构造与气候共同作用下天山北麓中更新世以来构造地貌演化过程

强烈的缩短构造变形使天山北麓地壳掀斜抬升,大规模的洪积砾石层和黄土堆积增加了地表高程,干旱化条件下局限在狭谷河道的下切使山麓地表总体保持稳定,在不同时间尺度上的构造变形与气候变化的共同作用下,天山得以向北扩展,继续着造山过程。     

北天山中东段活动断层滑动与现代构造应力场

利用北天山中段地区主要活动断裂关键构造部位测得的断层滑动数据,采用断层滑动资料反演构造应力张量的方法,确定了该区现代(最新构造变动时期)构造应力场的基本特征,结果是:应力方向表现为近南北向的挤压;应力结构以逆冲型为主,兼有走滑型。该结果与前人利用震源机制解资料反演得到的区域构造应力场的基本特征一致。两类不同应力资料反演得到的构造应力场特征具有较好的一致性,表明在一个较长的地质时期内研究区的构造应力作用比较稳定。     

天山南北前陆盆地新生代变形与天山造山带的波动耦合

天山南北前陆盆地变形及与天山构造变动的关系一直备受关注.通过地震资料解释和地面地质调查,对它们的构造特点、构造样式、变形主控因素、变形时间和关系等进行了对比研究.两个前陆盆地新生代变形都表现出南北分带、东西分段和上下分层的特点.变形样式以压性为特点,既有基底卷入式变形,也有盖层滑脱式变形.这种变形的复杂性与软性地层的存在有密切关系.从变形时间上看,新生代两个盆地都经历了多期变形,且变形表现为从天山造山带向盆地内部逐渐变新.天山南北前陆盆地的变形动力学可用造山楔动力学模型代表,但其构造又明显表现出波的特点,据此提出了波动造山楔的概念,建立了天山两侧双波动楔模型.     

北天山中段近期重力场变化特征研究

利用北天山中段最新的流动重力观测数据,通过整理计算平差,绘制该地区半年和一年尺度的重力场变化图像;选取横跨北天山中段乌鲁木齐、独山子两条测线,并分别绘制其重力剖面变化图;结合北天山中段地区动力构造环境,剖析该地区重力变化特征及其与地震孕育之间的关系。分析表明:北天山中段地区重力异常变化值不大,重力变化等值线图和剖面变化图均能较好地反映重力场随时空变化特征;北天山中段动态重力变化特征基本反映了该地区动力构造运动的外部环境;研究区域内的重力场空间格局分布特征较清晰,其重力变化具有明显的分区特征,山体和盆地之间的重力变化具有显著差异,山体与盆地边缘正负重力变化交替出现,且变化相对较平稳。     

根据GPS数据的北天山现代构造活动概率区研究

根据GPS数据的现代运动场研究了北天山的现代形变过程。在这一地区,速率分量和某些类型形变速率场的不均性都表现出与现代构造活动区密切相关。以场的水平梯度极值区图为基础划分构造活动区段,查明强震震中区就位于这些活动区。当取得活动区状态的GPS数据时,区域地壳动力学状态监测是最有效的。     

北天山乌鲁木齐转换区构造系晚第四纪活动性

乌鲁木齐一带是北天山山前构造系东西向发生转换的地区。区内构造地表活动变形特征复杂,既有正向又有反向、既有逆断又有正断和走滑。论文工作试图尽量降低研究中的不确定性,以求对这些构造的晚第四纪活动性、构造之间的关系及其变形机制有所新的认知。     

北天山强震的灰色预测

利用灰色系统理论中的GM(1,1)灾变预测模型,建立了北天山地震带强震(M≥6.5)的预测模型。模型得出该区下次发生强震的时间为1993年前后。     

浅析北天山西段与南天山中东段地震活动关系

对比分析了北天山西段与南天山中东段的地震活动关系,发现1935年以来两区地震活动水平相近,中强以上地震具有交替活动的特征,且有一定的成组性南北迁移的规律。时空扫描分析发现,北天山西段新源—温泉附近地区的中小地震集中活动对南天山东段中强地震的发生具有一定的前兆意义,南天山东段的4级地震频度的减小与北天山西段5级以上地震有一定的对应关系。并在一定程度上对两区域地震活动存在的以上规律和对应关系进行了分析。     

基于GPS观测的北天山主要断裂现今构造运动特征研究

借助分布在北天山地区最新GPS点位的运动观测资料, 利用GAMIT/GLOBK数据处理软件获取了北天山地区现今地壳的运动位移场． 以该位移场为基础, 利用弹性半空间位错理论, 估算了研究区内博罗科努—阿其克库杜克断裂和准噶尔盆地南缘断裂两条具有代表性的主要断裂的现今活动速率． 结果表明: 博罗科努—阿其克库杜克右旋走滑断裂东、 西两段滑移速率的差异性不明显, 1944年3月10日乌苏南M_S7.2强震发生后, 该断层现今表现为震后微蠕滑运动, 东、 西两段滑动速率均在1—2 mm/a之间; 准噶尔盆地南缘断裂现今滑动速率为(5.6±1.0) mm/a．      

天山中部的地震定位和地壳活动性分析

利用宽频带流动台网记录的地震P波和S波到时,根据一维和三维地壳速度模型,对天山中部及其邻近地区1997～1998年的地震进行了重新定位,以重新确定的震源参数为依据分析了地壳的活动性.震源分布表明,造山带边缘和内部的大部分断裂都显示出活动的迹象,它们对天山的地壳构造变动起到明显的作用;塔拉斯－费尔干纳断裂的活动具有分段特征：其东南段以及西南天山的部分断裂目前活动比较弱,西北段受周边断裂的影响活动较强;另外造山带边缘的构造活动有向山前盆地渗透（Penetration）的趋势.30～40km深度的地震活动表明,天山中部的地壳中下层仍然具有一定的破裂条件,它们与壳幔边界附近热扰动的驱动有关,暗示小尺度地幔对流或软流层上涌等动力作用仍在持续进行.     

2016年M6.2呼图壁地震发震构造及其对天山构造带隆升的启示:来自中近场钻孔应变观测的证据

天山山脉在新生代经历了强烈的构造隆升和地壳缩短作用,其周缘发生的地震活动是了解这一构造模式的窗口.对2016年呼图壁地震的发震构造有两种解读：向南倾斜的低角度逆断层和向北倾斜的高角度逆断层.中近场四台钻孔应变仪记录到了本次地震的同震响应,本文采用均质模型对IGP-CEA和USGS震源机制解进行模拟,结果显示发震断层为向北陡倾的反冲断层,15个原始方位和8个N-S、E-W方位观测值全部与预测值一致.对比天山北缘常见的低角度逆冲断层,反冲断层对构造隆升的贡献更有效,以断层倾角70°和19°计算,二者对隆升和缩短贡献比例分别为2.89：1和1：2.76.这一结果表明天山构造带内部的反冲构造同样具有单独发震的可能性,它们对天山现今的隆升高度同样起着不可忽视的作用.

     

中天山和塔里木盆地下方地幔转换带顶部P波速度结构探测

本文基于中国数字地震台网记录到的2016年1月12日发生于兴都库什-帕米尔地区的中源地震P波宽频带波形资料,利用P波三重震相方法研究了中天山和塔里木盆地北部410 km间断面起伏形态及间断面附近P波速度结构.通过波形拟合,我们发现中天山和塔里木盆地北部410 km间断面下沉约10 km;410 km间断面上方存在由塔里木盆地向中天山P波速度异常逐渐减小的约70 km厚的低速层（-3%~-1%）.该低速层可能是地幔转换区物质上涌并部分脱水熔融及热效应共同作用的结果.另外我们发现中天山东北部约10~100 km深度范围内存在局部低速异常（约-6%）,其很可能是上涌的软流圈物质.

     

Constraining the crustal structure under the central and western Tian Shan based on teleseismic receiver functions and gravity anomalies

The Tian Shan is a vast range that spans several countries in Asia. Understanding its evolutionary history may provide valuable insights into intracontinental orogenic dynamics. In this study, we explored the crustal characteristics of the Tian Shan and their relationships to the tectonic evolution of the region. A new H-stacking method that combines the P receiver function and gravity anomalies was used to estimate the thickness and ratio of P- to S-wave velocities (v_P/v_S) for 91 broadband seismic stations in the central and western Tian Shan. Our results revealed significant lateral variations in crustal thickness and v_P/v_S. A ~45-km-thick crust and an intermediate-high v_P/v_S (~1.74–1.84) were found in the Kazakh Shield and Tarim Basin, which we interpreted to indicate a mafic crystalline basement and lower crust. The central Tian Shan varied greatly in crustal thickness (40–64 km) and v_P/v_S ratio (1.65–2.00), which may be due to crustal shortening, mafic underplating, and crustal melting. In contrast, we observed a relatively thin crust (42–50 km) with an intermediate v_P/v_S ratio (~1.78) in the western Tian Shan. The differences in the crustal structures between the western and central Tian Shan imply that the Talas-Fergana Fault may be trans-lithospheric.     

Denudation intensity and control in the Chinese Tian Shan: new constraints from mass balance on catchment‐alluvial fan systems

Tectonics and climate are usually seen as the main controlling factors of denudation rates, which seem to rise with the tectonic activity and to decrease when the climate becomes drier. However, the low denudation rates observed in semi‐arid to arid contexts are generally measured on orogenic plateaus where the respective influence of the flat relief and the dry climate cannot really be unravelled. The Chinese Tian Shan was chosen as a case study. In the northern piedmont of this mountain range, a series of well‐preserved Quaternary alluvial fans offer the opportunity to perform a mass balance study at the scale of several catchment areas and several hundreds of thousands of years. Based on a geometrical reconstruction of these fans, the volumes of sediments exported out of 10 drainage basins during the Middle–Late Pleistocene (from ～300 to ～12 kyr) and the Holocene (from ～12 kyr to present) have been estimated. From these volumes, an average denudation rate of ～135 m/Myr was determined in the Tian Shan Range for the last 300 kyr. In agreement with other mass balances performed in the same area, the typical denudation intensity of the northern Tian Shan is thus of a few hundred meters per million years at most, regardless of the space and time scales considered. From a comparison with denudation rates in other mountain ranges throughout the world, we suggest that a dry climate can dramatically limit the denudation intensity even in active orogenic systems with a high topographic gradient like the Tian Shan. As a result, the time required to reach equilibrium between denudation and rock uplift in these systems could be extremely long (i.e. of more than several million years). Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

西南天山地表三维位移场及断层位错模型

利用1992—2012年间西南天山GPS观测和2003—2009年EnviSAT卫星InSAR图像,构建西南天山与塔里木盆地间(喀什坳陷)震间变形的三维位移场,约束区域内滑脱断层运动模型.结果显示:位于喀什坳陷基底与沉积盖层间埋深为12~18 km的主滑脱断层进入西南天山(迈丹—喀拉铁克断裂带以北)沿高角度断坡深入天山底部至23~33 km,并北倾1°~2°延伸至天山内部,从完全闭锁到自由蠕滑,滑动速率9~10 mm·a-1.依据断层位错模型,1902年阿图什M8大地震可能从铁列克断层根部23 km左右开始破裂,沿高角度断坡断层扩展25~30 km的距离至科克塔木背斜南翼托特拱拜孜—阿尔帕雷克断裂.1902年阿图什地震可能导致阿图什背斜下方埋深2~12 km的高角度断坡断层以2~3 mm·a-1速率持续蠕滑,蠕滑过程释放的应力等价于一次Mw6.7左右的中强地震,西南天山及喀什坳陷基底滑脱断层控制了西南天山及前陆地带的现今变形和地震活动.     

Optical dating of aeolian and fluvial sediments in north Tian Shan range,China: Luminescence characteristics and methodological aspects

Loess and fluvial sand are important materials for dating river terraces and alluvial fans. This study focuses on the methodological aspects of dating loess and fluvial deposits from the northern flank of the Tian Shan range, China, using sand-sized quartz and potassium (K) feldspar. Luminescence characteristics of quartz and K-feldspar were studied for searching suitable dating procedures. Our results indicate that 1) most quartz aliquots were contaminated by feldspar, and were dated using a post-infrared optically stimulated luminescence (post-IR OSL) procedure. A Fast ratio acceptance threshold of 15 can be applied to select these aliquots with post-IR OSL signals dominated by quartz OSL; 2) the multi-elevated-temperature post-IR IR stimulated luminescence (MET-pIRIR) procedures are applicable for K-feldspar. A test dose of ∼30% of the natural dose is appropriate for dating of older (>10 ka) samples. An Age (T, t) plateau test can be used to evaluate the dating results; 3) for the loess samples, both quartz and K-feldspar were well bleached and are suitable for dating. Dating using K-feldspar is preferred for its higher efficiency; 4) for the fluvial sand samples, only the quartz grains were fully bleached. Single-aliquot dating of quartz gives reliable ages.     

华北中部重力场的动态变化及其强震危险含义

基于绝对和相对重力观测获得的区域重力场时、空动态变化,结合区域GPS测量资料与活动构造分析,本文研究了华北中部地区2009-2011年的重力场变化特征,讨论了该区域重力场动态变化的强震危险含义.结果主要表明:(1)华北中部的活动地块边界及部分重要活动断裂带两侧存在较大差异的重力场空间变化;其中,以山西断陷带北东段所在的晋冀蒙交界地区为中心,形成较大面积的重力负值变化区,且沿该区西北缘的NE向岱海-黄旗海断裂带以及东南缘的NNE向太行山山前断裂带附近分别形成重力变化的高梯度带,可能反映这些部位近年的构造或断裂活动显著.(2)不同时段的重力场差分动态演化图像可能反映了近年山西断陷带北东段(京西北盆-岭构造区)及其附近的重力场整体经历了"准均匀→非均匀→断陷带北段侧向显著变化→局部"硬化"的演化过程.(3)研究区重力场的时间累积变化图像可用"区域应力场增强→区域断裂与断块差异运动及变形增强→局部运动受阻"的过程进行解释.(4)研究区的一些重力异常部位存在中-长期强震危险背景.     

Tectonically-controlled infilling of the eastern Nihewan Basin,North China,since the middle Pleistocene

There has been a significant debate about the nature and causes of the Pleistocene evolution of the Nihewan Basin, North China. We studied the eastern Nihewan Basin sedimentary facies at two main sites, Hutouliang and Donggou. A combination of field observations and measurements of sediment grain-size distribution was used to reconstruct the sequence of sedimentary environments since the middle Pleistocene, and optically-stimulated luminescence measurements were used to date the sediments. Our results indicate that a shallow lake occupied the basin center along the Sanggan River, probably lasting until ~440 kyr ago before disappearing completely ~340 kyr ago. It was succeeded by a phase of fluvial-dominated sediment accumulation which ended ~30 kyr ago. We suggest that the formation of the gorge resulted from the relative uplift of the Niuxin Mountain along the Liulengshan fault ~140 kyr ago. However, since ~30 kyr ago the fault may have become inactive and the river downcutting near Shixia was no longer offset by the relative uplift, which caused a shift from deposition to denudation in the Nihewan Basin from then on. The disappearance of the paleolake ~340 kyr ago may have been the culmination of the ongoing process of basin infilling.     

区域气候模式RegCM3对华北地区未来气候变化的数值模拟

采用高水平分辨率区域气候模式进行区域未来气候变化预估,对理解全球增暖对区域气候的潜在影响和科学评估区域气候变化有很好的参考价值.这里对国家气候中心使用25 km高水平分辨率区域气候模式RegCM3单向嵌套全球模式MIROC3.2_hires在观测温室气体(1951—2000)和IPCC A1B温室气体排放情景下(2001—2100)进行的共计150年长时间模拟结果,进行华北地区未来气温、降水和极端气候事件变化的分析.模式检验结果表明:模式对当代(1981—2000)气温以及和气温有关的极端气候事件(霜冻日数、生长季长度)的空间分布和数值模拟较好;对降水及和降水有关的极端气候事件(强降水日期、降水强度、五日最大降水量)能够模拟出它们各自的主要空间分布特征,但在模拟数值上存在偏大、偏强的误差.和全球模式驱动场相比,区域模式模拟的气温、降水和极端气候事件有明显的改进.2010—2100年华北地区随时间区域平均气温升高幅度逐渐增大,随之霜冻日数逐渐减少,生长季长度逐渐增多;同时随温室效应的不断加剧,未来降水呈增加的趋势,强降水日期和五日最大降水量逐渐增多、降水强度逐渐增大.从空间分布看,21世纪末期(2081—2100)气温、降水以及有关的极端气候事件变化比21世纪中期(2041—2060)更加明显.