决策信息为区间二元语义的双向专家权重确定方法

针对区间二元语义多属性群决策中的专家客观赋权问题,提出了一种区间二元语义群决策的双向专家权重确定方法。首先设置专家初始权重,通过专家个体与群体决策矩阵的偏差距离计算专家的偏离权重,再通过专家的直觉模糊熵计算专家的模糊熵权重,结合偏离权重和模糊熵权重,经过多次迭代后得到稳定的专家双向权重。该权重既反映了专家偏好信息与群体偏好信息的一致性,同时也反映了专家对决策问题的了解程度。最后,实例验证了该算法的可行性与有效性。     

基于判断矩阵的专家模糊核聚类组合赋权方法

研究群决策中专家赋权问题.实际决策问题中,由于客体信息自身存在的不完备性和不确定性以及人们描述过程中的模糊性,更适合采用模糊聚类的分析方法,为此提出一种基于判断矩阵的专家模糊核聚类赋权方法.该方法运用模糊核聚类理论对专家排序向量进行分类,根据分类结果、判断矩阵一致性和排序向量的熵对各专家进行组合赋权.算例表明,所提出的方法是可行且有效的.     

考虑时间序列的动态大群体应急决策方法

针对专家权重和属性权重未知、阶段权重未知且与时间序列有关的动态大群体应急决策问题,提出一种考虑时间序列的动态大群体应急决策方法.首先,提出一个考虑区间直觉模糊数犹豫度的距离公式,定义区间直觉模糊数贴近度,综合考虑贴近度和相似度,用模糊聚类法对大群体专家偏好信息进行聚类;其次,基于现有区间直觉模糊熵公式的不足,提出一个新的区间直觉模糊熵公式,基于此公式考虑专家之间知识水平的差异和各个阶段偏好信息不具遗传性等特点,计算得出专家在不同属性下的权重和属性在各阶段下的权重;再次,考虑时间序列对各阶段权重的影响,构建相对熵模型,对阶段权重进行合理确定,进而利用加权平均算子得到整个决策过程中各方案的综合决策偏好;然后,利用区间直觉模糊数的得分函数和精确函数对方案进行排序,选出最优方案;最后,通过与以往文献的方法对比分析验证所提出方法的有效性和优越性.     

基于直觉模糊熵的专家权重确定方法及其验证

针对专家判断信息以直觉模糊集给出的直觉模糊群决策矩阵,提出一种新的客观确定专家权重的方法。与传统的通过专家评价的差异程度来确定专家权重的思路不同,该方法通过定义直觉模糊集的模糊熵计算专家判断信息的模糊程度,进而确定每位专家的权重,并对基于犹豫度、几何距离、相似度量和不确定程度4类模糊熵的定义对专家权重结果的影响进行实验和仿真分析。仿真结果表明,专家的权重不仅取决于不同类模糊熵的定义,还与专家个数和属性个数相关。     

初始聚类中心优化的加权最大熵核FCM算法

针对传统基于最大熵模糊 C 均值聚类算法（MEFCM）仅适用于球状或椭圆状聚类,为了解决数据分布混乱以及高度相关难以划分的情形,引入 Mercer 核函数,使原来没有显现的特征突现出来,从而使聚类效果更好。然而在实际问题中,大多数样本集的样本数据都存在着重要性（权重）不同的现象,主要针对样本集中各个数据的不同重要程度来设计加权方法,同时为了克服聚类算法对初始聚类中心选取的敏感性这一弱点,提出了一个初始聚类中心优化的加权最大熵核模糊聚类算法（WKMEFCM）。通过实验验证,该算法与原MEFCM算法比较,其聚类结果更加稳定、准确,从而达到更好的聚类划分效果。     

基于云模型的Pythagorean模糊语言多属性决策方法

针对专家给出的属性值为Pythagorean模糊语言且专家权重与属性权重均未知的多属性决策问题进行了研究,提出一种基于云模型的多属性决策方法。首先,根据Pythagorean模糊语言决策信息的距离熵计算得到属性权重;其次,计算决策矩阵间的距离从而得到各决策专家权重;再次,构建Pythagorean模糊云模型决策矩阵并利用专家权重和属性权重进行信息集结;最后,基于TOPSIS方法求取正、负理想解,依据理想解计算各方案贴近度并据此对各备选方案进行排序选择。案例分析表明,该方法优化了复杂环境下的决策,避免了决策信息的丢失,能够较好解决决策信息的不确定性和决策过程的随机性,具有一定的可行性和有效性。     

基于双层专家权重确定的风险型大群体决策

针对风险型大群体决策问题,考虑专家权重确定的复杂性,提出基于累积前景理论的决策信息处理和考虑双层专家权重确定的大群体决策方法.采用二元语义获取并表达专家的评价信息;基于累积前景理论计算方案的综合前景价值矩阵;采用双层专家权重确定方法,第1层利用聚类方法对大群体成员价值向量进行聚类,根据聚类结果确定聚集群权重, 第2层利用熵权法获得专家熵权,二者结合得到专家权重.通过确定专家权重和综合前景价值矩阵得出最终的决策结果.最后通过算例表明了所提出方法的可行性和有效性.     

考虑碳限额的制造/再制造混合系统生产优化决策

针对属性权重部分未知且专家权重完全未知的多粒度语言大群体决策问题,提出一种基于云模型的决策方法.首先,构建一种基于信任关系的专家权重求解模型来计算专家权重;其次,将多粒度语言转换为云模型并进行聚类;然后,构建一致性优化模型来求解属性权重,从而得到各个方案的综合评价值并对方案进行排序.所构造的专家赋权模型可以有效解决大群体决策过程中决策人数众多、无法客观给出专家权重信息的问题,而且通过定义的直觉信任函数,还可以对专家之间的信任关系进行刻画,充分挖掘专家之间的信息;将多粒度语言转换为云模型,可以有效刻画语言信息的模糊性和随机性,从而避免信息的丢失和失真.     

Pythagorean犹豫模糊交叉熵的多属性决策方法

针对决策信息为Pythagorean犹豫模糊数的多属性群决策问题,提出一种基于Pythagorean犹豫模糊交叉熵的多属性群决策方法。引入Pythagorean犹豫模糊交叉熵的概念。以Pythagorean犹豫模糊交叉熵作为决策信息差异程度的度量,提出专家权重和属性权重的确定模型。提出一种基于Pythagorean犹豫模糊熵的TOPSIS方法,并通过光伏电站选址案例说明了该方法的可行性和有效性。     

基于熵和风险态度的二型模糊多属性决策方法

针对属性权重信息完全未知的二型模糊多属性决策问题,提出了一种基于二型模糊熵和决策者风险态度的决策方法。首先,为了准确测度二型模糊集（T2FS）的不确定性,通过引入模糊因子和犹豫因子建立了二型模糊熵的公理化准则,并基于距离测度给出了对应的计算公式。其次,为了减少整体不确定信息对决策结果的影响,结合二型模糊熵构建非线性规划模型来确定属性权重。同时,将决策者的风险态度引入二型模糊信息的得分函数中并给出具体的决策步骤。最后,通过实例分析验证了该决策方法的可行性,并与现有文献对比发现该决策方法更具有灵活性。     

Fuzzy multi attribute group decision making method to achieve consensus under the consideration of degrees of confidence of experts’ opinions

The aim of this paper is to introduce a fuzzy multi attribute group decision making technique considering the degrees of confidence of experts’ opinions. In the process of decision making, each expert provides his/her evaluation over the alternatives depending on a finite set of attributes and constructs an individual fuzzy decision matrix. The proposed technique establishes an iterative process to aggregate the fuzzy information, given by individual expert, into group consensus opinion by using the fuzzy similarity measure. Then, based on group consensus opinion, the proposed approach utilizes the fuzzy similarity measure to find out the most desirable alternative through approximate reasoning. The proposed decision making technique is more flexible due to the fact that it considers the degrees of confidence of experts’ opinions. Finally an example has been shown to highlight the proposed methodology.     

A flexible consensus scheme for multicriteria group decision making under linguistic assessments

The present paper proposes a flexible consensus scheme for group decision making, which allows one to obtain a consistent collective opinion, from information provided by each expert in terms of multigranular fuzzy estimates. It is based on a linguistic hierarchical model with multigranular sets of linguistic terms, and the choice of the most suitable set is a prerogative of each expert. From the human viewpoint, using such model is advantageous, since it permits each expert to utilize linguistic terms that reflect more adequately the level of uncertainty intrinsic to his evaluation. From the operational viewpoint, the advantage of using such model lies in the fact that it allows one to express the linguistic information in a unique domain, without losses of information, during the discussion process.The proposed consensus scheme supposes that the moderator can interfere in the discussion process in different ways. The intervention can be a request to any expert to update his opinion or can be the adjustment of the weight of each expert’s opinion. An optimal adjustment can be achieved through the execution of an optimization procedure that searches for the weights that maximize a corresponding soft consensus index.In order to demonstrate the usefulness of the presented consensus scheme, a technique for multicriteria analysis, based on fuzzy preference relation modeling, is utilized for solving a hypothetical enterprise strategy planning problem, generated with the use of the Balanced Scorecard methodology.     

Nonlinear optimization models for multiple attribute group decision making with intuitionistic fuzzy information

Intuitionistic fuzzy numbers are very useful for experts to depict in depth their fuzzy preference information over objects. In this work, we investigate multiple attribute group decision‐making problems in which the attribute values provided by experts are expressed in intuitionistic fuzzy numbers, each of which is composed of a membership degree, a nonmembership degree and a hesitancy degree, and the weight information about both the experts and the attributes is to be determined. We first make different types of attribute values uniform so as to facilitate interattribute comparisons and employ the simple additive weighting method to fuse all the individual opinions into the group one. We then develop two nonlinear optimization models, one minimizing the divergence between each individual opinion and the group one, and the other minimizing the divergence among the individual opinions, from which two exact formulae can be obtained to derive the weights of experts. Similarly, from the viewpoint of maximizing group consensus, we establish a nonlinear optimization model based on all the individual intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrices to determine the weights of attributes. The simple additive weighting method is used to aggregate all the intuitionistic fuzzy attribute values corresponding to each alternative, and then the score function and the accuracy function are employed to rank and select the given alternatives. Moreover, we extend all the above results to interval intuitionistic fuzzy situations, and finally apply the developed models to an air‐condition system selection problem. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

一种基于熵权和经验因子的模糊综合评价方法

针对系统综合评价过程中存在各种不确定性的问题,提出了一种基于熵权和经验因子的模糊综合评价方法。将模糊数学理论与综合评价理论相结合,利用模糊集合来表示专家的评价结果,对专家评价意见进行量化;权重的确定采用基于熵权和经验因子的权重确定方法,将由决策矩阵确定的客观权重同由先验知识确定的主观权重结合起来,提高了权重确定的科学性;最后,对专家意见和权重进行模糊合成运算,得出综合评价的最终结果。结合某信息系统的风险评估算例,给出了该方法的应用步骤。     

Managing the consensus in group decision making in an unbalanced fuzzy linguistic context with incomplete information

To solve group decision-making problems we have to take in account different aspects. On the one hand, depending on the problem, we can deal with different types of information. In this way, most group decision-making problems based on linguistic approaches use symmetrically and uniformly distributed linguistic term sets to express experts’ opinions. However, there exist problems whose assessments need to be represented by means of unbalanced linguistic term sets, i.e., using term sets which are not uniformly and symmetrically distributed. On the other hand, there may be cases in which experts do not have an in-depth knowledge of the problem to be solved. In such cases, experts may not put their opinion forward about certain aspects of the problem and, as a result, they may present incomplete information. The aim of this paper is to present a consensus model to help experts in all phases of the consensus reaching process in group decision-making problems in an unbalanced fuzzy linguistic context with incomplete information. As part of this consensus model, we propose an iterative procedure using consistency measures to estimate the incomplete information. In addition, the consistency measures are used together with consensus measures to guided the consensus model. The main novelty of this consensus model is that it supports the management of incomplete unbalanced fuzzy linguistic information and it allows to achieve consistent solutions with a great level of agreement.     

Minimum Cost Consensus With Quadratic Cost Functions

Group consensus is an important method for making business decisions. In this paper, the consensus process is defined as a dynamic and interactive group decision process, which is coordinated by a moderator who helps the experts to gradually move their opinions closer to each other. This paper describes the importance of group consensus and the need to minimize the cost of this process. Furthermore, this paper describes the costs associated with decision making using group consensus and then describes three methods of reaching consensus assuming quadratic costs for a single-criterion decision problem. The first method finds the group opinion (consensus) that yields the minimum cost of reaching throughout the group. The second method finds the opinion with the minimum cost of the consensus provided that all experts must be within a given distance of the group opinion. The last method finds the maximum number of experts that can fit within the consensus, given a specified budget constraint.      

基于公共邻居的MHK一致性协议及其稳定性分析

如何增强多智能体系统一致性收敛是其一致性研究的重要问题。提出了一种新的MHK（multi-agent-based Hegselmann-Krause）一致性协议,该协议将智能体间的公共邻居作为切换网络下多智能体分布式协作的重要调控因素。针对该协议下的多智能体系统设计了能量函数,分析并证明了该系统具有李雅普诺夫意义下的稳定性,将收敛为一个或多个子观点集群。数值仿真采用增量分析方法考察了系统所收敛的观点集群数量与初始拓扑区间长度的关系;实验表明,该协议使多智能体系统收敛为数量更少的观点集群。所提出的基于公共邻居的MHK一致性协议能够有效提高切换网络的连通性,从而增强系统的一致性收敛,并能为观点演化模型的控制与优化提供理论支撑。     

Democratic consensus reaching process for multi-person multi-criteria large scale decision making considering participants’ individual attributes and concerns

Consensus reaching is a key issue in group decision-making, because conflicts of interest among groups are common. Democratic consensus refers to achieve a soft consensus among collective as well as ensure the effective participation and satisfaction of individuals. Multi-person multi-criteria large scale decision making (MpMcLSDM) usually involves a huge number of decision makers (DMs/participants), and different DMs usually have different interests. Thus, how to effectively manage individuals to promote democratic consensus is a current research challenge. To do that, this research develops a democratic consensus reaching process (DCRP) for MpMcLSDM problems. In the proposed approach, a clustering method that considers both the opinion similarity and individual concern similarity of DM is firstly given to decrease the complexity of MpMcLSDM issues. Subsequently, we propose to assign equal initial weight to each cluster to protect the interests of minorities. Meanwhile, a consensus contribution-based dynamic interactive weight updating method is implemented in the DCRPs to promote a high level of democratic consensus. Besides, a compromise degree-based consensus feedback strategy is developed to improve the efficiency of the DCRPs. The proposed feedback mechanism effectively considers the individual concern and adjustment willingness of DMs in the DCRPs. Finally, a case study and some comparisons are given to show the effectiveness and innovation of this research.     

基于模糊集合的汉语主观句识别

主观句识别的工作在诸如情感分类和意见摘要等意见挖掘系统中占有很重要的地位。在该文中,我们提出一种基于情感密度的模糊集合分类器以识别汉语主观句。首先,我们利用优势率方法从训练语料中抽取主观性线索词;然后,为了能更好的表达一个句子的主观性,我们利用抽取出的主观性线索词计算出每个句子的情感密度;最后,我们结合情感密度的特点实现了一个三角形隶属度函数的模糊集合分类器以识别主观句。我们在NTCIR-6中文数据中做了两组实验。实验结果表明我们的方法具有一定的可行性。     

Linguistic-labels aggregation and consensus measure for autocratic decision making using group recommendations

Group decision making is a common and important activity in everyday life. In many cases, due to inherent uncertainty, experts cannot express their score or preference using exact numbers. The use of linguistic labels makes expert judgment more reliable and informative for decision-making. One of the problems of group decision making in fuzzy domains is aggregating experts' opinions, expressed using linguistic labels, into a group opinion. This aggregation allows the group to select the most "preferred" alternative from a finite set of candidates. The aggregation of individual judgments into a group opinion requires a measured level of consensus. In this paper, by introducing a new linguistic-labels aggregation operation, we present a procedure for handling an autocratic group decision-making process under linguistic assessments. The methodology presented results in two consequent outcomes: a group-based recommendation, and a score for each expert, reflecting the expert's contribution towards the group recommendation. By changing the weights of the experts based on their contributions, we increase the consensus and reinforce the common decision, without forcing the experts to modify their opinions. This methodology allows an autocratic decision maker to use a diversified group of consultants for a succession of decisions reaching a high level of consensus.