eddy changed from across the slope to along the slope. Then, the eddy moved southward along the 2000 m isobaths. Both the geostrophic current and temperature distribution revealed that the eddy intensity weakened during the observation period gradually. These observations indicated strong interaction between the anticyclonic eddy and the slope topography of Dongsha Island.     

Numerical simulation and cause analysis of persistent summer drought during the 1920s in eastern China

Science China Earth Sciences - In the late 1920’s, a mega-drought in China resulted in widespread crop failure and famine. Sufficient evidence suggests that this drought belonged to a dry...     

淀山湖蓝藻水华高发期叶绿素a动态及相关环境因子分析

根据2008年5-9月专项监测数据,分析蓝藻水华高发期淀山湖叶绿素a浓度的动态变化,及其与pH、溶解氧、TN、TP等环境因子的相互关系.结果表明,淀山湖蓝藻水华高发期叶绿素a存在明显的时间变化和空间分异,特别是叶绿素a的峰值共对应了3次水华暴发过程.其叶绿素a对数与总磷对数呈极显著正相关,与硝酸盐氮、TN/TP呈负相关...     

Major advances in studies of the physical geography and living environment of China during the past 70 years and future prospects

The natural environment provides material essentials for human survival and development. The characteristics,processes, regional differentiation and forcing mechanisms of the elements of the natural environment(e.g. geomorphology,climate, hydrology, soil, etc.) are the main objects of research in physical geography. China has a complex natural environment and huge regional differentiation and therefore it provides outstanding reserach opportunities in physical geography. This review summarizes the most important developments and the main contributions of research in the physical geography and human living environment in China during the past 70 years. The major topics addressed are the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau and the evolution of its cryosphere, the development of fluvial systems, the acidification of the vast arid region of the Asian interior, variations in the monsoon and westerly climate systems on multiple timescales, the development of lakes and wetlands, the watershed system model, soil erosion, past human-environment interactions, biogeography, and physical geographic zonality. After briefly introducing international research developments, we review the history of research in physical geography in China, focusing on the major achievements and major academic debates, and finally we summarize the status of current research and the future prospects. We propose that in the context of the national demand for the construction of an ecological civilization, we should make full use of the research findings of physical geography, and determine the patterns and mechanisms of natural environmental processes in order to continue to promote the continued contribution of physical geography to national development strategies, and to further contribute to the theory of physical geography from a global perspective.     

中西部冲断带多尺度地球物理解释及其物理模拟实验

中西部冲断带形成于两古板块"镶嵌式"拼接成陆后的再冲断.多尺度地球物理资料解释表明,浅层构造变形具有"横向有序分带、垂向多属性分层、纵向差异分段"特征,深部构造变形表现为分层解耦和差异收缩,造山带与盆地的岩石圈在咬合冲断时强-弱层对置.本文利用物理模拟实验和延时摄影方法,基于"挤压-碰撞"模型正演了冲断带变形过程,实验结果表明：造山带仰冲盆地并相互拼接,前者冲起折返,后者前陆冲断;盆内滑脱层的存在会产生构造分层,上构造层的变形以断层相关褶皱为主,且扩展范围受控于滑脱层;上构造层的挤压缩短量比下构造层大,变形扩展更远;下构造层的变形以叠瓦构造和双重构造为主,其断层倾角由前陆向腹陆逐渐增大,断面由下凹变为上凸,断片由侧向叠置变为垂向叠置;高角度逆断层的变形经历了脆性变形、韧-脆性变形和韧性变形三个阶段.     

Effects of shear in the convective boundary layer: analysis of the turbulent kinetic energy budget

Effects of convective and mechanical turbulence at the entrainment zone are studied through the use of systematic Large-Eddy Simulation (LES) experiments. Five LES experiments with different shear characteristics in the quasi-steady barotropic boundary layer were conducted by increasing the value of the constant geostrophic wind by 5 m s^-1 until the geostrophic wind was equal to 20 m s^-1. The main result of this sensitivity analysis is that the convective boundary layer deepens with increasing wind speed due to the enhancement of the entrainment heat flux by the presence of shear. Regarding the evolution of the turbulence kinetic energy (TKE) budget for the studied cases, the following conclusions are drawn: (i) dissipation increases with shear, (ii) the transport and pressure terms decrease with increasing shear and can become a destruction term at the entrainment zone, and (iii) the time tendency of TKE remains small in all analyzed cases. Convective and local scaling arguments are applied to parameterize the TKE budget terms. Depending on the physical properties of each TKE budget contribution, two types of scaling parameters have been identified. For the processes influenced by mixed-layer properties, boundary layer depth and convective velocity have been used as scaling variables. On the contrary, if the physical processes are restricted to the entrainment zone, the inversion layer depth, the modulus of the horizontal velocity jump and the momentum fluxes at the inversion appear to be the natural choices for scaling these processes. A good fit of the TKE budget terms is obtained with the scaling, especially for shear contribution.     

香花岭地区成矿有利程度特征分析定量模型研究与应用

本文应用特征分析综合信息矿产资源评价的原理,利用现有地质、物化探、遥感资料对香花岭地区的矿化程度进行深入分析,以汇水盆地为统计单元并通过应用数量化理论Ⅲ分别从26个统计单元中筛选出21个单元作为模型单元,从47个变量中筛选出41个变量,建立多矿种和单矿种特征分析定量模型4个,对该区不同的单元矿化程度进行定量评价和预测研究.定量地给出预测该区的Ⅰ级成矿远景区（中型矿区）,Ⅱ级成矿远景区（小型矿区）,Ⅲ级成矿远景区（矿点）的关联度和找矿标准.     

2011年3月11日日本地震海啸越洋传播及对中国影响的数值分析

北京时间2011年3月11日13时46分(05:46 UTC)日本东北部近海(38.3°N,142.4°E)发生M_w9.0级特大地震,此次地震的强度为日本近1200a来最强.随后环太平洋的数十个国家和地区的验潮站和海啸监测浮标均监测到了强震引发的越洋海啸,海啸奔袭23 h到达南美洲的智利沿岸;此次海啸除了对近场的日本东北部沿岸地区造成了巨大灾害,还对太平洋东岸的部分国家和地区造成了一定程度的影响.地震发生4 h后海啸波到达我国台湾东部沿海,6~8 h海啸波到达我国大陆东南沿海,受此影响我国发布了第一份海啸蓝色警报.本文利用海啸数值模型对此次地震海啸的产生、越洋传播过程进行了数值模拟,给出了海啸波能量在我国近海及泛太平洋区域分布特征;同时重点模拟分析了海啸波在日本及中国近海传播的波动特征,模拟结果与观测数据吻合良好.最后通过对数值模拟结果的分析,阐述了此次海啸对中国的影响,给出了潜在的日本地震海啸对中国的风险估计.     

2011年3月11日日本地震海啸越洋传播及对中国影响的数值分析

北京时间2011年3月11日13时46分(05:46 UTC)日本东北部近海(38.3°N,142.4°E)发生Mw9.0级特大地震,此次地震的强度为日本近1200a来最强.随后环太平洋的数十个国家和地区的验潮站和海啸监测浮标均监测到了强震引发的越洋海啸,海啸奔袭23 h到达南美洲的智利沿岸;此次海啸除了对近场的日本东北部沿岸地区造成了巨大灾害,还对太平洋东岸的部分国家和地区造成了一定程度的影响.地震发生4 h后海啸波到达我国台湾东部沿海,6~8 h海啸波到达我国大陆东南沿海,受此影响我国发布了第一份海啸蓝色警报.本文利用海啸数值模型对此次地震海啸的产生、越洋传播过程进行了数值模拟,给出了海啸波能量在我国近海及泛太平洋区域分布特征;同时重点模拟分析了海啸波在日本及中国近海传播的波动特征,模拟结果与观测数据吻合良好.最后通过对数值模拟结果的分析,阐述了此次海啸对中国的影响,给出了潜在的日本地震海啸对中国的风险估计.