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1.

Objective

To develop and validate a risk prediction model that would help individualize treatment and improve the shared decision-making process between clinicians and patients.

Patients and Methods

We developed a risk prediction tool for mortality during the first year of dialysis based on pre–end-stage renal disease characteristics in a cohort of 35,878 US veterans with incident end-stage renal disease who transitioned to dialysis treatment between October 1, 2007, and March 31, 2014 and then externally validated this tool among 4284 patients in the Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC) health care system who transitioned to dialysis treatment between January 1, 2007, and September 30, 2015.

Results

To ensure model goodness of fit, 2 separate models were selected for patients whose last estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) before dialysis initiation was less than 15 mL/min per 1.73 m2 or 15 mL/min per 1.73 m2 or higher. Model discrimination in the internal validation cohort of veterans resulted in C statistics of 0.71 (95% CI, 0.70-0.72) and 0.66 (95% CI, 0.65-0.67) among patients with eGFR lower than 15 mL/min per 1.73 m2 and 15 mL/min per 1.73 m2 or higher, respectively. In the KPSC external validation cohort, the developed risk score exhibited C statistics of 0.77 (95% CI, 0.74-0.79) in men and 0.74 (95% CI, 0.71-0.76) in women with eGFR lower than 15 mL/min per 1.73 m2 and 0.71 (95% CI, 0.67-0.74) in men and 0.67 (95% CI, 0.62-0.72) in women with eGFR of 15 mL/min per 1.73 m2 or higher.

Conclusion

A new risk prediction tool for mortality during the first year after transition to dialysis (available at www.DialysisScore.com) was developed in the large national Veterans Affairs cohort and validated with good performance in the racially, ethnically, and gender diverse KPSC cohort. This risk prediction tool will help identify high-risk populations and guide management strategies at the transition to dialysis.  相似文献   

2.

Objective

To examine whether chronic insomnia is associated with an increased risk of adverse renal outcomes and all-cause mortality.

Patients and Methods

We examined associations of chronic insomnia (defined as the presence of both International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision codes 307.42, 307.49, and 780.52 and long-term use of insomnia medications) with adverse renal outcomes (end-stage renal disease, incidence of estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] ≤45 mL/min per 1.73 m2, and eGFR slopes <?3.0 mL/min per 1.73 m2 per year) and all-cause mortality in a national cohort of 1,639,090 US veterans by using Cox proportional hazards and logistic regression models with multivariable adjustments.

Results

A total of 36,741 patients (2.24%) had chronic insomnia; 32,985 (89.8%) were male and 28,090 (76.5%) were white, with a mean baseline eGFR of 84.1±16.4 mL/min per 1.73 m2. Chronic insomnia was associated with a significantly higher risk of eGFR 45 mL/min per 1.73 m2 or less (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.39; 95% CI, 1.34-1.44; P<.001), and rapid loss of kidney function (odds ratio, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.03-1.12; P=.002), but not end-stage renal disease (HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 0.81-1.93; P=.32). Chronic insomnia was not associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.97-1.03; P=.99).

Conclusion

Chronic insomnia is associated with a higher risk of development and progression of chronic kidney disease, but not ESRD. Further studies are needed to establish the underlying mechanisms of action and to determine whether treatment of insomnia could be beneficial to prevent deteriorating kidney function.  相似文献   

3.

Objective

Given that patients with non–dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (NDD-CKD) have a disproportionately higher prevalence of hypothyroidism compared with their non-CKD counterparts, we sought to determine the association between thyroid status, defined by serum thyrotropin (TSH) levels, and mortality among a national cohort of patients with NDD-CKD.

Patients and Methods

Among 227,422 US veterans with stage 3 NDD-CKD with 1 or more TSH measurements during the period October 1, 2004, to September 30, 2012, we first examined the association of thyroid status, defined by TSH categories of less than 0.5, 0.5 to 5.0 (euthyroidism), and more than 5.0 mIU/L, with all-cause mortality. We then evaluated 6 granular TSH categories: less than 0.1, 0.1 to less than 0.5, 0.5 to less than 3.0, 3.0 to 5.0, more than 5.0 to 10.0, and more than 10.0 mIU/L. We concurrently examined thyroid status, thyroid-modulating therapy, and mortality in sensitivity analyses.

Results

In expanded case-mix adjusted Cox analyses, compared with euthyroidism, baseline and time-dependent TSH levels of more than 5.0 mIU/L were associated with higher mortality (adjusted hazard ratios [aHRs] [95% CI], 1.19 [1.15-1.24] and 1.23 [1.19-1.28], respectively), as were baseline and time-dependent TSH levels of less than 0.5 mIU/L (aHRs [95% CI], 1.18 [1.15-1.22] and 1.41 [1.37-1.45], respectively). Granular examination of thyroid status showed that incrementally higher TSH levels of 3.0 mIU/L or more were associated with increasingly higher mortality in baseline and time-dependent analyses, and TSH categories of less than 0.5 mIU/L were associated with higher mortality (reference, 0.5-<3.0 mIU/L) in baseline analyses. In time-dependent analyses, untreated and undertreated hypothyroidism and untreated hyperthyroidism were associated with higher mortality (reference, spontaneous euthyroidism), whereas hypothyroidism treated-to-target showed lower mortality.

Conclusion

Among US veterans with NDD-CKD, high-normal TSH (≥3.0 mIU/L) and lower TSH (<0.5 mIU/L) levels were associated with higher death risk. Interventional studies identifying the target TSH range associated with the greatest survival in patients with NDD-CKD are warranted.  相似文献   

4.

Objective

To focus on the potential beneficial effects of the pleiotropic effects of dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4is) on attenuating progression of diabetic kidney disease in reducing the long-term effect of the acute kidney injury (AKI) to chronic kidney disease (CKD) transition.

Patients and Methods

Data from the National Health Insurance Research Database from January 1, 1999, to July 31, 2011, were analyzed, and patients with diabetes weaning from dialysis-requiring AKI were identified. Cox proportional hazards models and inverse-weighted estimates of the probability of treatment were used to adjust for treatment selection bias. The outcomes were incident end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events, and hospitalized heart failure.

Results

Of a total of 6165 patients with diabetes weaning from dialysis-requiring AKI identified, 5635 (91.4%) patients were DPP4i nonusers and 530 (8.6%) patients were DPP4i users. Compared with DPP4i nonusers, DPP4i users had a lower risk of ESRD (hazard ratio, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.70-0.94; P=.04) and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 0.28; 95% CI, 0.23-0.34; P<.001) after adjustments for CKD, advanced CKD, and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin II receptor blocker use. In contrast, the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events and hospitalized heart failure did not differ significantly between groups.

Conclusion

Dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor users had a lower risk of ESRD and mortality than did nonusers among patients with diabetes after weaning from dialysis-requiring AKI. Therefore, a prospective study of AKI to CKD transitions after episodes of AKI is needed to optimally target DPP4i interventions.  相似文献   

5.

Objective

To investigate the association between statin use and mortality in patients with dialysis-requiring acute kidney injury (AKI-D).

Patients and Methods

This nationwide, population-based, retrospective cohort study included 6091 hospitalized patients with AKI-D (1271 statin users and 4820 statin nonusers) retrieved from the National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2012. All the patients were followed up until December 31, 2013. Primary and secondary outcomes were 1-year and in-hospital mortality, respectively. All the primary analyses were performed using the intention-to-treat approach.

Results

During 1-year follow-up, 492 of 1271 statin users (38.7%) and 2365 of 4820 statin nonusers (49.1%) died. After propensity score matching, statin use was independently associated with lower risks of 1-year all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.79; 95% CI, 0.69-0.9; P<.001) and in-hospital all-cause mortality (HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.71-0.99; P=.04). The survival benefit of statin treatment was dose-dependent and consistent across subgroups based on sensitivity analyses.

Conclusion

Statin use was independently associated with reduced risks of 1-year and in-hospital mortality in patients with AKI-D. Statin therapy may be beneficial in this patient group. However, further clinical trials should be performed to confirm the findings.  相似文献   

6.

Objective

To clarify the associations between polyclonal serum free light chain (sFLC) levels and adverse outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) by conducting a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analyses.

Patients and Methods

On December 28, 2016, we searched 4 databases (MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, and PubMed) and conference proceedings for studies presenting independent analyses of associations between sFLC levels and mortality or progression to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in patients with CKD. Study quality was assessed in 5 domains: sample selection, measurement, attrition, reporting, and funding.

Results

Five prospective cohort studies were included, judged moderate to good quality, involving 3912 participants in total. In multivariable meta-analyses, sFLC (kappa+lambda) levels were independently associated with mortality (5 studies, 3680 participants; hazard ratio [HR], 1.04 [95% CI, 1.03-1.06] per 10 mg/L increase in sFLC levels) and progression to ESRD (3 studies, 1848 participants; HR, 1.01 [95% CI, 1.00-1.03] per 10 mg/L increase in sFLC levels). The sFLC values above the upper limit of normal (43.3 mg/L) were independently associated with mortality (HR, 1.45 [95% CI, 1.14-1.85]) and ESRD (HR, 3.25 [95% CI, 1.32-7.99]).

Conclusion

Higher levels of sFLCs are independently associated with higher risk of mortality and ESRD in patients with CKD. Future work is needed to explore the biological role of sFLCs in adverse outcomes in CKD, and their use in risk stratification.  相似文献   

7.
8.
ObjectiveTo determine whether elevated serum polyclonal free light chain (FLC) levels predict mortality in a population of individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD).Patients and MethodsFrom January 2, 2006, through July 31, 2007, we recruited a cohort of 848 people with CKD who were not receiving renal replacement therapy and did not have monoclonal gammopathy. We measured serum kappa FLC and lambda FLC isotype levels to determine combined FLC (cFLC) levels. The cohort was prospectively followed up for a median of 63 months (interquartile range, 0-93 months). Cox regression analysis was performed to determine variables predictive of mortality.ResultsHigh cFLC levels were an independent risk factor for death (hazard ratio [HR], 2.71; 95% CI, 1.98-3.70; P<.001). Other independent risk factors were age (HR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.52-2.10; P<.001), South Asian ethnicity (HR, 0.33; 95% CI, 0.14-0.64; P=.02), preexisting cardiovascular disease (HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.09-2.31; P=.02), and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.00-1.28; P=.04). Neither estimated glomerular filtration rate nor albuminuria was an independent risk factor for death.ConclusionHigh cFLC levels independently predict mortality in people with CKD.  相似文献   

9.

Purpose

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common occurrence after lung transplantation (LTx). Whether transient AKI or early recovery is associated with improved outcome is uncertain. Our aim was to describe the incidence, factors, and outcomes associated with transient AKI after LTx.

Materials and Methods

We performed a retrospective cohort study of all adult recipients of LTx at the University of Alberta between 1990 and 2011. Our primary outcome transient AKI was defined as return of serum creatinine below Kidney Disease–Improving Global Outcome AKI stage I within 7 days after LTx. Secondary outcomes included occurrence of postoperative complications, mortality, and long-term kidney function.

Results

Of 445 LTx patients enrolled, AKI occurred in 306 (68.8%) within the first week after LTx. Of these, transient AKI (or early recovery) occurred in 157 (51.3%). Transient AKI was associated with fewer complications including tracheostomy (17.2% vs 38.3%; P < .001), reintubation (16.4% vs 41.9%; P < .001), decreased duration of mechanical ventilation (median [interquartile range], 69 [41-142] vs 189 [63-403] hours; P < .001), and lower rates of chronic kidney disease at 3 months (28.5% vs 51.1%, P < .001) and 1 year (49.6% vs 66.7%, P = .01) compared with persistent AKI. Factors independently associated with persistent AKI were higher body mass index (per unit; odds ratio [OR], 0.91; 95% confidence interval, 0.85-0.98; P = .01), cyclosporine use (OR, 0.29; 0.12-0.67; P = .01), longer duration of mechanical ventilation (per hour [log transformed]; OR, 0.42; 0.21-0.81; P = .01), and AKI stages II to III (OR, 0.16; 0.08-0.29; P < .001). Persistent AKI was associated with higher adjusted hazard of death (hazard ratio, 1.77 [1.08-2.93]; P = .02) when compared with transient AKI (1.44 [0.93-2.19], P = .09) and no AKI (reference category), respectively.

Conclusions

Transient AKI after LTx is associated with fewer complications and improved survival. Among survivors, persistent AKI portends an increased risk for long-term chronic kidney disease.  相似文献   

10.
ObjectiveTo examine the frequency and outcomes of patients requiring renal replacement therapy (RRT) early after left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation.Patients and MethodsWe examined use of in-hospital RRT and outcomes in consecutive adults who underwent continuous-flow LVAD implantation from February 15, 2007, through August 8, 2017. Logistic regression was used to examine predictors of RRT. The associations of RRT with outcomes were examined using Cox proportional hazards regression.ResultsOf 354 patients who underwent LVAD implantation, 54 (15%) required in-hospital RRT. Patients receiving RRT had higher preoperative Charlson Comorbidity Index values (median, 5 vs 4; P=.03), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores (mean, 19.0 vs 14.5; P<.001), right atrial pressure (mean, 19.1 vs 13.4 mm Hg; P<.001), and estimated 24-hour urine protein levels (median, 357 vs 174 mg; P<.001) and lower preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (median, 43 vs 57 mL/min; P<.001) and measured GFR using 125I-iothalamate clearance (median, 33 vs 51 mL/min; P=.001) than those who did not require RRT. Approximately 40% of patients with eGFR less than 45 mL/min/1.73 m2 and 24-hour urine protein level greater than 400 mg required RRT vs 6% with eGFR greater than45 mL/min/1.73 m2 and without significant proteinuria. Lower preoperative eGFR, higher estimated 24-hour urine protein level, higher right atrial pressure, and longer cardiopulmonary bypass time were independent predictors of RRT after LVAD implantation. Of patients requiring in-hospital RRT, 18 (33%) had renal recovery, 18 (33%) required outpatient hemodialysis, and 18 (33%) died before hospital discharge. After median (Q1, Q3) follow-up of 24.3 (8.9, 49.6) months, RRT was associated with increased risk of death (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 2.86; 95% CI, 1.90-4.33; P<.001) and gastrointestinal bleeding (adjusted HR, 4.47; 95% CI, 2.57-7.75; P<.001).ConclusionIn-hospital RRT is associated with poor prognosis after LVAD. A detailed preoperative assessment of renal function before LVAD may be helpful in risk stratification and patient selection.  相似文献   

11.
ObjectivesTo examine the effect of skilled nursing facility (SNF) use on hospitalizations in patients with heart failure (HF) and to examine predictors of hospitalization in patients with HF admitted to a SNF.Patients and MethodsOlmsted County, Minnesota, residents with first-ever HF from January 1, 2000, through December 31, 2010, were identified, and clinical data were linked to SNF utilization data from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. Andersen-Gill models were used to determine the association between SNF use and hospitalizations and to determine predictors of hospitalization.ResultsOf 1498 patients with incident HF (mean ± SD age, 75±14 years; 45% male), 605 (40.4%) were admitted to a SNF after HF diagnosis (median follow-up, 3.6 years; range, 0-13.0 years). Of those with a SNF admission, 225 (37%) had 2 or more admissions. After adjustment for age, sex, ejection fraction, and comorbidities, SNF use was associated with a 50% increased risk of hospitalization compared with no SNF use (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.31-1.76). In SNF users, arrhythmia, asthma, chronic kidney disease, and the number of activities of daily living requiring assistance were independently associated with an increased risk of hospitalization.ConclusionApproximately 40% of patients with HF were admitted to a SNF at some point after diagnosis. Compared with SNF nonusers, SNF users were more likely to be hospitalized. Characteristics associated with hospitalization in SNF users were mostly noncardiovascular, including reduced ability to perform activities of daily living. These findings underscore the effect of physical functioning on hospitalizations in patients with HF in SNFs and the importance of strategies to improve physical functioning.  相似文献   

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