区域发展规划指标体系建立方法探讨

本文设计出市场经济条件下区域发展规划指标体系的基本框架与内容,探讨了熵技术支持下规划指标体系权系数赋值的层次分析法和专家群民主决策上的定性指标定量转化的赋权方法,以中国西部地区为例建立了规划指标体系支持下区域发展水平的多层次目标模糊综合测度模型,并对区域总体水平进行分析讨论。     

云南省转变工业发展方式的对策研究

在全球气候变暖、资源危机和环境退化等背景之下,低碳经济和绿色经济受到各国广泛关注,世界经济形态和经济增长动力正在发生转向.近些年来,转变经济发展方式和调整经济结构成为我国经济发展的主线,国内区域发展中也出现了一些新因素和新格局.这些变化将引起供需结构、投资结构以及国家产业政策等方面的变化,进而推动产业结构调整和产业发展方式的转变,未来几年是我国加快工业发展方式转变的关键时期.在对云南省工业发展特征和面临矛盾分析的基础上,结合经济发展背景和趋势,充分考虑资源环境基础和未来发展方向,提出云南省工业向绿色、低碳发展方式转变的对策和建议.     

旅游经济在辽宁区域经济差异中的作用

通过选取变异系数、基尼系数、锡尔系数等9种测度区域经济差距的指标,对辽宁区域经济差距和扣除旅游收入后的经济差距进行测量与对比,并以此为基础进一步分析旅游经济对辽宁区域经济差距的作用。结果显示,2007年之前旅游经济对于辽宁区域经济差距起到了扩大作用,而2007年之后旅游经济缩小辽宁区域经济差距的功能逐步增强。旅游经济平衡区域经济差距的作用在辽宁还有很大的空间可以挖掘,未来如果辽宁发展战略得当,旅游将会发挥更大的平衡区域经济差距的作用。     

Spatial differentiation and driving factors of economic resilience in the Yangtze River Economic Belt,China北大核心CSCD

The 2008 global financial crisis had a huge impact on China's real economy, and inspecting the imbalance and differentiation mechanism of the regional economic recovery process after the crisis is conducive to providing a reference for promoting regional high-quality and sustainable development. Based on the multidimensional resilience measurement framework, this study comprehensively investigated the dynamic evolution process of economic resilience in the Yangtze River Economic Belt after the 2008 global financial crisis, and focused on the temporal variation characteristics and spatial differentiation patterns of resistance and resilience. On this basis, the fixed effect panel regression model was used to analyze the role of factors such as industrial development status, regional development foundation, level of opening up, government management level, and innovation environment on economic resilience. The study found that at the overall level, the resistance of the Yangtze River Economic Belt after the impact showed a trend of first rising and then declining and the overall performance was high, but the resilience showed a trend of decline-rise-decline and the overall performance was low. The fluctuations in export resistance and resilience were much greater than the fluctuations in the dimensions of GDP, industry, consumption, and employment. Regression models showed that diversity and related diversity and regional innovation capabilities, although limited in the process of resisting risks in the early stage of the crisis, were conducive to the rapid regional resumption of growth after the crisis, areas with strong government management capabilities may hinder economic recovery to a certain extent, and the ability to open up to the outside world has no significant impact on resistance and resilience. © 2023, Editorial office of PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY. All rights reserved.     

区域发展不平衡研究进展

区域发展不平衡是指区域之间在发展水平、功能和结构上的时空不平衡性.文献综述分析发现:区域发展不平衡的评价指标主要有两类:一类是地区经济增长成果指标,另一类是地区间生活水平指标.这两类指标都局限于收入或GDP等经济指标,这对评价区域发展不平衡是不够的,区域发展不平衡的评价应该落到福祉水平层面.区域发展不平衡是区域发展与时间、空间组成的三位一体,对其研究应从时、空2个维度展开,即将空间维度的静态研究和时间维度的动态研究结合起来.     

县域经济发展时空差异和影响因素的地理探测——以甘肃省为例

县域作为中国经济发展的基本空间单元和产业承接载体,对其经济发展的空间差异及其影响因素的研究对理解区域经济格局及其演变具有重要意义。运用ArcGIS空间分析功能,以NICH指数和人均实际GDP为县域经济发展测度指标,以甘肃省为研究对象,对县域经济发展的空间集聚状态和时空演变进行动态分析,并对经济发展的影响因素进行地理探测。结果表明：2001—2015年,甘肃省县域经济发展活力与发展水平空间格局基本吻合;就经济发展活力而言,其县域与城区发展不平衡,且经济发展活力整体上呈现下降态势,县域经济逆势提升具有很大挑战;经济发展活力冷热点区保持相对稳定,重心向西北倾斜的“哑铃状”空间格局不断强化,热点区呈现明显的“点-轴”发展格局;甘肃省县域经济空间差异主导因子包括工业化水平、经济基础、市场规模,各影响因素之间具有明显的交互作用,增强了单一因子的贡献量;县域经济发展的主导影响因素存在明显的地域差异性,对不同分区主导因子驱动机制的分析,可以为科学制定四大分区县域经济发展定位及地区协调统筹发展提供参考。     

辽宁沿海经济带经济与环境协调发展度的时空演变

经济与环境协调发展度是衡量一个地区可持续发展能力的重要定量指标。本文构建了辽宁沿海经济带经济与环境协调发展度评价指标体系,运用协调发展度模型对研究区域2000～2009年的协调发展度进行计算及时空演变分析。研究发现:在时间演变方面,辽宁沿海经济带经济与环境区域综合协调度呈“V”型发展趋势,区域综合协调发展度呈稳步上升趋势,且各城市协调发展度所属类型层次较高,整体上达到中级协调发展类水平;在空间演变方面,辽宁沿海经济带六大城市大致可分为三大类型,且东部、南部城市较西部、北部城市发展更为协调,但各城市空间差异逐步缩小。本研究还分别从宏观政策调控、产业结构升级、区域布局优化及环保门槛提高等方面,分析了辽宁沿海经济带经济与环境协调发展度时空演变机理,指出辽宁沿海经济带在上述因素的驱动下,经济综合发展水平和环境综合承载能力均有所提高,但由于产业同构、海岸带生态脆弱等现象的存在,转变经济增长方式,推动区域经济与环境协调发展仍然是未来发展的主要任务。     

中国城市群的竞争力及对区域差异的影响

城市群已成为中国推进新型城镇化的主体形态,但各城市群的发展水平和在区域经济发展中的地位不同。本文引入竞争力这一概念,通过对城市群竞争力概念、内涵和评价方法的回顾,从经济竞争力、人力资源竞争力、基础设施竞争力、国际化竞争力和科技竞争力五个方面构建中国城市群竞争力评价指标体系。研究结果发现中国城市群的竞争力存在着发展水平差异和区域差异。按照综合竞争力和五项一级指标竞争力评价,13个城市群的发展水平可以分为四个层次：第一层次包括长三角、京津唐和珠三角三大城市群,是中国的经济中心和参与国际竞争合作的重要平台;第二层次包括成渝、山东半岛、辽中南、武汉等四个城市群,它们在部分方面的竞争力体现出了一定的优势和潜力,是区域经济的增长极。第三、第四层次城市群的竞争力较为薄弱。本文进一步提出城市群核心竞争力的概念,科创能力、国际化水平、资本集聚度是构成城市群核心竞争力的三大要素,城市群核心竞争力的差异在很大程度上造成了中国三大地带之间的发展差异,且由于先进生产要素分布的高度不均衡,中国区域发展差异的现象还将长期存在。     

中国海洋经济转型成效时空格局演变研究

基于海洋经济转型的内涵,构建包括6个分维度在内的中国海洋经济转型成效测度指标体系,利用粗糙集和灰理论组合赋权综合评价法,对2001-2011年中国海洋经济转型成效进行测度研究,并利用核密度估计及GIS空间分析技术对结果进行时空格局演变分析,结论如下：① 从全国层面来看,2001-2010年中国海洋经济转型整体集中在中低值区域,2010年以来,各区域转型均取得明显成效,海洋经济转型差距逐渐缩小,但整体差距仍然存在。② 从6 个分维度层面来看,海洋经济发展度稳步提高,但空间格局没有显著变化;海洋经济转型度、发展条件支撑度、资源集约利用度、生态环境响应度在空间上呈正向变化趋势,转型成效较为明显;海洋产业就业度呈反向变化趋势,说明转型对海洋产业就业存在挤出效应,对海洋产业就业产生重要影响。③ 中国海洋经济转型的时空格局演变是多种因素综合作用的结果,主要包括资源禀赋、区位条件、产业基础及腹地经济差异等。未来影响各省份海洋经济转型的主要因素包括国家政策、科技水平、海洋管理体制等。     

Development characteristics and construction prospects for a multi-integrated economic zone in the South China Sea Region

The Belt and Road Initiative(BRI)instigated by China is catalyzing the evolution of a new global economic landscape.To cope with the great changes in the economic landscape,China needs to view the South China Sea Region(SCSR)as a strategic focus and study carefully the characteristics of regional development and explore the possibility for construc-tion of a strategic multi-integrated economic zone which includes China and ASEAN countries.Based on key indicators,this paper outlines the overall development characteristics of the SCSR and analyzes the regional structural characteristics of industry and global trade based on the indexes of industrial structure similarity and trade commodity structure coincidence;the paper also depicts the spatial characteristics of the nine core growth areas(CGAs)in the region and discusses the construction prospects for a multi-integrated economic zone in the SCSR.The results show that,first,from 2000 to 2017,the main economic indicators of the SCSR grew quite well,and the development trend was much better than the global average for the same period.Second,driven by the global industrial transfer stages and spatial paths,the level of comprehensive development in the SCSR has evolved into four categories.Third,the index values for industrial structure similarity and trade commodity structure coincidence for the 11 countries in the SCSR have remained at a high level,and reveal an integration trend not only from the horizontal and vertical perspective,but also from an upgrading and downgrading standpoint.Fourth,nine CGAs have been established in the SCSR and the advantaged industries and the export commodity types between different countries exhibited the characteristics of convergence and complementarity due to the polarization and diffusion effects of the CGAs.Finally,from a long-term perspective,the SCSR has already acquired the internal and external conditions such as the 5th global industrial transfer initiative,the reconstruction of the global value chain,regional production-consumption networks and spa-tial entities for building a multi-integrated economic zone in the SCSR.     

长江三角洲人口与经济的非均衡格局及其影响因素研究

人口与经济分布格局是反映区域差异的重要指标。结合不一致指数、重心方法及不均衡指数等对长江三角洲人口与经济的非均衡格局演变进行研究,并基于2000~2015年的面板数据回归对其影响因素进行实证研究。研究发现,长江三角洲人口与经济非均衡格局呈现相对稳定状况,但随着区域发展格局转变带来的人口与经济分布格局的差异化演变,区域人口与经济的整体非均衡性有所弱化。对人口与经济非均衡格局影响因素分析表明,不同时期人口与经济不一致指数影响因素存在差异,在始终受城市发展差异影响的同时也伴随着市场力量的趋强和政府影响的弱化。     

京津冀区域趋同的实证分析

根据区域趋同基本理论,采用新古典方法,运用Barro和Sala—I—Martin趋同模型分析京津冀区域经济增长情况,进行了α趋同和β趋同检验,研究结果表明,第三产业的发展差距以及北京、天津显著的综合区位优势是造成京津冀区域趋异的主要原因。     

航空客运业与区域经济互动的时空维度 ——以长三角地区为例

以长三角地区为例,使用GW相关分析、EOF分析和空间相关性分析方法,基于2005-2018年的航空客运业和经济发展统计数据,对区域内航空客运业与经济发展两者之间互动状况的时空维度进行研究.结果发现:长三角地区航空客运业与区域经济之间互动关联呈现逆"核心—外围"的圈层分布特征.受上海"虹吸效应"影响,位于长三角核心圈层的...     

Mega-towns in China: Their spatial distribution features and growth mechanisms

As a special outcome of urbanization, mega-towns not only play an important role in the process of socio-economic development, but also are important contributors to urbanization. Based on a spatial database of mega-towns in China, this paper explores the spatial distribution features and growth mechanisms of China's 238 mega-towns using the nearest neighbour distance method, kernel density estimation, regression analysis, global autocorrelation, local autocorrelation and other spatial analysis methods. Results of spatial distribution features show that:(1) on the national scale, the existing 238 mega-towns mainly gathered in the southeast coastal areas of China; they formed two spatial core agglomerations, several secondary ones and a southeast coastal agglomeration belt;(2) on the regional scale, each economic region's index was less than 1, indicating that mega-towns in each region tended to be spatially agglomerated due to the close relationship with regional development level and their number;(3) on the provincial scale, 68% of provincial-level units in China tended to be a spatial agglomeration of mega-towns; only one province had a random distribution; the number of mega-towns in those evenly-distributed provinces was generally small. The growth of mega-towns was determined by a combination of various natural and humanistic factors, including topography, location, economy, population, traffic, and national policy. This paper chose digital elevation model(DEM), location advantage, economic density, population density, and highway density distribution as corresponding indicators as quantitative factors. By combining their local autocorrelation analysis, these factors all showed certain influence on the spatial growth of mega-towns and together scheduled it. In the future, provinces and cities should make full use of the mega-town functions to promote their socioeconomic development, especially the central and western regions in China.     

China＇s economic development stage and its spatiotemporal evolution： A prefectural-level analysis

As important mechanisms of regional strategy and policy,prefecture-level regions have played an increasingly significant role in the development of China’s economy.However,little research has grasped the essence of the economic development stage and the spatio-temporal evolution process at the prefecture level;this may lead to biased policies and their ineffective implementations.Based on Chenery’s economic development theory,this paper identifies China’s economic development stages at both national and prefectural levels.Both the Global Moran I index and the Getis-Ord Gi* index are employed to investigate the spatio-temporal evolution of China’s economic development from 1990 to 2010.Major conclusions can be drawn as follows.(1) China’s economic development is generally in the state of agglomeration.It entered the Primary Production Stage in 1990,and the Middle Industrialized Stage in 2010,with a ’balanced-unbalanced-gradually rebalanced’ pattern in the process.(2) China’s rapid economic growth experienced a spatial shift from the coastal areas to the the inland areas.Most advanced cities in mid-western China can be roughly categorized into regional hub cities and resource-dependent cities.(3) Hot spots in China’s economy moved northward and westward.The interactions between cities and prefectures became weaker in Eastern China,while cities and prefectures in Central and Western China were still at the stage of individual development,with limited effect on the surrounding cities.(4) While the overall growth rate of China’s economy has gradually slowed down during the past two decades,the growth rate of cities and prefectures in Central and Western China was much faster than those in coastal areas.(5) Areas rich in resources,such as Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia,have become the new hot spots of economic growth in recent years.For these regions,however,more attention needs to be paid to their unbalanced industrial structures and the lagging social development against the backdrop of the rapid economic growth,driven predominantly by the exploitation of resources.     

Contrastive Study of the Circular Economy of Coal Resource City Based on Ecological Efficiency and C Model

Being a developing country, the evaluation of Chinese circular economy should have its particular criterion that suits for specific national conditions. With the growth of economy, Chinese environmental loads should be permitted to increase at an appropriate speed. Based on this concept, this paper divides the process of evaluation into two parts which include evaluation of development level and evaluation of development performance. Firstly, this paper sets up a reference system which includes Zaozhuang City of Shandong Province, Jiaozuo City of Henan province, Shizuishan City of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region and China that is regarded as a region respectively, analyzes the development level of circular economy of coal resource cities based on the evaluation indicator of ecological efficiency, and puts forward the future direction of circular economy of coal resource cities. Secondly, based on C Model of Circular Economy, this paper constructs the measurement model of development performance in which study regions are analyzed in a particular period that is from 2000 to 2020, and evaluates the development performance of circular economy for study regions according to the relationship of growth multiples between economic scale and environmental loads. We can draw several main conclusions: firstly, the development pathways of all four study regions belong to type Ⅱ which resource efficiency is preferred. Secondly, the comprehensive energy consumption efficiencies of coal resource cities were left far behind by China’s average level. Thirdly, the circular economies of all study regions have achieved remarkable progress. Fourthly, the development level of circular economy can be evaluated from two dimensions which consist of horizontal comparison method and vertical comparison method. Fifthly, C model is an appropriate development model that suits for Chinese national conditions and could be selected as an important method to evaluate regional development performance of circular economy.     

江西省人口与经济发展时空耦合研究

以区域人口与经济发展的相互作用关系为主线,以江西省91个县（市、区）为研究对象,运用灰色关联法（GRA）,选取人口系统6个指标和经济系统5个指标,构建江西省人口与经济耦合关联模型,定量评判人口系统与经济系统交互作用的关联耦合程度,并将经济增长阶段理论及区域产业结构演进理论与耦合度相联系,分析人口与经济发展的耦合特征。研究结果表明：江西省各县（市、区）可以划分为低水平耦合区、拮抗型耦合区、磨合型耦合区和协调型耦合区等4种类型。全省人口与经济耦合度空间分布以低水平耦合类型为主,拮抗类型为辅。耦合度分布基本上符合南、北空间分异的规律,空间分布呈现“+”字型,以浙赣线为横轴,昌九线为纵轴,交汇于南昌市。在时间序列上,江西省人口与经济耦合发展表现出明显的波动性和阶段性,逐渐由低水平时期向拮抗阶段过渡。     

中国企业本土并购双方的地理格局及其空间关联研究

借鉴已有理论与实证研究成果,综合运用GIS空间分析与计量模型等方法,重点分析省区空间尺度上中国本土并购双方企业的地理格局,从企业地域“根植性”视角探讨并购双方区位选择与空间关联的影响因素。研究结果表明：① 买方和标的企业在空间上呈现共同集聚特征,总体形成了与中国沿江沿海“T”形区域发展格局、“核心-边缘”城镇等级体系相似的地理格局;② 并购双方企业主要集聚于经济发达区域,虽然2010年代以来中西部省区企业参与并购投资事件有所增长,但省区间差异逐渐固化,北京、长三角、珠三角等大都市地区更多以买方角色主导企业跨区域并购,而中西部及资源型区域企业则多以并购标的角色为主;③ 企业并购投资行为根植于地方经济社会和制度环境,买方和标的企业的区位选择机制较为相似,并购双方更偏好集聚于证劵和金融市场繁荣、区域创新系统完善、经济和产业基础雄厚的区域。     

经济地理学视角下创新网络与区域增长研究述评

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河南省二重开放的测度与比较

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