Transvaginal versus transperineal ultrasonography: a blinded comparison in the assessment of cervical length at midgestation

OBJECTIVE: The study's objective was to determine the correlation and agreement between transperineal ultrasonography and transvaginal ultrasonography in the assessment of cervical length in gravid patients. STUDY DESIGN: After a pilot, unblinded series of transperineal and transvaginal cervical length measurements in 200 gravid patients, 206 study patients between 14 and 34 weeks' gestation with intact membranes and cervical dilatation of < or = 2 cm underwent transperineal and transvaginal cervical length assessment under a blinded, 2-sonographer protocol. The Pearson correlation coefficient, Lin concordance coefficient, and Bland-Altman plot were used. Acceptable concordance was defined as > 0.82, with an acceptable correlation of > 0.9 and an acceptable difference between the means of < 3 mm. The power of the study to detect this degree of concordance was estimated to be 95% at this sample size. RESULTS: Paired ultrasonographic measurements were obtained for all 206 study patients. Transperineal mean cervical length was 35 +/- 8.6 mm. Transvaginal mean cervical length was 35.9 +/- 8.8 mm. The Pearson correlation coefficient was 0.959, and the Lin concordance coefficient was 0.955, with a 95% confidence lower bound of 0.949. Close agreement between transperineal and transvaginal measurements was observed across the full range of cervical lengths (1-5 cm). The estimated difference between the paired means was 1 mm. The 95% tolerance interval for any given paired observation (Transperineal length - Transvaginal length) was -5.7 to +4 mm. CONCLUSIONS: Cervical length measured by transperineal ultrasonography demonstrates close correlation and agreement with transvaginal measurements. With sonographer experience and optimal technique, approximately 95% of transperineal cervical length observations can be expected to be within 5 mm of a given paired transvaginal measurement. Transperineal ultrasonography may be a preferred method of cervical length assessment for situations in which vaginal placement of instruments should be minimized.     

Cervical ultrasonography compared with manual examination as a predictor of preterm delivery

OBJECTIVE: Our purpose was to compare the accuracy of ultrasonographic and manual cervical examinations for the prediction of preterm delivery. STUDY DESIGN: One hundred two singleton pregnancies at high risk for preterm delivery were followed up prospectively from 14 to 30 weeks with both serial cervical ultrasonography measurements and manual examinations of the length of the cervix. The primary outcome studied was preterm (< 35 weeks) delivery. RESULTS: Excluding six induced preterm deliveries, 96 pregnancies were analyzed. The mean cervical length measured by ultrasonography was 20.6 mm in pregnancies delivered preterm (n = 17) and 31.3 mm in pregnancies delivered at term (n = 79) (p = 0.003); the mean cervical lengths measured by manual examination were 16.1 mm and 18.6 mm in the same preterm and term pregnancies, respectively (not significant). The sixteenth- and twentieth-week ultrasonographic cervical lengths predicted preterm delivery most accurately (p < 0.0005). The 25th percentiles of ultrasonographic (25 mm) and manual (16 mm) cervical lengths showed relative risks for preterm delivery of 4.8 (95% confidence interval 2.1 to 11.1, p = 0.0004) and 2.0 (95% confidence interval 0.5 to 4.7, p = 0.1), respectively; sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were 59%, 85%, 45%, 91%, and 41%, 77%, 28%, and 86%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Cervical length measured by ultrasonography is a better predictor of preterm delivery than is cervical length measured by manual examination. Cervical ultrasonography in patients at high risk for preterm birth seems to be most predictive of preterm delivery when it is performed between 14 and 22 weeks' gestation.     

Clostridium septicum infection and hemolytic uremic syndrome

Ultrasonography of the hip was performed sequentially by two different examiners in 75 infants. The ultrasound strips were reviewed twice by three paediatric orthopaedic surgeons and classified by the Graf method. The intraobserver and interobserver agreement between the interpretations was analysed using simple and weighted kappa coefficients calculated for agreement on the Graf classification and for grouping as normal (types 1A to 2A), and abnormal requiring treatment (types 2B to 4). When examining the same ultrasound strip, intraobserver agreement for the Graf classification was substantial (mean kappa 0.61), but interobserver agreement was only moderate (kappa 0.50). For the grouping into normal and abnormal, the mean kappa value for intraobserver agreement was 0.67 and for interobserver agreement 0.57. Because of the significant differences in agreement between normal and abnormal hips, we analysed a subgroup of those with at least one abnormal interpretation. Intraobserver agreement within this subgroup showed moderate reliability (kappa 0.41), but interobserver agreement was only fair (kappa 0.28). Interpretations of two different strips performed sequentially showed significantly lower agreement with an intraobserver kappa value of 0.29 and an interobserver value of 0.28. In the subgroup with at least one abnormal reading, the intraobserver kappa was 0.09 and the interobserver 0.1. Our findings suggest that both the technique of performing ultrasonography and the interpretation of the image may influence the result.     

Identifying twin gestations at low risk for preterm birth with a transvaginal ultrasonographic cervical measurement at 24 to 26 weeks' gestation

OBJECTIVE: Because twins are a high-risk group for preterm birth, many clinicians routinely use prophylactic interventions such as home bed rest, hospital bed rest, oral tocolytics, or home uterine activity monitoring to prevent preterm delivery. We sought to identify twin gestations at low risk for spontaneous preterm birth with transvaginal ultrasonography of the cervix to avoid the unnecessary use of prophylactic interventions in these pregnancies. STUDY DESIGN: We measured cervical length at 24 to 26 weeks' gestation by transvaginal ultrasonography in women with twin gestations referred to our prematurity prevention clinic. Each delivery was classified as (1) spontaneous preterm birth < 34 weeks' gestation, (2) delivery at > or = 34 weeks' gestation with intervention, or (3) delivery at > or = 34 weeks' gestation without intervention. Intervention included strict bed rest at home or in the hospital, either parenteral or oral tocolysis, or both, or home uterine activity monitoring. Indicated preterm deliveries and patients with cerclage were excluded from this analysis. The ability of transvaginal cervical length to predict women who would deliver at > or = 34 weeks without intervention was evaluated. A cervical length of 35 mm was chosen by scatter diagram as the best cutoff to discriminate between the group delivered at term without intervention and the other two groups. RESULTS: Of 85 women with twin gestations who underwent ultrasonographic cervical length measurements at 24 to 26 weeks' gestation, 17 had spontaneous preterm birth at < 34 weeks, 23 were delivered at > or = 34 weeks but required intervention, and 45 were delivered at > or = 34 weeks without intervention. The mean cervical length for those delivered at > or = 34 weeks' gestation without intervention (36.4 +/- 5.8 mm) was significantly greater (p < 0.0001) than the mean for those delivered preterm (27.4 +/- 8.5) and those delivered at > or = 34 weeks' gestation who required intervention (27.7 +/- 10.5 mm). The sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of a cervical length > 35 mm for predicting delivery at > or = 34 weeks' gestation are 49%, 94%, 97%, and 31%, respectively. CONCLUSION: A transvaginal ultrasonographic measurement of the cervix of > 35 mm at 24 to 26 weeks in twin gestations can identify patients who are at low risk for delivery before 34 weeks' gestation.     

Ankle fracture classification: a comparison of reliability of three X-ray views versus two

Our hypothesis was that malleolar ankle fractures could be classified with two radiographic views as reliably as with three views. Four different observers independently evaluated 99 sets of ankle radiographs. The examiners classified the ankle fractures by using both the Lauge-Hansen and Danis-Weber systems. The interobserver and intraobserver variations were analyzed by kappa statistics. With regard to intraexaminer reliability, the examiners demonstrated excellent accord in classifying the fractures in the Danis-Weber system with either three views or two views. The kappa values were comparable. In the Lauge-Hansen system, three examiners demonstrated excellent accord and one examiner demonstrated good accord in classifying the fractures. Similar kappa values were generated when examiners classified fractures with either three views or two views. With regard to interexaminer reliability, good to excellent accord was demonstrated overall among the four examiners when they used the Danis-Weber system with either three views or two views. The examiners were in good agreement when they used the Lauge-Hansen system. Similar kappa values were generated whether the examiners used three views or two views. Three radiographic views are usually ordered for evaluation of an acute ankle injury. Previous studies have shown that only two views are needed for diagnosis of a malleolar ankle fracture. This study demonstrates that malleolar ankle fractures can be classified with two views, lateral or mortise, with a reliability as good as that achieved with three views. The best agreement is achieved with lateral and mortise views.     

Telemedicine and fetal ultrasonography: assessment of technical performance and clinical feasibility

OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to determine the performance and clinical feasibility of telesonography for the interpretation of fetal anatomic scans sent from a remote location compared with those obtained at a tertiary care prenatal ultrasonography center. STUDY DESIGN: Routine ultrasonographic studies from 35 patients were remotely interpreted. Evaluation included a blinded comparison of the sonographer's assessment of 38 fetal structures with that of the physician at the tertiary care center. Technical evaluation included system reliability and the number of digital telephone lines required for adequate real-time visualization. RESULTS: The mean gestational age at the time of the ultrasonography was 25.84 +/- 6.8 weeks (range 14 to 38). There was complete consistency of interpretation for 25 of 38 (66%) fetal structures. Thirteen structures had discrepancies in visualization, reflecting a difference in the adequacy of visualization, not the normalcy or identity of the structures. Three digital (integrated switching digital network, ISDN) telephone lines were required for real-time visualization. CONCLUSION: Our preliminary experience supports telesonography as a clinically useful tool for remote interpretation of fetal ultrasonographic examinations. Further studies are warranted for the continued evaluation of this emerging technology.     

Cervical length at 23 weeks of gestation: relation to demographic characteristics and previous obstetric history

OBJECTIVES: To examine the feasibility of introducing routine measurement of cervical length at 23 weeks of gestation, to establish the distribution of cervical lengths in a routine population of singleton pregnancies and to examine the relation between cervical length and demographic characteristics and previous obstetric history. METHODS: Cervical length was measured by transvaginal sonography at 23 weeks of gestation in women with singleton pregnancies attending for routine antenatal care. The distribution of cervical lengths was established and the significance of differences in median cervical length between subgroups according to maternal age, ethnic origin, maternal ponderal index, cigarette smoking, alcohol drinking, drug abuse and previous obstetric history was calculated. In addition, 100 women were asked to complete a questionnaire aimed to assess the degree of discomfort, pain or embarrassment caused by the scan. In 100 pregnancies, cervical length was measured in each patient by two of four operators to determine intraobserver and interobserver variabilities. RESULTS: During the study period, 2702 (80%) of the 3358 women attending for a 23-week scan agreed to participate in the study and, in all cases, the cervical length was measured successfully. The median cervical length was 38 mm and in 1.6% of cases the length was 15 mm or less. More than 90% of the women reported that the procedure was associated with no or only mild discomfort and embarrassment, whilst 85% found the ultrasound scan to be equally or less uncomfortable than a speculum examination. Measurement of cervical length was highly reproducible and, on 95% of occasions, the difference between two measurements by the same observer and by two observers was < or = 3.5 mm and < or = 4.2 mm, respectively. Cervical length was significantly shorter in women of Afro-Caribbean origin compared to Caucasians, those aged less than 20 years, those with a low ponderal index, those with a history of previous miscarriage or preterm delivery and in drug abusers. CONCLUSIONS: Transvaginal sonographic measurement of cervical length is highly reproducible and it is associated with a minimal degree of discomfort to the patients. At 23 weeks, the median cervical length is 38 mm and, in 1.6% of the population, the length is 15 mm or less. There is an association between cervical length and demographic characteristics and previous obstetric history.     

A comparison of the accuracy and reproducibility of digital three-dimensional coronary artery reconstructions using edge detection or videodensitometry

Global quantitative three-dimensional measurements of coronary arteries may be helpful in determining the functional significance of various forms of coronary pathology. A computerized system has been developed that is capable of performing 3-D reconstruction of digitized images obtained from multiple coronary angiographic views using either automated edge detection (AED) or videodensitometric (VD) techniques. To compare the accuracy and reproducibility of measurements obtained from this system using either technique, stationary and moving coronary aluminum 3-D phantoms, each with 13 branches (diameter 0.58-6.35 mm, length 21.5-64.5 mm), were imaged and reconstructed 10 separate times each. Individual branch lengths and diameters were calculated and compared to each other and to known values. Diameter measurements were compared using either AED or VD. Intraclass correlation coefficients between observed values (ICC) for vessel length were r = 0.89 for the stationary and r = 0.97 for the moving phantom. ICCs for vessel diameter were r = 0.93 (AED) and r = 0.95 (VD) for the stationary and r = 0.98 (AED) and r = 0.97 (VD) for the moving phantom. Mean differences (+/-SD) between true and observed values [MDTO(+/-SD)] for vessel length were -1.0 +/- 3.9 mm for the stationary and -3.5 +/- 3.2 mm for the moving phantom. MDTO(+/-SD) for vessel diameter were -0.10 +/- 0.52 mm (AED) and +0.03 +/- 0.30 mm (VD) for the stationary and -0.21 +/- 0. 44 mm (AED) and -0.12 +/- 0.33 (VD) for the moving phantom. We conclude that the quantitative accuracy and reproducibility of measurements obtained by computerized 3-D reconstruction of coronary model phantoms is of high enough quality to warrant further clinical evaluation. VD appears to be more accurate than AED for measuring vessel diameter.     

Reliability testing of the dermatology index of disease severity (DIDS). An index for staging the severity of cutaneous inflammatory disease

OBJECTIVES: To describe a new severity of illness index for inflammatory skin disease called the Dermatology Index of Disease Severity (DIDS), and to show its preliminary use and reliability in staging disease in patients with psoriasis and dermatitis. DESIGN: Interobserver rating study using the DIDS with as many as 10 observers independently rating the same patient at a single point in time. SETTING: Ambulatory care clinics at an academic medical center with patients from various socioeconomic backgrounds. PATIENTS: Thirty-four patients with psoriasis and 15 patients with dermatitis were included in the study. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The severity of illness for each patient was rated as 1 of 5 stages: 0, no evidence of clinical disease; I, limited disease; II, mild disease; III, moderate disease; and IV, severe disease. The degree of interobserver concordance was measured by the Cohen kappa statistic. RESULTS: All 5 stages were represented in the study of patients with psoriasis. The overall kappa statistic was 0.76, which is defined as substantial interobserver concordance. The use of the instrument in dermatitis showed good consensus in staging, where the kappa statistic was 0.41. CONCLUSION: We introduce an easy and efficient instrument for staging the severity of illness in inflammatory cutaneous diseases. The reliability of the DIDS is demonstrated in patients with psoriasis and in patients with dermatitis.     

Interobserver reliability in quantitative MRI assessment of temporomandibular joint disk status

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to investigate interobserver reliability of a new technique for quantification of magnetic resonance images of temporomandibular joint disk status. STUDY DESIGN: Sixty magnetic resonance images of adolescent temporomandibular joints were randomly drawn for analysis. Four experienced observers traced the articular disk and osseous structures on sagittal magnetic resonance slice images. Quantitative measurements of disk length and disk displacement were recorded for each slice of 57 joints traced by each observer through use of a new quantification technique. Intraclass correlation coefficients were computed to assess interobserver agreement in the tracing of joint structures. RESULTS: The calculated intraclass correlation coefficient was 0.681 for disk length and 0.830 for disk displacement. In addition, the mean variability among observers was 1.041 mm for measurement of disk length and 0.972 mm for measurement of disk displacement. CONCLUSIONS: Interobserver agreement is high when the new quantification technique is used to interpret magnetic resonance images.     

A hierarchical approach to inferences concerning interobserver agreement for multinomial data

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the interobserver and intraobserver reliability of assessments of impairments and disabilities. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: One physical therapist's assessments were examined for intraobserver reliability. Judgments of two pairs of therapists were used to examine interobserver reliability. Reliability was assessed by Cohen's kappa. RESULTS: Of the 42 impairments and disabilities assessed by the physical therapist in the intraobserver reliability study, kappa values could be calculated for 33 items. For 31 items (94%), kappa values ranged from .40 to .91, and 2 items (6%) had kappa values of less than .40. To determine interobserver reliability, 37 items were assessed in one practice. Kappa values could be calculated for 34 items, with 30 items (88%) having kappa values ranging from .41 to .80 and 4 items (12%) showing "poor" agreement. In the second practice, 47 items were assessed for interobserver reliability. Kappa values could be calculated for 40 items, with 11 items (27.5%) having kappa values ranging from .41 to .84. Poor agreement was shown for the remaining 29 items (72.5%). CONCLUSION AND DISCUSSION: Assessments of impairments and disabilities are potentially reliable. The differences between practices of the interobserver reliability study can be explained by the fact that one of the therapists did not receive training in the use of the assessment form. More generalizable conclusions will require further study with more subjects and therapists.     

Reliability among neurologists in the severity assessment of blepharospasm and oromandibular dystonia: a multicenter study

The reliability of a scale of 0 to 4 (where 0 is normal) in rating the severity of blepharospasm (BS) and oromandibular dystonia (OMD) was evaluated by the concordance among six neurologists from different neurological institutions. As expressed by k index, interobserver agreement was moderate either for BS or for OMD according to the Landis classification. Neurologists showed different rating attitude toward BS and OMD. In fact, the category analysis showed that raters were inclined to overestimate BS and to underestimate OMD. The familiarity with dystonia influenced reliability more than the length of professional experience in neurology. In fact, when examiners were subdivided into subgroups (each of three raters) according to the former criteria, the level of interobserver agreement increased significantly. Almost perfect agreement was obtained in intrarater comparisons. These results may be of value with regard to the conduct of multicenter epidemiologic and clinical studies on focal dystonias.     

Interobserver variation in the reporting of cervical colposcopic biopsy specimens: comparison of grading systems

AIMS: To assess interobserver variation in reporting cervical colposcopic biopsy specimens and to determine whether a modified Bethesda grading system results in better interobserver agreement than the traditional cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) grading system. METHODS: One hundred and twenty five consecutive cervical colposcopic biopsy specimens were assessed independently by six histopathologists. Specimens were classified using the traditional CIN grading system as normal, koilocytosis, CIN I, CIN II, or CIN III. The specimens were also classified using a modified Bethesda grading system as either normal, low grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) or high grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL). Participants were also asked to categorise biopsy specimens by the CIN system with the addition of the recently proposed category "basal abnormalities of uncertain significance (BAUS)". The degree of agreement between participants was assessed by kappa statistics. RESULTS: Using the CIN system, interobserver agreement was generally poor: unweighted and weighted kappa values between individual pairs of observers ranging from 0.05 to 0.34 (average 0.20) and from 0.20 to 0.54 (average 0.36), respectively. With the modified Bethesda system, interobserver agreement was better but still poor: unweighted and weighted kappa values ranging from 0.15 to 0.58 (average 0.30) and from 0.21 to 0.61 (average 0.36), respectively. There was little or no agreement between observers in the diagnosis of BAUS. CONCLUSIONS: Interobserver agreement in the reporting of cervical colposcopic biopsy specimens using the CIN grading system is poor. Agreement, while still poor, is better when a modified Bethesda grading system is used. There is little or no consensus in the diagnosis of BAUS.     

A prospective evaluation of fetal pericardial fluid in 506 second-trimester low-risk pregnancies

OBJECTIVE: To measure fetal pericardial fluid in low-risk second-trimester pregnancies and to evaluate outcome for those with measurements greater than 2 mm. METHODS: Five hundred and six women were referred for sonography between 16 and 25 weeks' gestation for common obstetric indications (dating, fetal survey, and placental location) unrelated to an increased risk of anomalies. All cases were evaluated with two-dimensional and M-mode real-time ultrasonography with the use of a mechanical sector transducer. The maximum distance of the fetal hypoechoic cardiac rim was recorded. We reviewed maternal and infant charts for those with measurements greater than 2 mm. RESULTS: Median (range) maternal age was 25 (15-42) years. Median gravidity and parity were two (1-14) and one (0-11), respectively. Median estimated gestational age was 20.4 (16.3-24.9) weeks. Fetal pericardial fluid was seen in 360 of 506 (71%) fetuses. Of these 360 fetuses, the mean distance (+/- 2 standard deviation) of the fetal hypoechoic cardiac rim was 1.20 mm +/- 0.91 mm (95% confidence interval 1.15, 1.25). Among the 506 cases, the maximum measurement was 3 mm. Ten of the 506 (2%) cases had measurements greater than 2 mm. None of these ten fetuses had a cardiac structural abnormality or arrhythmia, and perinatal outcome was unremarkable. CONCLUSION: During second-trimester fetal ultrasonographic examination, visualization of pericardial fluid up to 2 mm in the fetus with current high-resolution technology is common and should not be regarded as pathologic.     

Transvaginal ultrasonographic cervical assessment for the prediction of preterm delivery

To determine the usefulness of transvaginal ultrasonographic cervical assessment for the prediction of preterm delivery in an apparently normal population, 729 pregnant women (between 15 and 34 weeks' gestation) were randomly enrolled in the study in ten tertiary perinatal centers in Japan. Cervical parameters, including cervical length, internal os dilatation, and funneling depth, were measured by transvaginal ultrasound. The predictive values of these measurements for preterm delivery were investigated in a prospective fashion. Among various cervical parameters, cervical length showed the best correlation with pregnancy outcome. Cervical length (mm) was gradually decreased as the gestational age progressed, the regression line being y = 41.21-0.22x. When the mean cervical length minus 1 standard deviation at each gestational age was chosen as a cut-off value, the group with a shortened cervix showed a significantly high preterm delivery rate exclusively in the primigravidae (odds ratio: 4.86, 95% CI: 1.85-12.72). Internal os dilatation, in contrast, was a useful predictor in multiparous women (odds ratio: 6.00, 95% CI: 1.65-21.71). It was concluded that tranvaginal ultrasonographic cervical assessment, especially the measurement of cervical length, was effective for the prediction of preterm delivery in the primigravidae.     

The influence of observer calibration in temporomandibular joint magnetic resonance imaging diagnosis

OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to investigate the potential of reducing observer variation through a calibration program. STUDY DESIGN: The study was based on three sets of randomly selected temporomandibular joint magnetic resonance images. Each set consisted of bilateral images from 20 consecutive patients with temporomandibular disorders. As a baseline, three well-experienced noncalibrated investigators interpreted the images individually for disk position and disk configuration. After the initial interpretation, interobserver agreement was calculated as a kappa index and presented to the examiners. On the same occasion, the investigators analyzed agreement between them on the criteria to be used. RESULTS: Overall data in this study showed an increase in the frequency of interobserver agreement with regard to disk position after the calibration trials were instituted. With regard to disk configuration, substantial interindividual variations were observed even after the observers reached consensus as to the criteria to be used. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that after calibration trials, it is possible for three examiners to obtain reliable and reproducible results in reporting temporomandibular joint disk position on magnetic resonance images.     

Antiarrhythmic drugs in resuscitation

To assess whether the clinical knowledge of the treating surgeon had any effect on the reliability of the pain-drawing evaluation, drawings from 50 low-back pain patients were evaluated by the treating surgeon and by three colleagues who had no clinical knowledge of the patient. The evaluation was repeated after 10 days. The treating surgeons were also blinded to clinical data. The kappa value in the evaluation when the surgeon had clinical knowledge of the patient was lower (0.29 (95% Cl 0.13-0.45)) than the kappa value in the evaluations made without clinical knowledge (0.60 (Cl 0.45-0.75)). The differences observed in interobserver reliability between open and blind evaluations suggest that clinical knowledge of a patient influences the evaluation of the pain drawings.     

Reliability of the Part II board certification examination in psychiatry: examination stability

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to examine the reliability (examination stability) of the American Board of Psychiatry and Neurology (ABPN) Part II (oral) examination in psychiatry. METHOD: The authors analyzed the consistency (agreement between grades given by two independent examiners) for a 1-year examination cycle using a weighted kappa statistic and compared different parts of the examination (live patient and videotape), different examination sites, different days, and different times of the day. RESULTS: There was no significant difference in agreement between examiners by different parts of the examination, examination site, day of the week, or time of day. CONCLUSIONS: The stability of the Part II ABPN examination in psychiatry is not influenced significantly by the format or site of administration. Candidate performance is the predominant factor in the determination of passing or failing grades.     

Accuracy of portable chest radiography in the critical care setting. Diagnosis of pneumonia based on quantitative cultures obtained from protected brush catheter

Sixty-six supine portable chest radiographs done on the day of bronchoscopy in 62 critical care unit patients suspected of having pneumonia were examined in a blinded fashion by two radiologists. Quantitative culture results obtained from protected brush catheter (PBC) specimens were compared with chest radiograph scores. For one observer, the sensitivity of the chest radiograph for predicting the presence of positive culture results was 0.60, specificity was 0.29, overall agreement was 0.41, positive predictive value was 0.34, and negative predictive value was 0.55. For the second observer, the values were as follows: sensitivity, 0.64; specificity, 0.27; overall agreement, 0.41; positive predictive value, 0.35; and negative predictive value, 0.55. The kappa statistic was calculated at 0.27 indicating marginal interobserver reproducibility. We conclude the portable chest radiograph in the critical care setting is not accurate in predicting the presence of pneumonia when the diagnosis is based on quantitative cultures obtained from protected brush catheter specimens.     

Thyroid palpation versus high-resolution thyroid ultrasonography in the detection of nodules

Detection of thyroid nodules by physical examination and high-resolution ultrasonography was compared using small groups of blinded, experienced physician examiners working with a sample of 2441 persons from Estonia, most of whom were Chernobyl nuclear reactor clean-up workers. A random subsample of 113 (5%) persons was subjected to triple control examinations with both physical examination and high-resolution ultrasonography. Positive high-resolution ultrasonographic findings were considerably more reproducible among different observers than were positive physical examination findings. Agreement between methods was poor. Nodules were found in 169 (6.9%) subjects by physical examination and in 249 (10.2%) subjects by high-resolution ultrasonography. Physical examination found only 53 (21%) of the 249 nodules found by high-resolution ultrasonography. High-resolution ultrasonography did not confirm the existence of 115 (68%) of the 169 nodules found by physical examination. Only 6.4% of nodules less than 0.5 cm in diameter, as based on high-resolution ultrasonographic results, were detected by physical examination. Physical examination detection improved with increasing nodule size but was still only 48.2% for nodules larger than 2 cm. Physical examination was relatively effective in detecting nodules in the isthmus of the thyroid gland but much less so for nodules in the upper pole of the gland. Clinical evaluation and epidemiologic studies of nodular thyroid disease stand to benefit from the greater sensitivity and specificity of ultrasonographic examinations.