Association between height and coronary heart disease mortality: a prospective study of 35,000 twin pairs

An inverse association between height and risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) is well demonstrated, but it is not known whether this association is because of genetic factors, socioeconomic background, or other environmental factors. Four population-based twin cohorts with register-based follow-up data on CHD mortality from Denmark (1966-1996), Finland (1975-2001), and Sweden (1963-2001 and 1972-2001) were used to investigate this question; response rates varied between 65% and 86%. Together, the cohorts included 74,704 twin individuals (35,042 complete twin pairs) with 5,943 CHD deaths during 1.99 million person-years of follow-up. Cox and conditional logistic regression models were used. Per 1-standard deviation decrease in height, height was inversely associated with CHD mortality in men (hazard ratio = 1.08, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.04, 1.12) and in women (hazard ratio = 1.06, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.10). A twin who had died from CHD was on average shorter than the co-twin within monozygotic pairs (odds ratio = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.12, 1.44, with no sex difference), whereas a weaker association was found within dizygotic pairs in men (odds ratio = 1.01, 95% CI: 0.91, 1.13) and in women (odds ratio = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.28). The inverse association between height and CHD mortality found within monozygotic discordant twin pairs suggests that this association is because of environmental factors that directly affect height and CHD risk.     

Dietary fiber and reduced ischemic heart disease mortality rates in men and women: a 12-year prospective study

The authors examined the relation between 24-hour dietary fiber intake at baseline survey in 1972-1974 and subsequent 12-year ischemic heart disease mortality in a southern Californian population-based cohort of 859 men and women aged 50-79 years. Relative risks of ischemic heart disease mortality in those with dietary fiber intake of 16 gm/24 hours or more compared with those with intake less than 16 gm/24 hours were 0.33 in men and 0.37 in women. A 6 gm increment in daily fiber intake was associated with a 25% reduction in ischemic heart disease mortality (p less than 0.01). This effect was independent of other dietary variables, including calories, fat, cholesterol, protein, carbohydrate, alcohol, calcium, and potassium. Some, but not all, of this effect appears to be mediated through the known cardiovascular risk factors: after multivariate adjustment for age, sex, blood pressure, plasma cholesterol, obesity, fasting plasma glucose, and cigarette smoking habit, the magnitude of the protective effect of fiber was reduced but still significant in both sexes combined. These findings support the hypothesis that high dietary fiber intake is protective for ischemic heart disease mortality.     

Sleep patterns and total mortality: a 12-year follow-up study in Japan

A population-based cohort study was conducted to assess the relationship between total mortality and self-reported sleep patterns as regards not only to sleep duration but also subjective sleep quality. A total of 5,322 inhabitants in Gifu Prefecture, Japan, completed a self-administered questionnaire on health status and lifestyles including habitual sleep patterns, and were followed-up for an average of 11.9 years. Relative risks were computed by using Cox proportional hazards models. Both longer and shorter sleep, compared to 7-8 hour-sleep, was related to significantly increased risk of total mortality in males (relative risk [RR] for > or = 10 hours = 1.94, and RR for < 7 hour = 1.90), but not in females. Females complaining of poor awakening state experienced a higher mortality risk compared to those who woke up normally (RR: 1.97). Males who usually fell asleep easily showed a marginally lower mortality risk compared to those who fell asleep normally (RR: 0.70). Female users of sleeping pills were at an elevated risk (RR: 1.89). These findings were almost unchanged after adjustment for sleep duration and other confounders. Poor self-reported quality of sleep seemed to be associated with an increased risk of mortality independently of sleep duration.     

Milk, dietary calcium, and bone fractures in women: a 12-year prospective study.

OBJECTIVES: This study examined whether higher intakes of milk and other calcium-rich foods during adult years can reduce the risk of osteoporotic fractures. METHODS: This was a 12-year prospective study among 77761 women, aged 34 through 59 years in 1980, who had never used calcium supplements. Dietary intake was assessed with a food-frequency questionnaire in 1980, 1984, and 1986. Fractures of the proximal femur (n = 133) and distal radius (n = 1046) from low or moderate trauma were self-reported on biennial questionnaires. RESULTS: We found no evidence that higher intakes of milk or calcium from food sources reduce fracture incidence. Women who drank two or more glasses of milk per day had relative risks of 1.45 for hip fracture (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.87, 2.43) and 1.05 for forearm fracture (95% CI = 0.88, 1.25) when compared with women consuming one glass or less per week. Likewise, higher intakes of total dietary calcium or calcium from dairy foods were not associated with decreased risk of hip or forearm fracture. CONCLUSIONS: These data do not support the hypothesis that higher consumption of milk or other food sources of calcium by adult women protects against hip or forearm fractures.     

上海市区男性吸烟与恶性肿瘤死亡的前瞻性研究

目的 探讨上海市区中老年男性吸烟与恶性肿瘤死亡关系,以及随访期间研究对象吸烟情况的改变对这种关系的影响。方法 自1986年1月至1989年9月调查上海市区45～64岁男性居民18244人,每年上门随访一次;用Cox比例风险模型计算相对危险度(RR)。结果 至2002年度随访结束,全队列共随访235762人年,人均随访12.9年。在此期间共死亡3365例,其中恶性肿瘤死亡1381例。基线调查时吸烟者相对于不吸烟者总死亡RR值为1.49,去除随访期间吸烟情况有变化的对象后,一直吸烟者相对于一直不吸烟者的总死亡RR值增至1.78;相应的恶性肿瘤死亡RR值由2.05增至2.58,肺癌死亡RR值由6.40增至8.77。基线调查时吸烟者年龄标化总死亡率及标化恶性肿瘤死亡率为1695.6/10万人年和782.0/10万人年,去除随访期间吸烟情况有变化的对象后,一直吸烟者相应的标化死亡率增至2353.7/10万人年和1144.6/10万人年。结论 吸烟是上海市区中老年男性总死亡及恶性肿瘤死亡的重要危险因素。不考虑随访期间研究对象吸烟状况的改变会低估吸烟对健康的危害性。     

Cigarette smoking and mortality among Japanese males in a prospective cohort study]

The relationship between smoking and disease was studied in a prospective cohort study among a Japanese male working population. The relative risk of cigarette smoking was positively associated with mortality for all diseases and major neoplasms. In current smokers consuming 25 to 34 cigarettes per day, relative risk for all diseases, major neoplasms, and lung cancer compared to nonsmokers was 1.38, 2.04, 2.36, respectively. These data suggest that there is a positive relation between smoking and disease mortality in this male working population. As for ex-smokers, estimated relative risk for all neoplasms was between that of current smokers and nonsmokers.     

Physical activity,morbidity and mortality in twins: a 24-year prospective follow-up

The aim of this study was to find out whether persistent leisure-time physical activity, adjusted for genetic liability and childhood experiences, protect against occurrence of specific chronic diseases and all-cause mortality. Study design was a 24-year prospective follow-up after 6-year physical activity discordance in twin pairs. From 5,663 healthy adult twin pairs, 146 pairs (including 29 mozygotic) discordant for both intensity and volume of leisure physical activity at baseline in both 1975 and 1981 were systematically identified. Mortality and occurrence of chronic diseases (diabetes, hypertension, coronary heart disease defined according to reimbursable medication status) were followed for the period 1.1.1983–31.12.2006 for mortality and 1.1.1983–31.12.2004 for diseases. By end of follow-up, 19 inactive and 10 active co-twins had died. In the whole sample, HR of death adjusted for social class was 2.08 (95% CI 1.06–4.09) for inactive vs. active co-twins, the HR being 2.67 (95% CI 1.15–6.20) among DZ pairs with no mortality difference among the smaller number of discordant MZ pairs. The reimbursable medication analyses showed a tendency of higher risk for inactive vs. active co-twins. Among DZ pairs, HR of diabetes medication adjusted for social class was 2.73 (95% CI 0.62–12.00) and HR of hypertension medication was 2.14 (95% CI 0.94–4.89). This study supports the earlier findings that physical activity is associated with reduced mortality. However the difference was seen only in DZ pairs and therefore some residual genetic confounding effects on mortality cannot be excluded.     

老年人吸烟及戒烟与相关死亡的前瞻性研究

目的：前瞻性探讨男性老年人吸烟及戒烟与烟草有关疾病死亡的相互关系。方法：研究对象为1987年西安市22个军队干休所的全部男性离体干部,共计1268人,基线调查时,388人为不吸烟者,419人为吸烟者,461人为戒烟者。终点指标为全死因和与烟草有关疾病死亡。结果：截止1999年,共观察14163人年,平均随访11年。共死亡299人,943人存活,26人失访。在调整了年龄,血压、体重指数,总胆固醇,甘油三酯、饮酒,体育锻炼和既往病史等因素后,多元Cox生存分析模型显示：既往吸烟与该人群相关死亡的对危险度（95％CI）分别为总死亡1．34（1．02－1．76）、慢性阻塞性肺病（COPD）3．23（0．95－10．91）,肺癌、2．31（0．95－5．61）、冠心病1．60（0．81－3．19）。其死亡危险性随既吸烟量的增多和吸烟年限的延长而升高,存在明确的剂量反应关系。与继续吸烟者相比,戒烟总死亡和冠心病死亡和危险性分别下降56％和93％,但COPD的死亡危险却升高了174％。结论：（1）吸烟是中国男性老年人的主要死因之一,而戒烟降低总死亡和心血管病死亡;（2）戒烟者COPD死亡危险高于继续吸烟者的原因可能与“无病吸烟者作用”和“因病戒烟作用有关。     

Isolated systolic hypertension in Dutch middle aged and all-cause mortality: a 25-year prospective study

In the early 1950s, the blood pressure of 3901 Dutch civil servants and their spouses aged 40-65 years was measured in a general health survey. Isolated systolic hypertension (systolic pressure greater than 160 mmHg, diastolic pressure less than 90 mmHg) was observed in 6.3% of the women and 3.0% of the men. The prevalence increased with age and it was more common in women in all age groups. Using logistic regression, with adjustment for potential confounders (age, smoking, serum cholesterol, Quetelet index, alcohol consumption, haemoglobin level, pulse rate and diastolic blood pressure) the association of 15- and 25-year total mortality with isolated systolic hypertension was determined. Compared to normotensive people (systolic pressure less than or equal to 135 mmHg, diastolic pressure less than 90 mmHg), the risk of death from all causes was significantly higher for men with isolated systolic hypertension after 15 and 25 years of follow-up (odds ratio OR = 2.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2-4.8 and OR = 3.2, 95% CI 1.3-8.0). For women 15-years mortality risk was strongly associated with isolated systolic hypertension (OR = 3.7, 95% CI 1.4-9.7). The increased risk was less pronounced after 25 years of follow-up (OR = 1.7, 95% CI 0.96-3.0). Our results support those of other studies and indicate that isolated systolic hypertension is an important independent risk factor for all-cause mortality. Since isolated systolic hypertension may be an indicator for the early onset of ageing, it is important to study its determinants and to pay more attention to its diagnosis and treatment in middle-aged populations.     

The British-Norwegian migrant study: 5-year mortality differentials due to cigarette smoking

Cigarette smoking and 5-year survivorship of 20,017 British and 10,016 Norwegian migrants to the United States were compared with 17,696 British and 26,155 Norwegian nonmigrants. The highest mortality ratios for 5-year age-adjusted death rates observed were of cigarette smokers to nonsmokers, ranging from 1.40 to 1.60 for men and from 1.18 to 1.36 for women. Mortality ratios of nonmigrants to migrants ranged from 1.07 to 1.19 for men and from 1.22 to 1.36 for women. Mortality ratios for British to Norwegian groups ranged from 1.13 to 1.27. Some differences in mortality ratios for cardiovascular diseases contrasted with mortality ratios for noncardiovascular diseases were noted. The most important of these differences was the apparent lack of any consistent difference between nonmigrants and migrants in their 5-year cardiovascular mortality rates, although there were consistent differences for noncardiovascular diseases.     

Mini nutritional assessment and 10-year mortality in free-living elderly women: a prospective cohort study with 10-year follow-up

Background/Objectives:Mini nutritional assessment (MNA) is the most frequently used screening test for malnutrition in elderly populations in continental Europe and Asia. Most studies on MNA's ability to predict mortality have only included persons admitted to hospital, living in nursing homes or at home with professional help with activities of daily living. The aim of this cohort study was to examine if MNA can predict 10-year mortality in the general elderly female population.Subjects/Methods:Of the 584 free-living elderly women invited, 351 agreed to participate and were tested with MNA between 1999 and 2000. A 10-year follow-up was conducted in 2010 with dates of death obtained from the Swedish death register.Results:Participants whose MNA score was 23.5 points at inclusion had a significantly higher age-adjusted 10-year mortality risk than participants with a MNA score of >23.5 points. The hazard ratio was 2.36 (95% confidence interval 1.25-4.46), P <0.01.Conclusions:Participants with a MNA score, indicating an increased risk for malnutrition, were more than twice as likely to die during the 10-year follow-up as participants whose MNA score indicated normal nutritional status. Hence, MNA can predict mortality in a general, free-living, elderly female population.     

Smoking,smoking cessation,and 7-year mortality in a cohort of Thai adults

Background

Smoking is a strong risk factor for mortality in both the developed and the developing world. However, there is still limited research to examine the impact of smoking cessation and mortality in middle-income Southeast Asian populations.

Methods

We use longitudinal data from a large Thai cohort of adult Open University students residing nationwide, linked with official death records to assess the association of smoking status and mortality risks during a 7-year follow-up. The log-rank test was used to evaluate the statistical probability of differential survival according to baseline smoking status. Multivariate hazard ratios (HR) were reported for smoking status and all-cause and cause-specific mortality.

Results

From 2005 baseline to 2012, current smokers were more likely to die than cohort members who ceased smoking and never smokers (1.9 vs 1.3 vs 0.6 %, p?<?0.05). The hazard of all-cause mortality increased with the daily amount of cigarette consumption among both current and former smokers. Cause of death analyses showed that current male smokers had a significantly increased risk of cardiovascular disease related mortality (HR 3.9 [95 % CI 1.8–8.1]). Former male smokers had a moderate increase in risk of dying from cardiovascular diseases compared to never smokers (HR 1.6 [95 % CI 0.7–3.4]). Current male smokers between 2005 and 2009 experienced highest subsequent mortality hazards during the period 2009–2012 compared to never smokers (HR 2.1 [95 % CI 1.4–3.4]). The higher risk of dying reduced if people quit smoking during the 2005–2009 follow-up period (HR 1.5 [95 % CI 0.7–3.3]). Risk for mortality fell even further among long-term quitters (HR 1.4 [95 % CI 0.9–2.2]).

Conclusion

Among a large nationwide cohort of Thai adults, current smokers were at a significantly and substantially higher risk of all-cause mortality, especially cardiovascular-related mortality. The higher risk of dying fell if people quit smoking and the risk for mortality was even lower among long-term quitters. Promotion of smoking cessation will contribute substantially to the reduction in avoidable mortality in Thailand.

     

Frequent and occasional physical activity in the elderly: a 12-year follow-up study of mortality

BACKGROUND: The positive health effects of physical activity are well known. However, there are few studies of the association between different levels of physical activity and all-cause mortality among elderly people. METHODS: A national random sample of 3206 women and men aged >/=65 were interviewed in 1988 and 1989 and followed until December 31, 2000, for all-cause mortality. Cox regression was used to analyze the association between five different levels of physical activity and all-cause mortality, after adjustment for gender, age, education, smoking habits, body mass index, diabetes, hypertension, and self-rated health. All analyses were conducted in 2003. RESULTS: For elderly people who were physically active occasionally, the risk of all-cause mortality was 28% lower than for those who were physically inactive (hazard ratio [HR]=0.72; confidence interval [CI]=0.64-0.81), after adjustment for all explanatory variables. For those who were physically active once a week, the risk of all-cause mortality was 40% lower than for those who were physically inactive (HR=0.60; CI=0.50-0.71). For those who were physically active more frequently, the reduction in all-cause mortality risk was about the same as for those who were physically active once a week. Diabetes, hypertension, and daily smoking were, as expected, significant risk factors for all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Physical activity, even occasionally, decreases the risk of all-cause mortality among elderly people. Preventive resources among the elderly should include moderate exercise such as walking.     

Association of physical job demands, smoking and alcohol abuse with subsequent premature mortality: a 9-year follow-up population-based study

This study assessed the relationships of physical job demands (PJD), smoking, and alcohol abuse, with premature mortality before age 70 (PM-70) among the working or inactive population. The sample included 4,268 subjects aged 15 or more randomly selected in north-eastern France. They completed a mailed questionnaire (birth date, sex, weight, height, job, PJD, smoking habit, alcohol abuse (Deta questionnaire)) in 1996 and were followed for mortality until 2004 (9 yr). PJD score was defined by the cumulative number of the following high job demands at work: hammer, vibrating platform, pneumatic tools, other vibrating hand tools, screwdriver, handling objects, awkward posture, tasks at heights, machine tools, pace, working on a production line, standing about and walking. The data were analyzed using the Poisson regression model. Those with PM-70 were 126 (3.81 per 1,000 person-years). The leading causes of death were cancers (46.4% in men, 57.1% in women), cardiovascular diseases (20.2% and 11.9%), suicide (9.5% and 7.1%), respiratory diseases (6.0% and 4.8%), and digestive diseases (2.4% and 4.8%). PJD3, smoker, and alcohol abuse had adjusted risk ratios of 1.71 (95% CI 1.02-2.88), 1.76 (1.08-2.88), and 2.07 (1.31-3.26) respectively for all-cause mortality. Manual workers had a risk ratio of 1.84 (1.00-3.37) compared to the higher socio-economic classes. The men had a two-fold higher mortality rate than the women; this difference became non-significant when controlling for job, PJD, smoker and alcohol abuse. For cancer mortality the factors PJD3, smoker, and alcohol abuse had adjusted risk ratios of 2.00 (1.00-3.99), 2.34 (1.19-4.63), and 2.22 (1.17-4.20), respectively. Health promotion efforts should be directed at structural measures of task redesign and they should also concern lifestyle.     

Postpartum relapse to smoking: a prospective study

A substantial proportion of women who quit smoking during pregnancy will relapse in postpartum. In order to better understand the psychosocial factors which precipitate relapse to smoking we conducted a prospective study of postpartum smoking relapse among a cohort (N = 106) of women who quit smoking during pregnancy. Participants were surveyed by telephone after the 28th week of pregnancy, and at 6 weeks and 6 months postpartum. Point prevalence estimates of smoking relapse indicated that at 6 weeks and 6 months follow-up, 24% (n = 26) and 40% (n = 42), respectively, of the women had returned to regular smoking. Spouse's smoking status, social support, decreases in self-efficacy, and the types of coping strategies used to resist smoking in pregnancy and postpartum predicted relapse to smoking in postpartum. Longitudinal data indicated that relapse occurred relatively gradually suggesting that early postpartum is not too late to encourage new mothers to remain abstinent.     

Nosocomial fungaemia: a 2-year prospective study

Eighty-six consecutive patients with fungaemia were studied during a period of 2 years, 81% had two or more positive blood cultures. Gastrointestinal tract (28%) and haematological diseases (17%) were the most common underlying conditions. The majority of cases had received vancomycin and/or imipenem (87%) and a central venous catheter (78%). Candida albicans (50%) and Candida parapsilosis (17%) were the most frequent isolates. Overall mortality was 41%, and for patients with Candida tropicalis was 71%. There was not significant difference in survival with gender, age and days of treatment with antifungal drugs. Haematological diseases, neutropenia and a higher number of positive blood cultures were associated with poor outcome.     

C-reactive protein and procalcitonin as markers of mortality in hemodialysis patients: a 2-year prospective study.

OBJECTIVE: We have previously shown in a transversal study that PCT combined to CRP is associated to an altered nutritional status in hemodialysis patients. In a 2-year prospective study, we have assessed the relationship between markers of inflammation or nutrition and mortality. DESIGN: Two-year prospective study, in 61 patients dialyzed in our unit (29 M/32 F, age 63 +/- 15 years, on dialysis for 76 +/- 94 months, 12 hrs/wk, on high-flux (HF) membrane for 25 patients and low-flux (LF) for 36 patients, without reuse). Kt/V was 1.53 +/- 0.30. SETTING: Hospital-based dialysis unit. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: CRP, PCT, ferritin, albumin, and prealbumin, were measured in 04/99 (T0) and every 6 months thereafter. Interleukin-6 (IL6) and fibrinogen were measured at the start of study. The outcome and the causes of death of patients were noted in 58 patients, 3 patients were lost of follow-up. RESULTS: The mortality (24 deaths) was 42% at 2 years in this hospital based unit. The main causes of mortality were cardiovascular diseases (71%) and infection (17%). Patients were classified according to their CRP (CRP+ if CRP > or = 5 mg/L; n = 40), and PCT values (PCT + if PCT > or = 0.5 ng/mL; n = 25). IL6 level was > or = 10 pg/mL for 95% of the patients. Mortality was higher in the CRP+ group (Kaplan-Meier test P < .01) but not in the PCT or IL6 positive patients. All patients of the CRP+ group at T0 remained CRP+. Only 56% of patients of PCT+ remained positive at 6 months. When patients were grouped according to CRP quartile the difference on survival remained significant (P = .03), patients who were classified in the third and fourth quartile (upper than 9.9 mg/L), exhibited a higher rate of mortality than the lower quartile. The concomitant presence of a high level of PCT and CRP was associated with a worsened nutritional status at T0 but PCT level had no influence on 2-year mortality. CONCLUSION: In this 2-year prospective study in a hospital-based cohort of high-risk hemodialysis patients, elevated CRP, but not raised PCT, was associated with increased mortality. Inflammation remained present throughout a 2-year follow-up in patients with an initial CRP higher than 5 mg/L. An upper value of CRP above 9.9 mg/L is independly predictive of mortality, mainly from cardiovascular causes. The association of high PCT and CRP was no more predictive of mortality than high CRP.